blueharvest
Avenger
- Joined
- May 8, 2008
- Messages
- 35,080
- Reaction score
- 42,441
- Points
- 103
It's a waste of time trying to flip the manosphere. They're long gone.Obama, in blunt terms, tells Black men to get over their reluctance to support Harris
Don’t let Trump who was against the exonerated Central Park Five and George Floyd and the Black Lives Matter protests back into the people’s house ever again.
‘I’m not afraid of women’: New campaign takes on the Trump-obsessed manosphere
Not controlling women is the manliest thing a man can do, says a new grassroots campaign from Creatives for Harris.
Yeah, people who watch too much Conservative media or listen to people like Andrew Tate all the time are already too far gone, unfortunately.It's a waste of time trying to flip the manosphere. They're long gone.
They're just going to double down.
Yup, I don't understand this obsession with trying to appeal to Cheney fans and now this, present ideas for middle class workers and that combined with the fact that you are not nuts will have greater appeal than whatever strategy this isIt's a waste of time trying to flip the manosphere. They're long gone.
They're just going to double down.
Dick Cheney is the most amazing people that have invaded Iraq in the name of Halliburton, I tell you what.Yup, I don't understand this obsession with trying to appeal to Cheney fans and now this, present ideas for middle class workers and that combined with the fact that you are not nuts will have greater appeal than whatever strategy this is
ABC's FiveThirtyEight opinion polling averages:
October 9, 2024 Generic Ballot for Congress
Democrats 47.0% (D+1.6)
Republicans 45.4%
other/undecided 7.6%
Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight averages:
October 9, 2022 Generic Ballot for Congress
Democrats 45.4% (D+0.9)
Republicans 44.5%
other/undecided 10.1%
October 9, 2020 Generic Ballot for Congress
Democrats 49.3% (D+6.5)
Republicans 42.8%
other/undecided 7.9%
October 9, 2018 Generic Ballot for Congress
Democrats 49.5% (D+8.2)
Republicans 41.3%
other/undecided 9.2%
Actual election final results
2024: TBD
2022: Republicans 50.0% (R+2.7)
2020: Democrats 50.3% (D+3.0)
2018: Democrats 52.9% (D+8.6)
Every October in the past Republicans - including Trump - get a polling bump upward so prepare yourselves because it could happen again.
National : President: general election : 2020 Polls
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.projects.fivethirtyeight.comNational : President: general election : 2024 Polls
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Harris peaked in their average at 47.3% and at 3.7 points above Trump on August 23. She now leads Trump by 2.5 points at 48.4%. The bad news is Clinton (D+5.1) and Biden (D+10.1) were polling better in the margin lead than Harris is at this point in October 2016 and 2020.
Elections
(President) Oct. 9
FiveThirtyEight
D avg. Oct. 9
FiveThirtyEight
D margin Final
FiveThirtyEight
D avg. Final
FiveThirtyEight
D margin Actual
Results (D%) Actual
Results
(D margin lead) 2024 48.4% +2.5 TBD TBD TBD TBD 2020 52.1% +10.1 51.8% +8.4 51.3% +4.5 2016 44.8% +5.1 45.7% +3.9 48.0% +2.1 Avg. (2016-2020) 48.5% +7.6 48.8% +6.2 49.7% +3.3
Fetterman now has a ~5 point lead in the PA Senate election. Shapiro is at a ~15 point lead for governor. Laugh at how off the state polls were this year once again, especially with all these Republican firms posing as pollsters. Whether their problem was relying too much on polling online, landlines not cell phones, an inadequate rolodex of voters, young voters not answering unknown callers, not polling in Spanish, and other issues there was an error of missing about 5 points for the Democrats.
FiveThirtyEight - Pennsylvania : U.S. Senate : 2022 Polls (Oz +0.5)
FiveThirtyEight - Pennsylvania : Governor : 2022 Polls (Shapiro +10.4)
I don't think this is about getting large groups of people to flip. I think what you do is go after every demographic you can isolate, target a message to them, and peel off a few. They all add up.It's a waste of time trying to flip the manosphere. They're long gone.
They're just going to double down.
I've debated these people in the past. It's like talking to a brick wall.I don't think this is about getting large groups of people to flip. I think what you do is go after every demographic you can isolate, target a message to them, and peel off a few. They all add up.
Agreed. This a very close election. Just a few thousand votes in a couple of swing states could decide the election. We need all hands on deck for this one.I don't think this is about getting large groups of people to flip. I think what you do is go after every demographic you can isolate, target a message to them, and peel off a few. They all add up.
That message is being delivered also and, I agree, it's more effective than trying to lecture someone into voting a certain way, but if you can peel off even 5% (1 out of 20) in several groups, that adds up. Obama does have a certain level of influence and every vote is important......maybe not in California where I live, but in other states....I've debated these people in the past. It's like talking to a brick wall.
To them Kamala is worse than Hillary.
I think peeling moderates and swing voters by pointing out that Republicans blocked iincreasing the minimum wage, disaster relief, child tax credits, voting rights, immigration reform, cannabis legalization, etc. would be more effective