The G.I. Joe Box Office Prediction Thread

[FilmNerdJamie]

They did buy them in the past (i.e. us). Don't know if kids do nowadays.

 

[TheVileOne]

Just because Sigma 6 and 25th Anniversary sold well doesn't mean the ****** movie toys are.

 

[Timstuff]

Say what you will about the movie, but so far the toys have been pretty darned good.

 

[protocida]

G.I. Joe Rise Of Cobra SEQUEL CONFIRMED

t: t: t: t: t: t: t: t: t: t:

 

[Blade X]

Keep in mind that GI Joe's budget is subsidized with toy sales. And before someone makes an erroneous Superman Returns comparison, kids actually buy GI Joe toys.

You are absolutely right.

Also, one of the big shots at Paramount has gone on record as saying that Paramount is going to get a percentage of the movie toy sales. So in a nutshell, this movie had 2 purposes, (1) to kick off a movie franchise and (2) to sell lot's of toys. So instead of having a 30 minute toy commercial masquerading as a TV series we have a 2 hour toy commercial masquerading as a movie (a good movie, I might add).

 

[Timstuff]

GI Joe made $6,405,981 on Monday. For comparison, on Star Trek's first Monday it made $7,502,026, which is just under 1.1 more than GI Joe. If this continues, it's looking like GI Joe will keep going strong for a while.

 

[LostSon88]

Just because Sigma 6 and 25th Anniversary sold well doesn't mean the ****** movie toys are.

Vile indeed...

Dude are you ever not negative?

 

[FCEEVIPER]

Vile indeed...

Dude are you ever not negative?

I've yet to see it.

Also, I'm not holding my breath for that day either.

 

[protocida]

Vile indeed...

Dude are you ever not negative?

Yes.

 

[rashad]

Tuesday Numbers $5,960,560

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

GI Joe made $6,405,981 on Monday. For comparison, on Star Trek's first Monday it made $7,502,026, which is just under 1.1 more than GI Joe. If this continues, it's looking like GI Joe will keep going strong for a while.

Star Trek came out in early May, there is no comparasion.

Anyway, so far the weekday numbers aren't pointing to anything special one way or the other. It could get an under 60% drop but I'm going to wait for todays numbers to make up my mind because it did fall 19 percent yesterday. If it drops near that today I think a 60% drop is in store.

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

Havent seen this yet but plan to, but the numbers arent looking great so far, it'll be interesting to see how if does 2nd weekend.

 

[Superfreak]

well, it'll be interesting to see the drop off, when competition comes into play. Last week, GIJoe had no competition in theatre. So obviously they did well. But I just saw D9, and it was AWESOME. 100X better than Joe. So well see at the end of the weekend what happens.

 

[matrix_ghost]

http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.com/

As expected, Paramount's #3 GI Joe: The Rise Of Cobra is dropping hard -- at one point Friday falling even behind Sony's Julie & Julia "because its audience is so old they are in bed by 6 PM," one studio exec quipped. The soldier actioner went on to thrash it by $3M Friday. Yes, GI Joe's 2nd weekend was down -68% (because of last Friday's $2M midnight shows) for $7M and maybe $22.5M for the weekend. But that's in line with studio estimates. Paramount still thinks it can get to $300M worldwide eventually with a $99M domestic cume and $91M foreign cume this weekend.

 

[Blade X]

Is it now safe to say that making G.I. JOE an international PC team so as to appeal to the international market did not work? trying to please and/or appeal to the international market that "hates" America and the American military has not yielded huge ticket sales over seas or in the good old US of A.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Unless it does better than I'm thinking over the entire weekend it's drop looks to be pretty expected. But hey, it should be glad that it's not dropping anywhere near 70% and to me it looks to be slightly under 60%, which is a decent drop for a movie with a mid level opening and mixed word of mouth. And yes, sadly under 60% is a decent drop for this type of movie...not good at all but fairly decent.

If the movie had opened to 70mil and above this drop would be a win.

 

[LostSon88]

Is it now safe to say that making G.I. JOE an international PC team so as to appeal to the international market did not work? trying to please and/or appeal to the international market that "hates" America and the American military has not yielded huge ticket sales over seas or in the good old US of A.

and so you're implying that having an all American team would've been better to market to an international audience that hates America?

I fail to see your logic.

 

[rashad]

BOM Weekend Numbers
$22,500,000 -58.9% $98,753,000

 

[AVEITWITHJAMON]

^Not being at $100 million after 2 weekend's isnt good, Terminator Salvation had similar numbers at this point.

 

[Blade X]

and so you're implying that having an all American team would've been better to market to an international audience that hates America?

I fail to see your logic.

No, I'm saying that turning the all American G.I. JOE team into a PC international team in order to appeal to international audiences (and subsequently make lots of money over seas) did not work. To be honest, I'm glad this movie isn't a huge hit over seas. Paramount and Hasbro got what they deserve for distancing this movie from America and the American military.

 

[LostSon88]

Lol...wow dude. So you're hating on G.I. Joe on the grounds that its simply not American enough?

And your basis for argument isn't exactly sound, it was the #1 movie overseas this weekend.

Dropping 59% to second place in its second weekend, Stephen Sommers' action movie G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra (Paramount) added another $22.5 million to bring its total to $98.8 million after ten days. Overseas, "G.I. Joe" topped the box office with an additional $26.2 million for a total of $91.5 million. The film has earned $190.5 million worldwide in 10 days.

LOS ANGELES (Hollywood Reporter) - "G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra," the live-action feature based on the Hasbro toy line, held on to the top spot at the international box office and is nearing foreign grosses of $100 million after only 12 days of release.

 

[rashad]

^Not being at $100 million after 2 weekend's isnt good, Terminator Salvation had similar numbers at this point.

Eh, it'll reach that mark either Monday or Tuesday. It will finish higher than Terminator Salvation domestically which is at about $125 million ($369 million worldwide). Right now G.I. Joe is looking to finish in the $300+ million worldwide range also.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Van Helsing made over 300mil and a sequel wasn't made so I'm going to be interested in seeing what the studio does.

 

[TheVileOne]

Van Helsing also cost less than this hack job. It was also a strong seller on DVD.

Basically they were unable to garner similar results to Transformers. And basically its not touching $150 million or $200 million US.

 

[Timstuff]

Van Helsing made over 300mil and a sequel wasn't made so I'm going to be interested in seeing what the studio does.

Van Helsing was very limited in merchandise sales though. Apparently Hasbro has already made as much money from selling GI Joe toys this to retailers this period as they did with Transformers 2 when it came out, and Paramount gets a cut of it.

Given that the movie has made 190 million WW in its first 10 days, I'd be very suprised if it doesn't pass the 300 million mark by the time it leaves theaters. Since it's tracking very similarly to Fantastic 4, I'm guessing its final WW box office tally will be about 360-380 million, with about 156-180 million of it coming from the US.