What are your DOM and WW predictions for BP and IW?
Put it all on the table.
It's not even a guarantee IW will match BP's OW let alone BP's legs.
Most box office nerds pegged IW at around 475 m DOM before this weekend.
Meanwhile BP is heading to 600 m DOM.
Unless you're taking worldwide numbers.
Black Panther also doesn't have anything Deadpool or Star Wars sized to compete with 2 weeks after it's release, so that may be a factor as well. I think BP is gonna have some really good legs thanks to that.
I do think IW is going to make more, but I think it could be potentially closer than common sense might think.
Black Panther is on a whole other level as far as EVENT films go.
I'm sorry... I really liked Black Panther and it was definitely an event film, but just like all the other Marvel Studios films before it, Black Panther leads into a much, MUCH bigger event film in Infinity War. Everything Marvel Studios has put out for 10 years has been leading to this. I'm black myself, so I understand the cultural significance of Black Panther, but it doesn't hold a candle to Infinity War's event status. IW has a ton of stuff from Black Panther in it, as well as stuff from Guardians of the Galaxy, stuff from Iron Man, stuff from Thor Ragnarok, stuff from Doctor Strange, stuff from Ant-Man, stuff from Spider-Man: Homecoming, stuff from Civil War and so on.
I don't think it will outdo The Force Awakens. It will outdo Black Panther. The three-day weekend will be around $210 million, making it Marvel's best opening.