Early Thor Darkworld box-office predictions - Part 1

Discussion in 'Thor: The Dark World' started by Thread Manager, Nov 17, 2013.

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  1. Thread Manager

    Thread Manager Moderator

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    This is a continuation thread, the old thread is [split]449821[/split]
     
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  2. mclay18

    mclay18 Well-Known Member

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    I know it's little under a year until Thor: The Dark World hits theaters, but might as well begin early predictions/speculation about how it'll perform come November 8, 2013.

    I think Disney and Marvel were smart to pick that date. The goodwill carried over from The Avengers (and presumably IM3), should give Thor 2 a boost. If the marketing and word-of-mouth is good too, I expect numbers like these:

    Opening weekend: $75M-80M
    Domestic gross: $230M-$250M
    Worldwide gross: $600M-$700M

    I don't expect those numbers to be higher, unless Thor 2 really blows people away.
     
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  3. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    Don't feed the obvious troll guys.
     
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  4. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    If this weekend teaches us anything,
    It is that ANY movie can provide competition even a romantic comedy.
     
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    Last edited: Nov 17, 2013
  5. warriorking

    warriorking Well-Known Member

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    So it looks like by Monday evening we should break the 150 million mark domestic..
     
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  6. ironman_rick

    ironman_rick Well-Known Member

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    Thor's WW.Domestic: $146,965,000 30.6%+ Foreign: $332,800,000 69.4%= Worldwide: $479,765,000Domestic: $146,965,000


    Domestic: $146,965,000 30.6%
    + Foreign: $332,800,000 69.4%
    = Worldwide: $479,765,000


    Looks like the floor is $600M and ceiling is $700M.

    Not bad......
     
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  7. Ragnaroknroll

    Ragnaroknroll Well-Known Member

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    It's thrilling to see Thor do so well at the box office. Thor is such an outlandish character and concept. I'm glad general audiences are digging it.
     
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  8. Vartha

    Vartha Mod of Thunder

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    Heard this morning TDW pulled in another 38.5 mil this weekend
     
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  9. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    That is good news .
    Your 200 million by Monday prediction was a bit off though.
     
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  10. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    ^That's a bit catty to bring that up.
     
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  11. warriorking

    warriorking Well-Known Member

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    I stand corrected and will take my medicine:bdh:
    However 150 Million is nothing to sneeze at...
     
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  12. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    I agree and I apologize.
    But he could have just said TDW made 150 million , instead he quoted what I said about the success of BMH ,I felt like he was saying "stay on topic".
    I felt singled out, so I struck back.
    Talking about competitors has always been okay here.
    I mentioned BMH because for a long time people here have said TDW had NO COMPETITION in week 2 .
    But on Friday, more then a few people were sweating out the possibility that BMH could have a 35 million dollar weekend.
    I was pointing out that ANY film can provide competition against a blockbuster,
    It was not an Anti Thor comment.
    I would be very interested in knowing if there was a drop among women for TDW this weekend.
    IF there was , my guess is they went to BMH.
     
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    Last edited: Nov 18, 2013
  13. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    I agree and I apologize for my snarkiness.
     
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    Last edited: Nov 18, 2013
  14. warriorking

    warriorking Well-Known Member

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    So whats everyone's prediction for this weekend?
    I say 20 to 25 million for TDW..CF I predict 170 million.
     
    #14
  15. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    $15-18m
     
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  16. Docker2.0

    Docker2.0 Watchin' you!

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    I hope your right but I see more around $18M max.
     
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  17. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    Dont know about TDW , your CF prediction might be accurate.
     
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  18. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    How big a drop would that be?
     
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  19. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    55-60%, I believe it drops similar to this weekend so around $18M.
     
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  20. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    Well if it drops around the same as this week,
    Then, I take that to mean CF didnt have that much of an effect.
    If it does drop more then , it did have an effect .
     
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  21. Liam_H

    Liam_H Well-Known Member

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    I believe it would have dropped around 50% without something as big as CF coming out, that's why I'm going with 55%.
     
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  22. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    Ah.
    Pretty good logic IMO.
     
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  23. superion

    superion Well-Known Member

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    If TDW can get $21 million next weekend it still has a chance at a $240 million domestic total. Right now a good comparison for TDW is Oz the Great and Powerful which made $234 million domestic and opened in March.

    Thor is currently slightly ahead but had a smaller second weekend take. If its third weekend box office can be about the same as Oz' third weekend the Thanksgiving boost could take it to $240 million which was the original estimate tossed around by box office pundits and would give it the same 33% increase that IM3 had over IM2.
     
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  24. I SEE SPIDEY

    I SEE SPIDEY Well-Known Member

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    I'd predict 16.6mil which is a 57% drop. I don't see it getting under a 55% drop with CF coming out. This isn't Twilight about 40-45% of it's audience should be men.
     
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  25. Mysteryman

    Mysteryman Well-Known Member

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    Wow.
    I didnt realize THG Franchise performed so well with men.
    Impressive.
     
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