The Winter Soldier Captain America: The Winter Soldier Box Office Prediction Thread

[BigThor]

I'm probably going to raise my prediction a bit if Thor: The Dark Worlds does over 800 M.

 

[Xeno]

There's going to be a trailer with Thor! Hallelujah!

But October is too long to wait!

Wrong thread, but what the hell! I'm still excited!

 

[KangConquers]

I'd like to see Cap do $250 M domestic, and $350 M foreign. I'm not sure if that's too high or not, but I think it can at least do $200 M/$300 M, to break $500 M.

 

[BoredGuy]

I really wish it could do Man of Steel numbers
I know it won't, but Cap deserves it, dammit

 

[BigThor]

There's going to be a trailer with Thor! Hallelujah!

But October is too long to wait!

Wrong thread, but what the hell! I'm still excited!

That was already pretty much guaranteed though, I'm sure you already knew it would be.

 

[metaphysician]

I really wish it could do Man of Steel numbers
I know it won't, but Cap deserves it, dammit

I wouldn't be so pessimistic. I think Cap 2 has entirely good odds of doing MoS numbers. It wouldn't even have to double the gross of the first one.

 

[BigThor]

I wouldn't be so pessimistic. I think Cap 2 has entirely good odds of doing MoS numbers. It wouldn't even have to double the gross of the first one.

Doubling the gross of the first one means it would make 720 million, which is abit more than MOS.

360M + 360M = 720M

However I do think Cap has a solid chance at doing MOS numbers, he was pretty well recieved in TA.

 

[Mysteryman]

I could have sworn that Cap did better on DVD than Thor. Fast Five did over 200mil and it was released in April, I don't see why it would be impossible for Cap 2 with 3D on it's side to pull in 200mil. I'm not saying it will be easy but I'd give it a 50-50 shot if the movie is good like the first film was.

I agree about Fast And Furious.
It is more than possible to have a big hit in April.

 

[Mysteryman]

I wouldn't be so pessimistic. I think Cap 2 has entirely good odds of doing MoS numbers. It wouldn't even have to double the gross of the first one.

$84 million or more on OW is a HUGE success.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

MOS numbers would be GREAT.

 

[BigThor]

$84 million or more on OW is a HUGE success.

Agreed

 

[Ms. Marvel]

I would say $500 M if it's good, $600 M if it's really good (better than the first) and $700 M if it's phenomenal.

 

[Mysteryman]

Would 300-400 million really be that bad ?
Talking domestic here.

 

[DOOZlovesBOOZ]

Would 300-400 million really be that bad ?
Talking domestic here.

No that wouldn't be bad at all, in fact domestic wise, 400 mil would be one heck of a run for TWS. Right now I'd say high 200s low 300s is my guess. Here in about a month that may all change though. With Thor coming out we will get to see how the avengers boost affects a non-Stark movie and we also get to judge the first trailer.

 

[metaphysician]

300-400M domestic would be great. Worldwide? Would be pretty awful, given the first movie did that much already.

 

[Lady Marion]

Domestic 400-500 million.
I have no idea how much it will make overseas, maybe 200 million.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

Domestic 400-500 million.
I have no idea how much it will make overseas, maybe 200 million.

That's pretty much what the last one made overseas.

 

[BigThor]

Jesus Christ, some people are thinking this film can make 400-500 million domestically?

Talk about setting yourselves up for failure.

 

[metaphysician]

No more unrealistic than thinking it will only make 200M overseas. The first movie made well more than that.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

Jesus Christ, some people are thinking this film can make 400-500 million domestically?

Talk about setting yourselves up for failure.

I'm thinking 250 million domestically. Depending on reviews, advertisement and WOM.

 

[BigThor]

No more unrealistic than thinking it will only make 200M overseas. The first movie made well more than that.

Both are very unrealistic and definately won't happen.

I'm thinking 250 million domestically. Depending on reviews, advertisement and WOM.

Same here, I'll say somewhere between 250-300 million.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

90 m opening weekend
225 m domestic
300 m overseas

525 m worldwide

 

[MCU]

600-700 Million. Maybe a lil more. Just cause I think Thor:TDW is gonna be great so its riding the hype of Avengers,IM3,and Thor:TDW. Also, cause it's featuring more than one hero, particularly one of the Avengers(Widow). Robert Redford addition is nice to, especially since he might be getting another Oscar nomination this year as well.

 

[Green Goblin]

$600 million

 

[ctsketch]

I need to see a trailer first... if it's enough to build solid hype it can do well.