Thor's box office competition - Part 1

[Vartha]

But I heard even Depp's not sure when he'll do the next Pirates. He likes the character, but if he doesn't like the next script he may walk.

http://search.yahoo.com/r/_ylt=A0oG...es-of-the-caribbean-johnny-depp-casting-call/

btw fun fact! Depp's son's favorite hero/character is Iron Man!

heh nice. Well Depp I'm sure will get Disney to get something great I'm sure.

 

[chiefchirpa]

But I heard even Depp's not sure when he'll do the next Pirates. He likes the character, but if he doesn't like the next script he may walk.

http://search.yahoo.com/r/_ylt=A0oG7ner1tdN9AUAhbtXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTE0YmlrMDI5BHNlYwNzcgRwb3MDMQRjb2xvA2FjMgR2dGlkA01BUDAwNl83MQ--/SIG=13b7c5qpc/EXP=1306012427/**http%3a//moviesblog.mtv.com/2011/05/05/pirates-of-the-caribbean-johnny-depp-casting-call/

btw fun fact! Depp's son's favorite hero/character is Iron Man!

Give him the Dr Strange script

Pirates of the Carribean: On (Dr Strange)r tides....

 

[rashad]

Friday Estimate - $4,382,000

 

[Arach Knight]

I will be extremely disappointed if Thor falls behind Bridesmaids. Thor only needs $29 million (give or take) to have a global total of $400 million. $500 million seems like a far shot at this point, but $420 million should still be possible. Does anyone know if the $150 million budget included Marvel's marketing? If not, then does anyone know how much was spent on marketing?

 

[Chewy]

Of course it is going to make more than 420. It will make 450. And it has been behind Bridesmaids since Monday.

 

[ElMariachi]

What I don't understand is why they released the movie knowing that Pirates was only two weeks ahead!
I thought Superman Returns has taught everyone a lesson.
15 million is kinda ******. I hope it hits 170mil domestically (at least)!!

Why? At ths point, it's simply d--k measuring Thor against other franchises. Thor was a success and there is going to be a sequel.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Thor is doing as well as can be expected with Pirates 4 coming out. And 200mil is still not out of the question.

 

[Arach Knight]

Of course it is going to make more than 420. It will make 450. And it has been behind Bridesmaids since Monday.

Well, that is disheartening. I never understood the attraction of seeing a comedy in a theater. A joke is not made more humorous by a larger screen or surround sound. I mean, everyone has their preference, but for me, a trip to the theater is about adventure, other worlds and feeling engrossed by the atmosphere. To that end, seeing a huge city scape and a massive battle, is more appealing on a larger screen (sort of a metacognitive situation in which larger than life events are literally shown as larger than life). Oh well, I knew Thor was a front loaded film and said as much several pages ago. It has still drawn a large audience and is a success. Not quite as huge a success as I thought, but there should be no problems with Marvel being willing to fund a sequel.

 

[Son of Coul]

It's the atmosphere of the room. Laughing with an audience-- with a crowd, is considerably more fun than in a living room or at a computer desk by oneself.

 

[TheVileOne]

This was to be expected. But that being said, Pirates 4 is underperforming whereas Thor is surpassing expectations.

This is sort of what I expected this weekend. A sizeable dropoff. But next weekend the dropoff will be much smaller because of the holiday. So next weekend Thor will be over $160 million-ish.

 

[Tony Stark]

I figured Pirates might be under 100M for the weekend. I think the first film to break the 100M weekend mark this summer, might be Harry Potter or Transformers.

 

[rashad]

I figured Pirates might be under 100M for the weekend. I think the first film to break the 100M weekend mark this summer, might be Harry Potter or Transformers.

Transformers moved to a Wednesday opening again. So it won't have a traditional 3-day weekend opening.

 

[TheVileOne]

I figured Pirates might be under 100M for the weekend. I think the first film to break the 100M weekend mark this summer, might be Harry Potter or Transformers.

I hope it's Captain America . That is the movie the country needs right now.

 

[chiefchirpa]

I think Thor can still eke out something for another week. But starting June, I'm packing bags to Cap forum to show support.

 

[BigThor]

I was hoping Thor could make 20 million over the weekend, well I guess that's out the window.

 

[04nbod]

Thor is doing as well as can be expected with Pirates 4 coming out. And 200mil is still not out of the question.

Not out of the question but unlikely. I'm pitching my tent between 170 and 180

 

[Evil Twin]

$200 million domestic was always a longshot considering that Thor needed a 3x multiplier.

 

[Bubonic]

This is an all ages board, go pitch a tent on your own time!

 

[kedrell]

It could be as low as $145M if everything that can go wrong does go wrong but still that's where it'll be at least by that time.

Well at least my low-end prediction came true. Hopefully the actuals will paint a better picture.

 

[rashad]

Weekend Estimates $15,500,000 -55.3%

 

[rashad]

Also 'Pirates Caribbean 4' Soft $90.1M Domestic; Saved By Biggest 5-Day International $256.3M, 4th Highest Global Cume $346.4M.

 

[Spider-Fan]

I think this drop was to be expected. I don't think anyone should be that disappointed. This was the 3rd weekend, and it is better to have that steeper drop now than it was to have in the 2nd weekend.

 

[Spider-Fan]

I hope it's Captain America . That is the movie the country needs right now.

If Captain America gets 100 mil opening weekend, I will die happy. I think Potter and likely Transformers both accomplish that feat.

 

[Arach Knight]

Really, this film just needs to leap the hurdle of $400 million. While it would be nice if it had a larger gross here in the U.S., that is ultimately unimportant as far as the fate of this franchise is concerned. Once it reaches $400 million, I have a hard time imagining Marvel turning down the opportunity to produce a sequel.

 

[Spider-Fan]

Really, this film just needs to leap the hurdle of $400 million. While it would be nice if it had a larger gross here in the U.S., that is ultimately unimportant as far as the fate of this franchise is concerned. Once it reaches $400 million, I have a hard time imagining Marvel turning down the opportunity to produce a sequel.

Passing 400 million WW is guaranteed. 500 million is more in question, but I agree, I see no way Thor doesn't get a sequel. For a first film in a franchise, it has shown promise. Thor 2 will be more hyped.