The G.I. Joe Box Office Prediction Thread

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

It's a lock.

My friend, a sequel being greenlight and actually happening are 2 VERY different things, its not a lock at all i'm afraid, though I personally hope we do get one.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

^The DVD sales are going to make or break the chances of a sequel. Vanhelsing made 300mil and didn't get a sequel. And it cost less to make than GI JOE.

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

^Yep, even with good DVD sales I dont think its a lock, as you pointed out look at Van Helsing, we'll see I guess.

 

[darthhalen]

One thing I think you are failing to consider, especially when citing Van Helsing as an example is Toy Sales! In my neck of the woods the toys have been selling great and I've read they have been pleased with the toy sales. Van Helsing had some toys, but it was a very weak push. With Joe now officially making 150 mil in the usa I feel its chances heavily favor getting a sequel. Not a guarentee yet, but very close I think.

 

[Timstuff]

GI Joe does have one thing in its favor that Van Helsing didn't though: merchandising. Van Helsing did have merchandise, but it it wasn't very popular.

 

[terry78]

G.I. Joe has been in the game for decades. It's a universal brand, so it ain't going anywhere.

 

[deathshead2]

GI:joe might get a sequel just because of toy sales alone. I'm sure Paramount gets a % of the total toy sales just like Transformers. As so far the movie is failing in Don Simpsons rule of threes.

So GI:joe 2 might happen just like Cars 2 did.

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

^I hope it happens, but I aint getting my hopes up, GIJoe probably made about the same amount of profit that The Incredible Hulk did, but I dont see TIH2 on the horizon, again, we'll have to wait and see.

 

[rashad]

Van Helsing is no where near the property G.I. Joe is.

 

[FCEEVIPER]

Cobra will keep rising for G.I. Joe as sequel confirmed

By David Bentley on Oct 28, 09 04:52 PM

THE summer action blockbuster G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra has so far brought in $300million globally and has also proved a massive boost for the action figures on which the film was based.

Toy company Hasbro, which also makes the Transformers figures, has seen its profits leap beyond Wall Street expectations. Sales of G.I. Joe toys are set to exceed $100million this year, three times more than last year because of soaring demand caused by the film.

Hasbro CEO Brian Goldner said G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra had been "a successful film launch" both for Hasbro and for Paramount Pictures, which made the film adaptation.
Goldner confirmed they were moving forward on a sequel, according to The Hollywood Reporter.

However, Goldner did hint that box office expectations for G.I. Joe may have been too high: "I don't think we can expect that every motion picture we put out to be Transformers, and Transformers is a very rare property, and yet you can have many successful motion pictures."
Earnings from Hasbro's boys' toy lines have leapt 12 per cent following this year's double box office booster effect from Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen and G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra.

But earnings from girls' toys fell by 6 per cent. We can only hope this will not lead to a My Little Pony blockbuster action movie in an attempt to boost revenue...

 

[LostSon88]

Fantastic that the film has been able to generate 400+ million (300 B.O. & 100 Merchandise) and this is all BEFORE the dvd/bd release on Tuesday.

They'd be crazy NOT to make a sequel...nice to know that its officially in the works. t:

 

[TheVileOne]

Van Helsing also had huge DVD sales for Universal.

Nice spinjob by Brian Goldner of Hasbro though.

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

^Exactly, many other movies have sold lots of merchandise, but didnt break even at the BO, and guess what, they didnt get a sequel.

I personally hope we get one but I aint getting my hopes up, over time I have learned not to be so optimistic unless a movie is a smash hit.

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

Double post, sorry

 

[LostSon88]

But did Van Helsing toys and merch exceed 100 mil? Granted that's not a guarantee but I honesty don't see how could they not make a followup to G.I. Joe when there's simply much more money to be made off the name alone.

Seriously I don't see why people think Van Helsing is even a fair comparison...its not like it was an established property beforehand, unlike G.I. Joe.

 

[TheVileOne]

But did Van Helsing toys and merch exceed 100 mil? Granted that's not a guarantee but I honesty don't see how could they not make a followup to G.I. Joe when there's simply much more money to be made off the name alone.

Nope but the Hulk did, and Universal never made a sequel for the Hulk. They gave the rights to Marvel who rebooted it and their movie did about the same.

Seriously I don't see why people think Van Helsing is even a fair comparison...its not like it was an established property beforehand, unlike G.I. Joe.

Because Van Helsing did comparable business. the Universal monsters properties were established pre-Van Helsing as well and the characters featured in the movie.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Van Helsing also had huge DVD sales for Universal.

Nice spinjob by Brian Goldner of Hasbro though.

That was a total spin job. At this point I just don't think that a sequel is signed sealed and delivered. I could see it happening but I think that fans pretending that it is set in stone aren't looking at the facts.

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

^Definately, I am a fan of the movie and want a sequel but I know nothing is set in stone, sequels are greenlight and worked on all the time but dont come out, this will have to do at least Wolverine DVD numbers to get my hopes up.

 

[FCEEVIPER]

G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra wins big in DVD and Blu-ray sales, and only loses to Twilight and Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen.


G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra was an explosive, action packed hit in theaters, grossing $150.2 million dollars, according to Comingsoon.net.

And now, the Paramount Home Entertainment movie starring Sienna Miller, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Karolina Kurkova, Dennis Quaid, and others, has taken first place in DVD and Blu-ray sales and rentals in its debut week. G.I. Joe has, in fact, sold 3.8 million discs in North America, 500,000 of them on Blu-ray.

Such success has made G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra the third most succesful movie this year, beaten only by Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen and Twilight. Not bad, concidering that Megan Fox of Transformers and Robert pattinson, kristen Stewart, and Taylor lautner from The twilight saga are names that might be impossible to outsell these days.