Pirates 3, Spider-Man 3, Shrek The Third - What film will gross the most?

mcilroga

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Title says all.

Anyway, I'm giving this to Shrek III as the top grosser. Then Pirates 3, then Spider-Man 3.
 
How many "which movie will rule summer"-threads do we need?
 
Pirates 2 sucked,so alot of people are no longer looking forward to the third one.SM3 will win big time.
 
Yeah this will be merged. I am going to say SM3 will gross the most.
 
This thread includes Shrek, making it superior to the other thread.
 
1) Spider-man = 430 million
2) Shrek = 410 million
3) Pirates = 390 million

Spider-man has a two week head start. Shrek and Pirates are going to have to compete for the same audience.
 
The poll isn't public?

lame. :down

Sorry.

Reasons I think Shrek The Third will beat both POTC 3 and Spider-Man 3:

1) Shrek 2 grossed the most in the US out of both Dead Man's Chest and Spider-Man 2, and it made more worldwide than Spidey 2.

2) Shrek 2 grossed over $400 million more worldwide than the first one. If this progresses, God only knows what Shrek The Third will make.

3) Shrek 2 was just as well-liked from the public and the critics as the original.

4) Spider-Man 2 made less than the first one did.

5) Pirates of the Caribbean 2 was not as well-liked as the first one, despite making more. I definitely didn't like it as much as the first.

6) POTC 2 was just released last year. Shrek 2 and Spider-Man 2 were both released in 2004, so we haven't seen a new sequel for both of those franchises in three years... This has definitely anticipated the audience, and I think they'll be more anxious to see these films.
 
Shrek will win, but it shouldn't. That really p*ssed me off that it beat Spidey 2 in the box office.
 
I'm gonna say it'll go to Shrek. People adore the big green schlub and friends...Spiderman 3 could make as much as 2 but won't come near what part 1 made. And I truly believe that after DMC, POTC lost some of its magic. These three coming out all in one month...will have a huge effect on final box office take...SM2 and Shrek 2 battled it out and ended up being the highest grossing movies that summer...but there isn't room for a third to enter the ring...which means that its possible that between AWE and SM3...one of them won't hit 300m. The reason movies did so well back in the day...like ET and the OT for Star Wars...is because people didn't have this many choices when going to the theatres...which resulted in audiences going to the same movie all summer. Imagine if ET, Jedi, and Ghostbusters all came out the same summer.
 
This is hard. I'd like to say Spidey, which I think will beat Pirates, but Shrek is a wild card.

Honestly, if Shrek the Third beat both I'd laugh, because the fanboys and fangirls (for pirates) are so loud and obnoxious about this, it would just be funny.
 
Pirates 2 sucked,so alot of people are no longer looking forward to the third one.SM3 will win big time.


I love it how one mans opinion is the bases for the whole summer in terms of box office
 
I'm going to say neck-to-neck... that way I don't look like an idiot if Shrek 3 wins.
 
Shrek 3 is going to win and I'm going to be one of the few people who actually lays out facts as to why I think that it's going to win and not my opinion on any given movie; because your opinion of a movie doesn't matter one bit when it comes to predicting the boxoffice.

Lets look at DVD sales first: Shrek 2 has sole over 18 million-an amazing number, not a whole lot of films sale over 10million copies let along 15mil.

Shrek is an animated movie that appeals to adults just as much as kids and sadly (I liked the first two films BTW) animated films don't have to be excelent films to make a crap load of money, so even if Shrek 3 is just okay kids will want to see it over and over again if it makes them laugh enough. And as I stated before Adults love the first two movies also so they will have no trouble seeing it over and over again.

PREDICTION: 390mil total. Winner!

Pirates AWE is a hard one to predict because it's being released a year after the second one and people could be all pirated out but the DVD has sold over 15 million copies and counting, last time I checked, that is a huge number for a liveaction DVD, and the movie had good sequel legs on a record opening. Do I think most people liked it as much as the first one? Nah, but I don't think they disliked it. I think Jack Sparrow and crew will bring in the big bucks again and possibly win the summer but I'm not predicting that because Shrek has more going for it in my opinion.

PREDICTION: 375mil. NUMBAH TWO with a bullet!

And now for my most anticpated movie of the year!

I don't think Spidey 3 has a chance in hell of winning the year because Spidey 2 sold the least DVD (a little under 10mil) and tickets of the bunch and the 2nd movie made less than the first. I believe that the two weeks alone could help it do more than I'm saying and it does look oh so awsome but I just can't bring myself to predict it at number one. I want it to but I can't.

PREDICTION: 340mil. Sorry Spidey!
 
Shrek 3 is going to win and I'm going to be one of the few people who actually lays out facts as to why I think that it's going to win and not my opinion on any given movie; because your opinion of a movie doesn't matter one bit when it comes to predicting the boxoffice.

Lets look at DVD sales first: Shrek 2 has sole over 18 million-an amazing number, not a whole lot of films sale over 10million copies let along 15mil.

Shrek is an animated movie that appeals to adults just as much as kids and sadly (I liked the first two films BTW) animated films don't have to be excelent films to make a crap load of money, so even if Shrek 3 is just okay kids will want to see it over and over again if it makes them laugh enough. And as I stated before Adults love the first two movies also so they will have no trouble seeing it over and over again.

PREDICTION: 390mil total. Winner!

Pirates AWE is a hard one to predict because it's being released a year after the second one and people could be all pirated out but the DVD has sold over 15 million copies and counting, last time I checked, that is a huge number for a liveaction DVD, and the movie had good sequel legs on a record opening. Do I think most people liked it as much as the first one? Nah, but I don't think they disliked it. I think Jack Sparrow and crew will bring in the big bucks again and possibly win the summer but I'm not predicting that because Shrek has more going for it in my opinion.

PREDICTION: 375mil. NUMBAH TWO with a bullet!

And now for my most anticpated movie of the year!

I don't think Spidey 3 has a chance in hell of winning the year because Spidey 2 sold the least DVD (a little under 10mil) and tickets of the bunch and the 2nd movie made less than the first. I believe that the two weeks alone could help it do more than I'm saying and it does look oh so awsome but I just can't bring myself to predict it at number one. I want it to but I can't.

PREDICTION: 340mil. Sorry Spidey!
 
No way Shrek 3 wins! AWE and Spdierman will be very very close but I still say AWE wins.
 
Part of me wants Shrek 3 to win just to piss off everybody. :up:
 
Lol

As long as I know that it will easily be the worst of the 3 movies, it can make the most money
 
Spider-man 3 will rule the summer (domesticly).

My predictions

1. Spider-man 3
Opening Day: $57m
Opening Weekend: $140m
Domesticly: $391m
Foreign: $423m
Worldwide: $814m

2. Pirates of the Caribbean: World's End
Opening Day: $46m
Opening Weekend: $114m
Domesticly: $341m
Foreign: $481m
Worldwide: $820m

3. Shrek 3
Opening Day: $34m
Opening Weekend: $86m
Domesticly: $289m
Foreign: $441m
Worldwide: $729m
 
Pirates 3 will not make as much as Pirates it's been proven at the BO that sequals that come out a year after the pred. don't do as well, outside of LoTR, especially since Pirates 2 was less than spectactular. Shrek 3 is definately a wild card especially after the glut of CGI movies and again the sequal being less than spectactular. Spider-Man 2 has the benefit of being an improvement over it's prequal, especially since coming off a successful sequal is also offering perhaps one of hte most popular villains Venom. It's between Spidy 3 and Shrek the Third but Transformers is going wipe em all off the map :)
 
Spider-Man 3 is in the best position to make the most. It will have two full weeks before the next "big" blockbuster comes out. Shrek 3 will have to contend with POTC 3 on its second weekend and POTC 3 will have to contend with Shrek 3 on its first weekend.

Spider-Man 3 will be on top followed by POTC 3 and then Shrek 3.
 

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