Captain America: Brave New World box office

[psylockolussus]

I wonder how much this being a direct sequel to The Falcon and the Winter Soldier is going to affect the box office. A friend that I've seen several Marvel movies with was supposed to join us next week for a screening, but she figured that she wouldn't have the time to watch the show in advance, so she's skipping the movie theatrically. Not to mention, another friend isn't joining us because they're boycotting Disney. Through and through, it looks like Marvel is in for another bomb.

As more time passes by, I get more convinced that the general public simply don't care about these MCU shows. All the build up/foundation for the characters in the shows, don't translate to box office success. Or else The Marvels wouldn't have flopped the way it did.

I also think telling people to watch a TV series before seeing a new movie in theaters is quite off putting.

 

[Detective Conan]

 

[Mysteryman]

While this is very encouraging and not entirely unexpected, you are almost slways going to have those few vocal people who will say “ it started out cringey got OK and dived back into cringey at the end”.

 

[lenz]

Ok-to- pretty good is not an endorsement, nor anything to get excited about . People will judge for themselves but this will be another big money loser for them.

 

[blueharvest]

 

[HammerDown]

Box Office: ‘Captain America: Brave New World’ Aims for $95 Million Opening Over President’s Day Weekend

targeting $80 million to $85 million over the traditional weekend

‘Captain America: Brave New World’ Will Throw His Mighty Shield Around The Globe To $190M Opening – Box Office Preview

Hence expect a domestic opening at $80M 3-days

 

[Sithborg]

Yeah, I think you have to write off the China box office. It is going to get absolutely crushed.

 

[Zyraquis]

Presales in China are actually stronger than Deadpool 3 by a good margin atm, which isn't saying much since Deadpool 3 isn't really a movie (to me).

Though when I booked the ticket today for Sat afternoon only a handful of seats were sold. And none of my friends wanted to go see it and none of my colleague talked about it. So from my own anecdotal experience which is a very reliable indicator in a completely non sarcastic kind of way, this will tank.

 

[HammerDown]

This critical reception will deflate this completely. They might have sort of rescued the weekend but this will likely crawl after that.

 

[psylockolussus]

This critical reception will deflate this completely. They might have sort of rescued the weekend but this will likely crawl after that.

Definitely. If Marvel Studios is going to gamble on a legacy movie, which imo, is always a hard sell (see Bourne Legacy), it better be a good movie. But like Bourne Legacy, this is looking like the worst movie for Captain America, and possibly for the MCU as well? The legs are also likely not to be great too.

And bad word of mouth for a Marvel movie, won't help fellow Marvel movies, Thunderbolts/Fantastic 4 in a few months.

 

[lenz]

It will hurt both, but Thunderbolts especially, even though it looks WAY better than this film ever did.

Fantastic Four will be hurt by its release date much more than the reception of Brave New World, though it will still have an impact.

 

[HammerDown]

The last I saw of tunderbolts it looked fine/solid to me but it’s one of those derivative MCU projects with a D+ tie in, a C list of MCU characters and it feels like is a project on an a bit of an island in terms of the MCU connectivity… so it can be a bit of a hard sell or it could break out because it just lives on it’s own merits. Hard to say.

F4 looks the most promising. The most unique and relevant of these 3, it precedes an Avengers movie and it should have big ramifications for the immediate presente and MCU future.

 

[mace1]

Captain America: Brave New World (2025)​

Production Budget: $180,000,000

Captain America: Brave New World (2025) - Financial Information

Financial analysis of Captain America: Brave New World (2025) including budget, domestic and international box office gross, DVD and Blu-ray sales reports, total earnings and profitability.

www.the-numbers.com

 

[Zyraquis]

Plus promotion and marketing so should be over $200m like $230m total cost or more. It won't break even but that's given it won't make money from the get go. Disney just needs to go through with it and move on.

 

[mace1]

If the budget is 180 and marketing is 100 million(that's normal for a movie with that budget)then brave new world would need around 460 million to break even.

 

[Zyraquis]

I think more it's usually a very rough ballpark figure of 2.5x cost as studios take around half of gross and in some markets even less. I would say +/- 550m which won't happen now given the critical response.

 

[psylockolussus]

We are looking at another Quantumania scenario. Its too bad they don't have a surefire hit for the rest of the year. Thunderbolts and Fantastic 4 would need to be more than average to really make an impression at the box office.

 

[mace1]

We have to wait for the audience scores by the way. If the rt scores are closer to the critics scores and the cinemascore is a B or lower then this movie will most likely not break even.
If the rt scores from audiences is in the 80's or higher or late 70's and the cinemascore a B+ it has a chance to break even and be another mufasa 2 etc..
The break even point at max could be 500 million looking at budget,maybe 550 million or even higher if marketing turn out to be i higher but i still will stick with number i have given until disney say other wise.

 

[Sithborg]

That's not how cinemascore works, especially blockbusters. If it is less than an A, it is going to drop. FAST.

 

[mace1]

Mufasa has A-,that's less then an A ,but the box office got better.
MOANA 2 A-
For MOANA 2 MOST folks was saying it would not reach a billion dollars but it did.

Doctor strange B+
Almost reach a billion dollars without china.
Could have reach it with china.
The first joker movie got a B+ and that made a billion dollars.
Venom also got a B+ and that made over 800 million.

 

[mace1]

CAPTAIN AMERICA BRAVE NEW WORLD 4 Day Box Office Predictions​

 

[psylockolussus]

Captain America 4 Box Office: Thursday Previews Are Above The Winter Soldier’s - Comic Book Movies and Superhero Movie News - SuperHeroHype

Thursday box office preview numbers for Marvel Studios' Captain America 4 promise a strong opening for the Anthony Mackie-led movie.

www.superherohype.com

 

[blueharvest]

 

[TheVileOne]

In some ways, I think calling a movie pretty OK is almost more of a death sentence than an absolute dumpster fire or great. No one wants to hear a blockbuster is middle of the road.

 

[mace1]

​

Box Office: ‘Captain America: Brave New World’ Inaugurates a $40 Million Opening Day​

Box Office: ‘Captain America: Brave New World’ Inaugurates a $40 Million Opening Day

Marvel's 'Captain America: Brave New World' is the biggest opening weekend of 2025, but its success is contingent on how it holds at the box office.

variety.com