The Amazing Spider-Man 2 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 Box Office Prediction Thread

[Spideyfan117]

Godzilla will bomb.

Nah, they'll slap "From the studios that brought you The Dark Knight Trilogy" on the trailer and people will flock to it.

 

[JOE]

I'm actually really excited for Godzilla. When the 200 movie came out I was just a kid but still had a fun time with it. Loved the cartoon etc. Hope they do it justice, with PR out they have a certain standard to hold now.

 

[Spideyfan117]

I'm excited for it as well (the leaked footage from the Godzilla Encounter was really cool). But TASM2 has most of my attention. I can't really say how the films released in May will do as far as the Box Office goes. TASM2 has the longest open window for the month (and a little before it if you consider the UK April release). Godzilla has the shortest with TASM2 already being out and like a week later DOFP comes out. I'd wager that TASM2 will still be pulling in revenue well into June, but Godzilla and DOFP will both compete with it later in its run and that means progressively less revenue. We'll probably have to wait until trailers come out for all the May movies to really get an idea of how hyped each one is before we can more accurately guess box office performances.

 

[JOE]

Is the leaked footage where you see him from the inside of the building? Saw it and Godzilla looked really fat, I liked him in 2000 cause he was agile. Rather "she" than he.

 

[SpideyFan866]

DOFP is a lock for 700 million as long as it's not critically panned. FC was very acclaimed and it will have that Batman Begin to TDK effect. Plus it has an excellent release date and should dominate into June. Godzilla will bomb. Nothing else of note, outside of a handful of comedies and family films, which aren't targeting the demographic X-Men is targeting.

The biggest films outside Godzilla are 22 Jump Street and How to Train Your Dragon 2.

Neither of those should be underestimated as they are both coming off of successful predecessors, both critically and financially.

They definitely stand a chance of hampering the box-office for DOFP.

And lets not forget that guaranteed behemoth TF4 is coming almost a month exactly after DOFP on the 27th of June.

 

[JOE]

DOFP is a lock for 700 million as long as it's not critically panned. FC was very acclaimed and it will have that Batman Begin to TDK effect. Plus it has an excellent release date and should dominate into June. Godzilla will bomb. Nothing else of note, outside of a handful of comedies and family films, which aren't targeting the demographic X-Men is targeting.

X-Men: 300M
X-Men 2: 400M
X-Men 3: 460M
XOW: 370M
XFC: 350M
TW: 310M and growing




I'd hardly classify DOFP for a 700M lock. No X-Men film has even come remotely close to that and you're predicting it before we even see a trailer? Did you pull a number out of a hat, Mr.M?

 

[Spiderdevil]

DOFP is a lock for 700 million as long as it's not critically panned. FC was very acclaimed and it will have that Batman Begin to TDK effect. Plus it has an excellent release date and should dominate into June. Godzilla will bomb. Nothing else of note, outside of a handful of comedies and family films, which aren't targeting the demographic X-Men is targeting.

That's not a lock

No X-men movie has ever crossed 500M even when most of their movies have been received well.I would say 600M if it is really good.

And with all due respect,Batman always had more fans than X-men.So you really cant make the BB to TDK comparison

 

[SpideyFan866]

DOFP is not a lock for 700 Million.

600 million? I'd say so.

It has alot of obstacles to overcome. But if word of mouth is good, it should be able to overcome it.

Like I said, it has the potential to gross very high, even surpassing 1 Billion, but it will take alot of factors.

 

[NewYorkSpider]

I'm gonna say 500 MIL for DOFP.

 

[Nicko-Ray]

From the top of my head..

DOFP
165 Domestic
380 WW

 

[Spiderdevil]

DOFP is not a lock for 700 Million.

600 million? I'd say so.

It has alot of obstacles to overcome. But if word of mouth is good, it should be able to overcome it.

Like I said, it has the potential to gross very high, even surpassing 1 Billion, but it will take alot of factors.

Not even 600M is a lock
And saying it has a potential to surpass 1 billion is like saying TASM2 has the potential to surpass 2 billion.Not happening

X-men movies don't have the pull on the audience no matter how good they are.They don't have mass appeal like Superheroes like Spidey and Batman have

The highest an X-men movie has done is 450M.
Their flag character hasn't crossed 350M in his recent movie.FC didn't cross 400M

I would say something like 500M is realistic,with 700M being the roof

 

[psylockolussus]

X-Men has the potential to surpass 1 billion! With six films released, it already surpassed 2 billion mark! Another 1 billion is not impossible.

 

[SpideyFan866]

Not even 600M is a lock
And saying it has a potential to surpass 1 billion is like saying TASM2 has the potential to surpass 2 billion.Not happening

X-men movies don't have the pull on the audience no matter how good they are.They don't have mass appeal like Superheroes like Spidey and Batman have

The highest an X-men movie has done is 450M.
Their flag character hasn't crossed 350M in his recent movie.FC didn't cross 400M

I would say something like 500M is realistic,with 700M being the roof

Are you saying ASM2 doesn't have a chance of making a Billion?

Because really, out of every other film next year, ASM2 has the best chances, and is the best positioned release, to gross a billion.

Now, DOFP does have the potential to gross a Billion. As much as ASM2. However, I agree. It just isn't in the best position to do so, as far as the release schedule goes.

It's going up against way too many big releases.

 

[HanShotFirst]

DOFP will have more buzz/hype but TASM2 will make more money. *beingrealistic* lol

 

[SpideyFan866]

DOFP will have more buzz/hype but TASM2 will make more money. *beingrealistic* lol

Doubtful.

If anything, they'll have equal buzz.

But yeah, ASM2 will likely make more money.

 

[JOE]

TASM 2's hype > DOFP's hype.

 

[Mr.M]

That's not a lock

No X-men movie has ever crossed 500M even when most of their movies have been received well.I would say 600M if it is really good.

And with all due respect,Batman always had more fans than X-men.So you really cant make the BB to TDK comparison

The Last Stand was awful and killed the franchise, yet it still grossed decent money. Had it been on par with X2, I think you'd have seen a jump similar to X1 to X2, which was significant. Did anyone honestly expect the franchise to recover after Wolverine spinoffs and a prequel movie? That's not realistic. It will depend on how much they play up the fact that, you know, it's an X-Men film, with the primary heroes involved. Can they also erase the bad will garnered from TLS? All it takes is a good trailer. The Comic-con footage was so, so, but unless they completely botch it, I don't see how it doesn't gross 700, if the reviews are on par with the last couple of X-Men movies. It's getting more hype than Spiderman when you look at what is trending, latest polls, and what not. It's above ASM 2 in anticipation factor; no doubt about it. The fact that Fox bumped up the release date into the onslaught of May/June only proves this.

 

[Mr. Dent]

TASM 2's hype > DOFP's hype.

No, not really. And I think TASM2 will outgross DOFP by at least $100m.

 

[JOE]

So you're saying DOFP is going to be making over 600-700M?

 

[Mr. Dent]

Not over, around that. I think TASM2 will gross $800m-ish ($285m DOM/$520m OS) give or take (probably take).

 

[Green Goblin]

I thought DOFP and TASM2 have similar hype. Both boards get similar views.

 

[JOE]

Unlikely. Track record with X-Men movies isn't that great for this. Unless it pulls a TDK to separate itself from it's origin, it won't fall much over 400M, IMO. Up to 500M if word of mouth is good.

 

[Mr. Dent]

I thought DOFP and TASM2 have similar hype. Both boards get similar views.

This board can hardly be used as a measure of overall hype on the internet. Going by this board Man of Steel should have been far more hyped than anything that came out this summer including Iron Man 3.

Unlikely. Track record with X-Men movies isn't that great for this. Unless it pulls a TDK to separate itself from it's origin, it won't fall much over 400M, IMO. Up to 500M if word of mouth is good.

$250m DOM/$350m OS is very likely. :/

 

[Green Goblin]

Make this the poster

 

[GuestStar2004]

Does it matter which one will make more money?