🇺🇸 Discussion: General Election 2024, 🥥 VS 🍊

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My ballot is safe and counted at my local BOE office. If you can vote early in person or by mail (hopefully in a state that preprocesses VBM ballots before Election Day), do it ASAP. We need to make sure Madame VP wins by a landslide.
I plan to vote as soon as I am able after early voting starts.
 
I don't understand not voting for Harris over Isreal when Trumpis just going to do the same thing if not worse.

For those that have family in Gaza, the West Bank, or Lebanon, I am not going to make judgements. For all the others, yeah, I'm judging you. As so many where they are making it their single issue, I can see they were never really going to vote for Harris anyway.

Got my Michigan ballot today. Plan to fill it out and turn it in tomorrow.

I'm hitting up one of the big early vote centers that the voting rights amendment allows now for early voting. Hoping to get one of the cool stickers.
 

The wife of William Penn, Hannah Penn, was the Edith Wilson of her day.

“Pennsylvania is a solidly D-range state,” said Courtney Lamendola, the director of research at RepresentWomen, which publishes an annual gender parity index. Before 2019, Pennsylvania regularly ranked 49th in gender parity nationwide, repeatedly receiving an F.

To be fair, lots of other states also rate poorly. Along with Pennsylvania, three other swing states — Georgia, Nevada, and Wisconsin — have never elected a woman to be governor. (Neither has California, where Vice President Kamala Harris served as attorney general and senator before becoming vice president). Women have served as governor in 32 states, according to the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers.

In recent years, Pennsylvania has done some catching up: Today, five out of 17 state seats in the U.S. House are held by women, as are roughly 32% of seats in the General Assembly, where Joanna McClinton was elected last year as the state’s first female speaker of the House and Kim Ward is the first female Senate president pro tempore. Debra Todd is currently serving as the first female leader of the state Supreme Court. Cherelle L. Parker is the first female mayor in Philadelphia’s 342-year history.

Of five statewide elected executive positions, two are currently held by women: Stacy Garrity is state treasurer and Michelle Henry is state attorney general.
 
Should we be looking at the National Polls shouldn’t we be looking at the Swing State polls? I get that Harris seems to be the popular vote but wasn’t that the same with Clinton back in 2016?
 
Should we be looking at the National Polls shouldn’t we be looking at the Swing State polls? I get that Harris seems to be the popular vote but wasn’t that the same with Clinton back in 2016?
Maybe, but the numbers still give me hope.
 
Should we be looking at the National Polls shouldn’t we be looking at the Swing State polls? I get that Harris seems to be the popular vote but wasn’t that the same with Clinton back in 2016?
Yes. Absolutely the swing state polls deserve the most focus. Here's two things about polls everyone should know. First off, you can't make as strong of an inference about a single poll, so you have to look at the trends. If you see a lot of polls going in. a certain direction and then all of the sudden, one of them sticks out like a sore thumb, it's "probably" an outlier and by chance got a non-random sampling. It happens. Now, the "probably" brings me to what is more important and, maybe, less understood.

Polls are meant to capture something; in this case the intention of people who are going to vote. The real question about a poll is whether or not it really captures that "something". If that "outlier" poll is capturing something the others are missing, the outlier could actually be more accurate.

In other words, polling trends are our best guess, but we never really know for sure. Actual elections often send pollsters scurrying beck to their offices to find out what they missed. Polling accurately is not an easy thing to do.
 

Literally the owner of the company i currently work for which is a small manufacturing company of 10 employees says Trump is incredible for business', saying he was the best president for business, even if i showed him that chart he would dismiss it as liberal fearmongering
 
Should we be looking at the National Polls shouldn’t we be looking at the Swing State polls? I get that Harris seems to be the popular vote but wasn’t that the same with Clinton back in 2016?
National polls are nice, but they only give us a broad picture, Trumps plan as in 2016 when he won and again in 2020 is the electorial college, he will never win a popularity poll, which he lost both times and will again this time as well, but its the outdated electorial college that could win him the white house as apparently that is far more important than the popular vote, thats why Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia as so important, Harris needs either North Carolina or Georgia to win, and she is either tied or trailing in both states, and I havent heard about Michigan and Pennsylania, though i hear she is trailing there as well.
 
National polls are nice, but they only give us a broad picture, Trumps plan as in 2016 when he won and again in 2020 is the electorial college, he will never win a popularity poll, which he lost both times and will again this time as well, but its the outdated electorial college that could win him the white house as apparently that is far more important than the popular vote, thats why Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia as so important, Harris needs either North Carolina or Georgia to win, and she is either tied or trailing in both states, and I havent heard about Michigan and Pennsylania, though i hear she is trailing there as well.
Don't forget WI.....Nevada could play a key role also IF PA were to be lost. I pickup in NC and AZ would make up for that loss.
 
It's still mind boggling how there isn't much of a gap between Harris and Trump for this year's election. Can't imagine how bad the country will look if Trump is allowed to win again despite all that he's done.
 
It's still mind boggling how there isn't much of a gap between Harris and Trump for this year's election. Can't imagine how bad the country will look if Trump is allowed to win again despite all that he's done.
We'll own the libs until the country is destroyed!
 

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