The Flash Box Office Thread

[Detective Conan]

Discuss and predict the box office The Flash here.

 

[Invader Joker]

Ezra Miller’s ‘The Flash,’ ‘Elemental’ Encounter Box Office Headwinds – The Hollywood Reporter

The Flash, starring Ezra Miller in the titular role, is pacing to open in the $70 million range, according to sources who have access to tracking data. Box office insiders say that’s a soft number for a movie that’s been heavily promoted by Warner Brothers Discovery as the best superhero film of all time. Others note that a movie’s hold once it opens is more important than the opening weekend gross.

https://www.thewrap.com/the-flash-dc-box-office-predictions-opening/

Three weeks away from release, projections have “The Flash” earning an opening of at least $75 million, lower than the $134 million opening of Matt Reeves’ “The Batman” in March 2022 but better than the $67 million opening of “Black Adam” and way better than the abysmal $30.1 million opening of “Shazam!: Fury of the Gods.” Rival distributors tell TheWrap they expect projections to increase as the film’s June 16 release date gets closer.

 

[psylockolussus]

Its not bad given that the DCEU is ending and has lost the eXcitement of the general public. Its an improvement over Black Adam and Shazam! But ideally, it should open over $90 million, if not over $100 million. Flash is a well known superhero + Batman.

 

[Moncton]

This might be like GOTG vol 3 where the audience is not terribly enthusiastic until they hear good word of mouth. In fact, that's what it might be for a lot of CBM'S going forward

 

[GreenKToo]

700(ish) million. 680 to 720 million.

 

[Karelia]

This might be like GOTG vol 3 where the audience is not terribly enthusiastic until they hear good word of mouth. In fact, that's what it might be for a lot of CBM'S going forward

Definitely agree with you there man. Been too many so-so/bad superhero movies lately, GA may be more cautious going to see them without hearing from their nerdy friend or trusted reviewer.


I'm still excited to see The Flash though!

 

[DarthSkywalker]

 

[SomeOldGuy]

60-70 domestic OW seems to be the consensus based on presales. Walkups have been pretty good so far this summer tho so I wouldn’t be surprised if it gets over 70, especially since the reviews so far are decent. Real wild card is if Keaton can bring back the old farts like me.

 

[Comicbookguy339]

An opening under 100M pretty much guarantees that this will be another flop for WB.

 

[Julius Caesar]

Massive budget + controversial lead actor + part of a dead and despised cinematic universe + China isn't into Holywood movies anymore

If this movie makes more than 600 million I will eat my shorts.

 

[DCDAVE]

A couple of questions for the box office analysts on the board. How much money does the Flash movie have to make to be successful? Does the Flash movie success or failure have any effect on Gunn’s DCU going forward?

 

[Invader Joker]

A couple of questions for the box office analysts on the board. How much money does the Flash movie have to make to be successful? Does the Flash movie success or failure have any effect on Gunn’s DCU going forward?

It has to make around 530-600 million to break even, and it'll probably impact whether Muschietti directs Brave and the Bold or not.

 

[psylockolussus]

Thats incredibly low for Elemental.

 

[Detective Conan]

 

[FunkMiller]

A couple of questions for the box office analysts on the board. How much money does the Flash movie have to make to be successful? Does the Flash movie success or failure have any effect on Gunn’s DCU going forward?

The general consensus over at Box Office Theory suggests that 500-530 million is the absolute lowest this film can make to break even or make a very tiny profit. Needless to say, the current tracking does not say it is going to achieve this. Rather, less than 500 million is most likely, and some even have it at around or just over 400 million. Comparable to Black Adam's total haul. That is major flop territory.

None of this affects Gunn's work moving forward, with the possible exception of Muschietti not getting the Batman movie, and that WB may want all references to the DCEU completely expunged, no matter how tangential ( a good idea ).

 

[psylockolussus]

Hmm.

Well underperforming movies always happen every summer movie season but yikes.

 

[emc5466]

Wow, what a disaster.

 

[psylockolussus]

Surely a sequel won't happen with a $70 million opening... even with a 3x multiplier, it would just be $210 million.

Well it still could happen IF DC doesn't have these upcoming reboot films.

 

[kguillou]

The only glimmer of hope is if this movie lands with the audiences, good wom spreads and it carries steady legs throughout the summer like Aquaman or Joker.

 

[psylockolussus]

I doubt it but at least James Gunn will have a legit eXcuse not to make a sequel. If it hits 700 million, there's probably someone in WBD that would be open minded in preserving some of the cast for the future, like in 4 years or so.

 

[DarthSkywalker]

The general consensus over at Box Office Theory suggests that 500-530 million is the absolute lowest this film can make to break even or make a very tiny profit. Needless to say, the current tracking does not say it is going to achieve this. Rather, less than 500 million is most likely, and some even have it at around or just over 400 million. Comparable to Black Adam's total haul. That is major flop territory.

None of this affects Gunn's work moving forward, with the possible exception of Muschietti not getting the Batman movie, and that WB may want all references to the DCEU completely expunged, no matter how tangential ( a good idea ).

That's not the consensus there. That's one poster. Someone with a more detailed breakdown showed the real number is much higher. Especially as WB loses out on a lot of revenue because they license their own movies to themselves.

 

[TheVileOne]

It's too bad because Elemental was fantastic. I found it very emotional and moving. The elemental people are an allegory for different social classes and races. It was an interesting exploration on class, race, and interracial relationships done in an unexpected way. People are sleeping on it.

 

[Comicbookguy339]

Man, there'll never be a sequel and there won't be another Flash movie for another decade at least.

 

[psylockolussus]

Both The Flash and Elemental would have been better off if they weren't opening in the same weekend.

And for Disney, PiXar haven't been doing all too well in the cruel summer. They probably should just abandon summer unless they have a surefire element hit.

 

[emc5466]

Most people just wait for streaming nowadays.