Discussion: General Election 2024

Unfortunately there's a chunk of voters who only turn out to vote if Trump's name is on the ballot. That's good for the elections that don't involve him but bad for the ones that do. That's also why Rs cling to him like a life preserver besides the Kool-Aid drinking.
 
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A. He was just joking
B. The fake media is making a big deal out of nothing
C. The comment was taken out of context
D. He was just talking about some of the people in Milwaukee
E. He didn't really say it

You pick.....
 
Better hold true in November. :(

There's nothing really that would get these results to change.

From Trump underperforming in the primaries in relation to his polling numbers, Democrats continually over performing (also showing that Democrats and those against Trumpism are being undercounted) - a narrative has been consistent: Trumpsters are being polled too high.

Unless there's a huge October surprise, I'm expecting the race will be tighter (meaning Trump has had gains since 2020, a nail biter for sure) - but Biden will still win. There's just too many negatives going for Republicans and they keep losing where it counts at the ballot box.

Unfortunately there's a chunk of voters who only turn out to vote if Trump's name is on the ballot. That's good for the elections that don't involve him but bad for the ones that do. That's also why Rs cling to him like a life preserver besides the Kool-Aid drinking.

Except - Trump underperformed too when he was on the ticket: continually 10 points below polling numbers in the primary. Ergo Trump wing Republicans underperforming meanwhile Democrats and those against Trump keep over performing. I might be wrong and it's unrelated, but all of this seems to go back to the polling being off (that seems to be the most common factor at play here).

Lest we forget, the "red mirage" of 2022.
 
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As a numbers guy, I do think that polls are fun, but, they have been inaccurate in this country and others, and they may simply be impossible to do reliably in this era of cell phones.

I am part of the problem -- I get so many spam calls that I would probably end up ignoring any pollster.
 
He's like that a lot. Like is it dementia or cocaine, lol?

He has dementia.

Biden is aging normally. Trump has dementia.

Dr. John Gartner, a prominent psychologist and contributor to the bestselling book "The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump: 27 Psychiatrists and Mental Health Experts Assess a President," the former faculty member at Johns Hopkins University said:

Not enough people are sounding the alarm, that based on his behavior, and in my opinion, Donald Trump is dangerously demented. In fact, we are seeing the opposite among too many in the news media, the political leaders and among the public. There is also this focus on Biden's gaffes or other things that are well within the normal limits of aging. By comparison, Trump appears to be showing gross signs of dementia. This is a tale of two brains. Biden's brain is aging. Trump's brain is dementing.“
Additional analysis on Trump’s signs of it:

This weekend, Trump showed more evidence of his accelerating dementia. Trump named the wrong month for the primary, said that Putin would rather see Biden as president and he agreed with him, and that he made Israel the capital of Israel. But most important are the fundamental breakdowns in his ability to use language. Once you become aware of a symptom, you start to notice it, whereas before you might have overlooked it.

Trump manifested a number of phonemic paraphasias. He was trying to say evangelist, for example, but haltingly said "evangelish.” He was trying to say “three years later," but said, “three years, lady, lady, lady.” Trying to spit out the word “lately,” he sounded like a car with a bad battery struggling to turn over. When Trump can't find a word his whole demeanor changes. It’s almost like someone pulled the metaphorical plug. Trump looks blank, stops in mid-sentence (or mid-word), his jaw goes a little slack, and when he starts to talk again, he slurs, speaks haltingly, and often looks confused. Trying to get the word out, he shifts to a non-word that is easier to pronounce. When people are losing their ability to use language they use non-words. They start with the stem of the real word, and then they improvise from there.

In my family we call sandwiches “slamichs” because that’s what my stepson called them when he was three. It was cute then. It’s not cute watching and adult man regress to the mental age of a three-year-old. It can make you even feel sorry for Trump in those moments when he appears so vulnerable, confused, and disoriented. I asked several highly specialized experts about Trump's use of language, and they told me that what Trump is doing in total, but especially the phonemic paraphasias, were almost certain evidence of brain damage. This is not minor, or within normal limits, like forgetting who the president of Germany is, for example, as Biden has been pilloried for. Trump is evidencing formal thought disorder, where his basic ability to use language is breaking down.

Trump is also showing signs of "semantic aphasia" where he is using words in the wrong way. For example, when Trump talked about "the oranges of the investigation." We saw an example of that this weekend, as well. Trump said, “We’re going to protect pro-God….” In mid-sentence, he goes blank and looks at the ceiling. The words he uses to complete the sentence don’t really make sense: “…context and content.”

Trump is bragging about passing the MOCA, a screening test for dementia, as if it made him MENSA, when it’s a test any kindergartener should pass. Specialists tell me a patient can be in steep diagnosable organic decline for an extended period before they fail the MOCA. Someone with an advanced degree from an Ivy League school, for example, has a lot of IQ points to give before they hit kindergarten level. If you pass the MOCA it certainly does not mean you’re cognitively equipped to be President of the United States. Trump can’t even name the current president of the United States. Seven times he’s said he’s running against Obama. That’s not a gaffe or joke. That’s hard clinical evidence of serious organic brain damage.

 
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AI Luther King: "I have another dream, Yes, it is me, Martin Luther King. I came back from the dead to say something. As I was saying..."

AI Luther King: "Okay, now I am going back to where I came from, goodbye."

FiWxEPf.png




"Attention:

I have been getting media requests from multiple media outlets, and I would like to address the Tik Tok incident that happened this morning. Here is my statement regarding the MLK AI Endorsement Video:

Upon further review of the MLK video in question, I decided to not only not keep my campaign staffer, but also give him a raise as I believe MLK would be disgusted at the complete suffering of Flint Michigan residents under the current administration's watch.

If MLK were alive today- I do believe he would endorse me and my vision for a better Michigan."

This guy is so pathetic and a liar. So typical Republican.
 
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Scrounging for Black votes. :(
 

 
In my opinion, the root of Trump's failings as President is that he didn't hire the right people. He semi-acknowledged this once, when he made one of his most astute comments on the record:

You make some mistakes. Like, you know, an idiot like Bolton. All he wanted to do was drop bombs on everybody. You don’t have to drop bombs on everybody. You don’t have to kill people.

That is maybe the wisest thing he's said and occasionally he is indeed wise for five minutes at a time.

Trump also hired that goon who beat up both his wives, the alien sperm lady, he hired Gary Cohn who convinced him to not invest in infrastructure, and he fired Rex Tillerson who came off as genuinely competent.

But I expect Trump to have learned nothing, and I won't be surprised if he selects Ben Carson or someone like that to be his Vice President.
 

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