Rise of the Silver Surfer BOX OFFICE Discussion

[SLYspyder]

Can someone explain to me how FF made $154M with a $56M opening weekend with the critics bashing the hell out of it?

The only way that's possible is if the general public liked it. Then there are those who didn't see it because of the critics that finally saw it and liked it. On top of that, this movie is bound to get better reviews than the first one.

I'm predicting around an $80M opening. $225M Total.

 

[coreymb16]

I think it might actually get 87mil opening weekend, 256mil domestically, and 601 worldwide. This will be the next blockbuster movie.

 

[TheComicbookKid]

^If I'm wrong, I apologize in advance, but 190-205 is as high as this is going.

WW-400mil max. The summer is just too crowded. If Pirates length is part of the probably then so is FF's. It will feel like a nice snack until Transformers comes. (I'm saying that as someone being dragged to Trans!)

 

[coreymb16]

^If I'm wrong, I apologize in advance, but 190-205 is as high as this is going.

WW-400mil max. The summer is just too crowded. If Pirates length is part of the probably then so is FF's. It will feel like a nice snack until Transformers comes. (I'm saying that as someone being dragged to Trans!)

Transformers won't ever get that high neither considering Harry Potter 5 is just going to be one week away. Fantastic Four will great legs because it doesn't have a movie that is even close to its standards. Evan Almighty will be a bomb!

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

Well, its chances at breaking $70 or $80 million opening weekend now have increased, due to its running time--which means FOX will be able to cram more showings at theatres--which means more traffic--which means bigger $$$.

 

[coreymb16]

Well, its chances at breaking $70 or $80 million opening weekend now have increased, due to its running time--which means FOX will be able to cram more showings at theatres--which means more traffic--which means bigger $$$.

you're right.

 

[Nokio]

Until Transformers hits, the more I see of the competition, the less I fear them. Evan Almighty looks awful. I smell a serious tank there. Ratatouille and Live Free or Die Hard has very limited demographics. Die Hard has lost a lot of steam and Bruce Willis has been limping at the box office lately. (I loved the original Die Hard but watching John McClane actually running on the wing of an F-16 fighter jet in the trailer just turned me off. John McClane should never be about preposterous CGI action) Ocean's 13 is the only wild card I fear. They bring a lot of star power and a lot of publicity in to play. Ocean's 13 is all the hollywood hype shows (ET, Access Hollywood, etc.) are talking about and promoting right now.

A WORD OF WARNING DON'T UNDERESTIAMATE RATATOUILLE!!

 

[Nokio]

• Well, its chances at breaking $70 or $80 million opening weekend now have increased, due to its running time--which means FOX will be able to cram more showings at theatres--which means more traffic--which means bigger $$$.

More showings and more theaters isn't always a good thing. At anyrate what you've said will more then likly be right. Also is it a 100 percent certainty that the run time is 85-96 mins?

 

[nintendo nerd]

I predict 140 - 150 million. I hated the first one, and this one seems to have the same kind of feel. Many people felt dissappointed with the first one, and won't bother to watch this one, IMO.

 

[liesse00]

Can someone explain to me how FF made $154M with a $56M opening weekend with the critics bashing the hell out of it?

That happens a buch of times every year.

 

[Kelly]

I predict 140 - 150 million. I hated the first one, and this one seems to have the same kind of feel. Many people felt dissappointed with the first one, and won't bother to watch this one, IMO.

I wasn't real happy with the first one either, but I have to totally disagree with you on the statement that "this one seems to have the same kind of feel". Other than the short runtime, this one seems like a totally different movie from the first in all areas...

 

[nintendo nerd]

I wasn't real happy with the first one either, but I have to totally disagree with you on the statement that "this one seems to have the same kind of feel". Other than the short runtime, this one seems like a totally different movie from the first in all areas...

I hope you're right. We'll see really soon, right?

 

[Kelly]

I hope you're right. We'll see really soon, right?

Yeeeeeeeeees we will, 11 days to go....

 

[Will]

Less than 130 million.

Aim low, score high!

 

[coreymb16]

^^^ I'm sorry, but I doubt it will be way less than the first film domestic box office.

 

[Advanced Dark]

Less than 130 million.

Aim low, score high!

No chance of it not beating the first. 175-200 is my estimate.

 

[Excel]

tracking is at 55 million for its opening weekend, 6 million higher than last week. look for 60-62 tracking next weekend and a take of roughly 70 million.

 

[highguard]

tracking is at 55 million for its opening weekend, 6 million higher than last week. look for 60-62 tracking next weekend and a take of roughly 70 million.

Excel where are you getting your tracking info from?

 

[Kelly]

Excel where are you getting your tracking info from?

He works on boxofficemojo.....

 

[highguard]

^^ Oh

 

[GL's Light]

With so many huge blockbusters being released this summer the audience, so far, is pretty much dashing from one to the next, with less repeat business than in the past. Lots of films to see and limited cash for entertainment (for most people) means that achieving strong legs is tough.

Bearing that in mind, along with the multipliers scored by most Marvel films, I think FF 2 is likely to have a multiplier no higher than 2.5X. If the opening take is around $ 70 million, that'll likely lead to a domestic total somewhere in the range of $ 160-175 million.

 

[Excel]

with the exception of pirates, every big film has been killing its tracking thus far.

ghost rider was tracking for 39 4 day and it got 51; 300 was tracking at 38 3 day and it got...over 70(!), spidey was at 134 and got 151, shrek at 98 and it got 122. So; I think its tracking is low for itll open.

And gl is right; i would guess that anywhere from 60-70 opening weekend and 160-180 total is a good estimate...but fantastic four 1 did not have the best word of mouth, so that always plays a role too...I wouldnt be *too* surprised if fantastic four dissappointed, and did 50/130ish; though i dont find it likely.

 

[coreymb16]

I think FF2 opening will be more than 70mil, 85mil tops.

 

[Kmack]

I'm so bad at guessing these kind of things but I do predict that FF2 will outgross the first film Final gross will probably be around 190-210.

 

[\S/JcDc\S/]

The word of mouth should be good on this one. I'm thinking it will do close to SR numbers. 200 mil