Election prediction game!!!

[Matt]

Hey guys, wanna play a game? In this thread, you get to do a state-by-state prediction for next tuesday's presidential race. Predict the winner in each state. And then for tie breaker's sake, predict the national popular vote total of the candidate you picked to win. Whoever gets the closest gets the honor of opening the "President Barack Obama or John McCain," thread which will be used to discuss their transition into the white house, their appointments, etc over the next few months.

Have fun and good luck!

 

[SuBe]

I'm going out on a limb and say that Obama is going to win California

 

[The Senator]

What if you're on thread probation until Nov. 5 and correctly predict all of the states and totals?

Hypothetically speaking.

 

[Matt]

What if you're on thread probation until Nov. 5 and correctly predict all of the states and totals?

Hypothetically speaking.

It'll be lifted so you can make the thread.

 

[Marx]

So is this the official 'prediction' thread? I've seen a couple already?

 

[Matt]

This one is a state by state break down, and it is a competition with a prize.

 

[Marx]

This one is a state by state break down, and it is a competition with a prize.

Oooooohhhhh a PPPRRRRRIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIZZZZZEEEEE!!!!! I guess I'm going to have to play then!

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

Don't we have like...enough prediction threads? Frankin's was first ya know. Why not engage in some smexy mergage?

This one is a state by state break down, and it is a competition with a prize.

*facepalm*

Ok, what is the prize?

 

[Sexecutioner]

John McCain
Alaska
Idaho
Utah
Arizona
Montana
Wyoming
Texas
Oklahoma
Nebraska
South Dakota
Kansas
Arkansas
Louisiana
Alabama
Mississippi
Georgia
South Carolina
Tennessee
Kentucky
West Virginia
Indiana

171 ELECTORAL VOTES

Barack Obama
California
Oregon
Washington
New Mexico
Minnesota
Iowa
Illinois t:
Wisconsin
Michigan
Maryland
Delaware
New Jersey
Pennslyvania
New York
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Maine
Vermont
New Hampshire
Massachusetts
Colorado
Hawaii
District of Columbia

273 ELECTORAL VOTES

Toss-ups
Likely Obama:
-Nevada
-Ohio
-Virginia
-Florida

Likely McCain:
-North Dakota
-Missouri
-North Carolina

Totals:
338 ELECTORAL VOTES for Barack Obama
200 ELECTORAL VOTES for John McCain

 

[souvlaki]

I'm going to guess the map will look something like this...

 

[The Senator]

My predictions:

Obama: 66 million votes
McCain: 61 million votes

 

[Lightning Strykez!]

I dunno. I think Barack will carry Montana.

 

[Marx]

Here is my breakdown.

JOHN MCCAIN

Spoiler

SOUTH CAROLINA
WEST VIRGINIA
GEORGIA
KENTUCKY
TENNESSEE
INDIANA
ALABAMA
MISSISSIPPI
ARKANSAS
LOUISIANA
SOUTH DAKOTA
NEBRASKA
KANSAS
OKLAHOMA
TEXAS
MONTANA
WYOMING
IDAHO
UTAH
ARIZONA
ALASKA

BARACK OBAMA

Spoiler

MAINE
VERMONT
NEW HAMPSHIRE
MASSACHUSETTS
RHODE ISLAND
CONNECTICUT
NEW YORK
NEW JERSEY
DELAWARE
MARYLAND
DC
PENNSYLVANIA
VIRGINIA
FLORIDA
NORTH CAROLINA
MICHIGAN
OHIO
WISCONISN
ILLINOIS
MINNESOTA
IOWA
MISSOURI
NORTH DAKOTA
COLORADO
NEW MEXICO
NEVADA
WASHINGTON
OREGON
CALIFORNIA
HAWAII

ELECTORAL COLLEGE
MCCAIN: 171
OBAMA: 367

POPULAR VOTE
MCCAIN: 62.5 MILLION
OBAMA: 66.5 MILLION

 

[Matt]

John McCain
Alaska
Idaho
Utah
Arizona
Montana
Wyoming
Texas
Oklahoma
Nebraska
South Dakota
Kansas
Arkansas
Louisiana
Alabama
Mississippi
Georgia
South Carolina
Tennessee
Kentucky
West Virginia
Indiana

171 ELECTORAL VOTES

Barack Obama
California
Oregon
Washington
New Mexico
Minnesota
Iowa
Illinois t:
Wisconsin
Michigan
Maryland
Delaware
New Jersey
Pennslyvania
New York
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Maine
Vermont
New Hampshire
Massachusetts
Colorado
Hawaii
District of Columbia

273 ELECTORAL VOTES

Toss-ups
Likely Obama:
-Nevada
-Ohio
-Virginia
-Florida

Likely McCain:
-North Dakota
-Missouri
-North Carolina

Totals:
338 ELECTORAL VOTES for Barack Obama
200 ELECTORAL VOTES for John McCain

For the point of the competition, toss ups really don't apply.

 

[Sexecutioner]

For the point of the competition, toss ups really don't apply.

I'm giving each candidate those states labeled "Likely..." I just wanted to separate those states because it looks like it will be very close in those states.

 

[Darthphere]

Hey guys, wanna play a game? In this thread, you get to do a state-by-state prediction for next tuesday's presidential race. Predict the winner in each state. And then for tie breaker's sake, predict the national popular vote total of the candidate you picked to win. Whoever gets the closest gets the honor of opening the "President Barack Obama or John McCain," thread which will be used to discuss their transition into the white house, their appointments, etc over the next few months.

Have fun and good luck!

I was under the impression this forum would be destroyed after the election.

 

[Marx]

I was under the impression this forum would be destroyed after the election.

If this forum is destroyed after the election...I'LL BE HOMELESS. I'll be a HYPE wanderer. (And that's just not cool.) I may have to lead a charge against the destruction of this forum.

 

[Matt]

Mods voted on it, political is here to stay

 

[SuBe]

Mods voted on it, political is here to stay

yeah!

 

[Marx]

Mods voted on it, political is here to stay

WOO HOO!!!!

 

[SuBe]

I'm like Marxie, I have no home other than Politico. If something like this went away...

I'd cry.

 

[SuBe]

Wizbang has an interesting report:


This is very interesting. According to an LA Times/Bloomberg poll of those who voted early in Florida, McCain leads Obama 49-45% even though more Democrats voted than Republicans:


Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early. [....]


But party breakdowns for turnout aren't the same as final tallies, and at least one poll offered a different view for the campaign of Republican John McCain.


A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.


And Republicans continued to show a traditional strength, leading 50 percent to the Democrats' 30 percent in the 1.2 million absentee ballots already returned.

 

[souvlaki]

Wizbang has an interesting report:


This is very interesting. According to an LA Times/Bloomberg poll of those who voted early in Florida, McCain leads Obama 49-45% even though more Democrats voted than Republicans:


Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early. [....]


But party breakdowns for turnout aren't the same as final tallies, and at least one poll offered a different view for the campaign of Republican John McCain.


A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted.


And Republicans continued to show a traditional strength, leading 50 percent to the Democrats' 30 percent in the 1.2 million absentee ballots already returned.

I'll believe it when I see it, but if that's true, oh well. If Obama loses Florida he still has a couple other states to cherry-pick from.

 

[Ironfan72]

I think Obama will carry Ohio, but it will be tight, he only leads here by 3.5% over McCain, and McCain will be holding a huge rally in Columbus tomorrow with Cal. Gov. Schwarznegger.

 

[jaguarr]

I'm like Marxie, I have no home other than Politico. If something like this went away...

I'd cry.

Demogoblin was going to banish you to the Dragonball forum, so you'd have a home.

jag