The Avengers The Avengers Box-Office Prediction Thread - Part 3

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iJackSparrow said:
THIS. My older cousin is raving this movie like crazy, and she never showed any signs of enjoying this kind of movies. My youngest cousin and my goddaughter is a newly turned Marvel fangirl after watching the movie with me last night.
Epi've never seen a WOM quite like this, and I am old enough to remmember hiw it was Titanic's WOM.
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I love stories like this.

Another couple of fangirls are born. :woot:
 
Steyin said:
Saturday showings should be stronger. I wouldn't be surprised if this made more than the $80 mil today. Hell this film could go up to $220+ for the weekend if you ask me.
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Yeah I don't really get why Saturday number is lesser than Friday's when Saturday is the time when families bring their children to movies or buddies really get together.

Friday - 1st degree Fanboys
Saturday and Sunday - Families, those baited by WOM
 
When will Saturday's actual figure comes out? The estimate is 60-64 mil but I think it should do at least 70.
 
70 mil. I don't think any film has a 2nd day even close to that.
 
The previous highest Saturday was Spider-Man 3's 51M.

If the number gets up to 73M Avengers will have two of the three highest days ever. (Potter 8's 91M would stay no. 1)
 
chiefchirpa said:
Yeah I don't really get why Saturday number is lesser than Friday's when Saturday is the time when families bring their children to movies or buddies really get together.

Friday - 1st degree Fanboys
Saturday and Sunday - Families, those baited by WOM
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Don't forget repeat viewings. Avengers is getting plenty of those.
 
DVD/Blu-ray rentals&purchases will go like crazy,I know I'll be at Best Buy on day 1 to get my Blu-ray copy!!
 
1st Day-Fanboys
2nd Day-Families and kids
3rd Day-Carry over?
 
Chewy said:
The previous highest Saturday was Spider-Man 3's 51M.

If the number gets up to 73M Avengers will have two of the three highest days ever. (Potter 8's 91M would stay no. 1)
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If this film has a Saturday over 70M then it will have a chance at reaching a 200M opening if it's Sunday total is atleast 50M.

I'm not saying it's going to happen, but it's definately a possibility.
 
Tony Stark said:
Yes, as seems to be the norm now, Nikki just increased from 60M to 67-70M. I wouldn't doubt if it goes up again. This thing is incredible.

Not only is 200M in play, but I think Avengers has an even better shot now of being no. 1 for 3 consecutive weeks.
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Well I think it's had the odds in it's favor to be #1 for 3 weekends in a row for quite a while now. Even before it ever opened I thought it had the best chance in decades to get it done. If it breaks $200M OW then I'd say staying #1 for 3 weekends in a row is practically locked at this point. What $200M now means is that it has a legit shot at being #1 for 4 weekends in a row, which has never happened in May. It would require MIB3 to also underperform a bit but I think it could be possible. I'd give it a 50/50 shot at doing so if it really does pass $200M for the OW.
 
Also, if it does indeed get to $200M OW then even accounting for inflation and 3-D surcharges, TA will have sold more tickets than either SM1 or TDK.
 
kedrell said:
Well I think it's had the odds in it's favor to be #1 for 3 weekends in a row for quite a while now. Even before it ever opened I thought it had the best chance in decades to get it done. If it breaks $200M OW then I'd say staying #1 for 3 weekends in a row is practically locked at this point. What $200M now means is that it has a legit shot at being #1 for 4 weekends in a row, which has never happened in May. It would require MIB3 to also underperform a bit but I think it could be possible. I'd give it a 50/50 shot at doing so if it really does pass $200M for the OW.
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I see what u did there :oldrazz:
 
80 Friday
70 Saturday
50 Sunday

How is 200M impossible?
 
a bunch of people i know wanted to go see it Saturday but all of them underestimated just how sold out it was going to be and will see it Sunday.

****, i might go again today. i know i am at least seeing it two more times.
 
Yeah, TDKR doesn't have a chance to beat that without 3D...
 
redp said:
The math does lead sometimes to $200 million but the circumstances were different, Gamma Burst I had the same drops for Saturday and Sunday. However, its Saturday gross is estimated at $60 million(hollywoodreporter.com), leaving only $45 million for Sunday which totals up to $185 million as projected by quite a few analysts.

I also want a $200 million gross but with current news about saturday's gross at 60 million, chances are going down.
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No. Saturday gross is already estimated on almost 70M, and it could be more.
Math says it is very possible to reach 200M.
 
Last I saw Nikke was reporting a 68M Saturday. And even with that 200M is still possible. It'd be 80, 68, 52.
 
60M sat was the earlier evening projections. They've been revising up and up.
 
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