Iron Man 3 The Iron Man 3 Box Office Prediction Thread

[kedrell]

I think IM3 can get around $150M OW DOM and cross $300M by the end of ST2's OW. Probably finish around $400-450M DOM(probably closer to the lower end of that scale). OS I can see $500M probably. It'll be close but I think $1B WW is achievable, however it'll be difficult.

 

[fixxxer]

 

[Mr. Dent]

I think IM3 can get around $150M OW DOM and cross $300M by the end of ST2's OW. Probably finish around $400-450M DOM(probably closer to the lower end of that scale). OS I can see $500M probably. It'll be close but I think $1B WW is achievable, however it'll be difficult.

$500m is a low ball for the overseas gross. I think this will be pretty big overseas. $600m at least. It will also probably gross a helluva lot in China.

 

[ctsketch]

Over 9000

 

[Xeno]

$500m is a low ball for the overseas gross. I think this will be pretty big overseas. $600m at least. It will also probably gross a helluva lot in China.

With the world premiere being held in Beijing on April 6th and a major Chinese star in the cast, it's guaranteed to do big business there.

 

[thalidomide]

With the world premiere being held in Beijing on April 6th and a major Chinese star in the cast, it's guaranteed to do big business there.

I hope you're right

 

[Mr. Dent]

Honestly it's kind of hard to see this not grossing a billion when I think about it...with how big Iron Man is here in the states and how big it's becoming overseas...

 

[darkslayer101]

After watching that trailer, something tells me its gonna hit 1 billion without a sweat

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Anyone know what time the trailer will be released on Tuesday?

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I think IM3 can get around $150M OW DOM and cross $300M by the end of ST2's OW. Probably finish around $400-450M DOM(probably closer to the lower end of that scale). OS I can see $500M probably. It'll be close but I think $1B WW is achievable, however it'll be difficult.

Yup, only four movies made it to a billion easily.

Luckily for us, one of them had Iron Man in it. t:

 

[kedrell]

Anyone know what time the trailer will be released on Tuesday?

noon eastern/ 9am pacific

 

[Vartha]

I'm going to go low (600 mil), ONLY because of the way the economy is going all over right now

 

[kedrell]

This has been a really weak first 1/4 of the year for movies. Much more so than in the last 2 years at least. That can only benefit the movie that opens the summer season. People will be ready for a big event movie again.

 

[Quasimod0]

i'm hoping gi joe does well though and breaks this trend of recent bad business for movies. Oz should do pretty well too

 

[T"Challa]

Yeah the box office is in the toilet right now, but apparently Oz is tracking really well so maybe that can break the slump a little bit.

Anyway, after seeing the trailer, i'm upping my prediction from 750 to 800 mill ww.

 

[kedrell]

Oz may break the slump a bit but I don't see it doing AIW numbers.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I doubt Oz even hits 200 m let alone 300 m.

Reviews a luke warm, people are avoiding movies more than ever, and the 3D/visual craze from the Avatar/AIW era is long over.

 

[Azog]

Me and every single person I know are taking breaks from going to the theatre until Iron Man 3 comes out. I've talked to a million people and every single one of them have said "Well, theres nothing good coming out soon, except Iron Man 3". I think its going to hit 1 billion, or at least get close to it.

 

[Spider-Vader]

Yeah, I think 1 billion is in the bag. This movie has mad hype, I don't think any other movie this year can even compare to the amount of hype that this movie has.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

I'm going to go low (600 mil), ONLY because of the way the economy is going all over right now

So you think IM3 won't build on its audience from Iron Man 2 at all? Even after the inflating influence of the Avengers?

 

[Juicy J]

I usually lowball just to be safe. I said the Avengers was going to make around a billion and look what happened there.
I think this'll probably make 700-800 million world wide... either way I think it goes without saying this'll be the highest grossing solo film Marvel studios has put out yet.

 

[KangConquers]

Boxoffice.com is projecting a $151 M OW for IM3, and a $375 M domestic run. If IM3 had an even ratio of domestic to foreign gross, that would put the Worldwide total at just over $900 M.

I imagine Disney is going to lay on the hype hard in the next 2 months, and if the reviews are Avengers/ IM1 level, this film will pop $1 B with ease.

 

[Mr. Dent]

^ Yeah...the OW may even be a bit of a lowball too. Either way, the foreign gross is going to be even larger than IM and IM2 proportionally because China is going to be a much bigger factor this time around. To put it in perspective, IM2 only gross $7m in China...IM3 wlil easily break $40m over there.

 

[jaqua99]

I'd say anywhere from 800m to 1b, 1 billion is certainly not outside the realm of possibility

 

[Swansea]

Hopefully it's as great as the last two. If so, it should make a billion.