Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

Discussion in 'Thor: The Dark World' started by Thread Manager, Nov 17, 2013.

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  1. Thread Manager

    Thread Manager Moderator

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    This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]449821[/split]
     
  2. mclay18

    mclay18 Registered

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    I know it's little under a year until Thor: The Dark World hits theaters, but might as well begin early predictions/speculation about how it'll perform come November 8, 2013.

    I think Disney and Marvel were smart to pick that date. The goodwill carried over from The Avengers (and presumably IM3), should give Thor 2 a boost. If the marketing and word-of-mouth is good too, I expect numbers like these:

    Opening weekend: $75M-80M
    Domestic gross: $230M-$250M
    Worldwide gross: $600M-$700M

    I don't expect those numbers to be higher, unless Thor 2 really blows people away.
     
  3. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Registered

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    Don't feed the obvious troll guys.
     
  4. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    If this weekend teaches us anything,
    It is that ANY movie can provide competition even a romantic comedy.
     
    #4 Mysteryman, Nov 17, 2013
    Last edited: Nov 17, 2013
  5. warriorking

    warriorking Registered

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    So it looks like by Monday evening we should break the 150 million mark domestic..
     
  6. ironman_rick

    ironman_rick Registered

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    Thor's WW.Domestic: $146,965,000 30.6%+ Foreign: $332,800,000 69.4%= Worldwide: $479,765,000Domestic: $146,965,000


    Domestic: $146,965,000 30.6%
    + Foreign: $332,800,000 69.4%
    = Worldwide: $479,765,000


    Looks like the floor is $600M and ceiling is $700M.

    Not bad......
     
  7. Ragnaroknroll

    Ragnaroknroll Registered

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    It's thrilling to see Thor do so well at the box office. Thor is such an outlandish character and concept. I'm glad general audiences are digging it.
     
  8. Vartha

    Vartha Mod of Thunder

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    Heard this morning TDW pulled in another 38.5 mil this weekend
     
  9. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    That is good news .
    Your 200 million by Monday prediction was a bit off though.
     
  10. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Registered

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    ^That's a bit catty to bring that up.
     
  11. warriorking

    warriorking Registered

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    I stand corrected and will take my medicine:bdh:
    However 150 Million is nothing to sneeze at...
     
  12. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    I agree and I apologize.
    But he could have just said TDW made 150 million , instead he quoted what I said about the success of BMH ,I felt like he was saying "stay on topic".
    I felt singled out, so I struck back.
    Talking about competitors has always been okay here.
    I mentioned BMH because for a long time people here have said TDW had NO COMPETITION in week 2 .
    But on Friday, more then a few people were sweating out the possibility that BMH could have a 35 million dollar weekend.
    I was pointing out that ANY film can provide competition against a blockbuster,
    It was not an Anti Thor comment.
    I would be very interested in knowing if there was a drop among women for TDW this weekend.
    IF there was , my guess is they went to BMH.
     
    #12 Mysteryman, Nov 18, 2013
    Last edited: Nov 18, 2013
  13. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    I agree and I apologize for my snarkiness.
     
    #13 Mysteryman, Nov 18, 2013
    Last edited: Nov 18, 2013
  14. warriorking

    warriorking Registered

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    So whats everyone's prediction for this weekend?
    I say 20 to 25 million for TDW..CF I predict 170 million.
     
  15. Liam_H

    Liam_H Registered

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  16. Docker2.0

    Docker2.0 Watchin' you!

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    I hope your right but I see more around $18M max.
     
  17. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    Dont know about TDW , your CF prediction might be accurate.
     
  18. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    How big a drop would that be?
     
  19. Liam_H

    Liam_H Registered

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    55-60%, I believe it drops similar to this weekend so around $18M.
     
  20. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    Well if it drops around the same as this week,
    Then, I take that to mean CF didnt have that much of an effect.
    If it does drop more then , it did have an effect .
     
  21. Liam_H

    Liam_H Registered

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    I believe it would have dropped around 50% without something as big as CF coming out, that's why I'm going with 55%.
     
  22. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    Ah.
    Pretty good logic IMO.
     
  23. superion

    superion Registered

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    If TDW can get $21 million next weekend it still has a chance at a $240 million domestic total. Right now a good comparison for TDW is Oz the Great and Powerful which made $234 million domestic and opened in March.

    Thor is currently slightly ahead but had a smaller second weekend take. If its third weekend box office can be about the same as Oz' third weekend the Thanksgiving boost could take it to $240 million which was the original estimate tossed around by box office pundits and would give it the same 33% increase that IM3 had over IM2.
     
  24. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Registered

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    I'd predict 16.6mil which is a 57% drop. I don't see it getting under a 55% drop with CF coming out. This isn't Twilight about 40-45% of it's audience should be men.
     
  25. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Registered

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    Wow.
    I didnt realize THG Franchise performed so well with men.
    Impressive.
     
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