Thor's box office competition

Discussion in 'Thor' started by Still A ThorFan, Jan 1, 2011.

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  1. BigThor God of Thunder

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    True, and the effects aren't even finished in the teaser trailer. I hear a new trailer is coming out at the end of this month and it's gonna have more finalized effects.
     
  2. Spider-Vader Mercin' & Workin'

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    I honestly think Thor will be successful, with the right word of mouth, it can do Iron Man numbers.
     
  3. Angamb Registered

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    for a right word of mouth, the movie has to be epic.

    So lets hope its really EPIC.
     
  4. Weadazoid Registered

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    Really? I mean don't get me wrong that would be awsome but it seems a little soon to release the 2nd trailer.


    Maybe a new SUper Bowl Spot, but that would be 30 seconds.
     
  5. BigThor God of Thunder

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    Yeah but seeing as "Thor" might be a hard movie to see I think they're amping up the promotion
     
  6. conan69 Cimmerian

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    Comic book readers are actually a pretty small group compared to the general movie going audience. I know quite a few people who enjoy comic book movies ,but dont and have never read the comic book versions.

    Most people who go to the movie just want to be entertained for a couple hours, and audiences love their eye candy (which Thor should deliver on) - so I dont see why both wont do decent business.

    Fantasy movies have done pretty well in the past few years, so I think Thor will be ok.

    Considering the political climate, and the patriotic nature of the main character,I think Cap will do very well too.
     
  7. Vartha Mod of Thunder

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    heh I know the comic book community is small from when Ang Lee's Hulk came out. I was arguing with a lady that was dead set that the TV show Hulk was out before comics, until I brought in an old Comicbook. :D
     
  8. Tacit Ronin Registered

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    Good Job.
     
  9. CaptainCraig Registered

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    Thor is going to be #1 for two weeks in a row. Fast 5 isn't going to phase it. That movie will debut well but be heavily frontloaded.
    Thor kicks off summer. The last 3yrs in a row a Marvel Comics film has opened the first week of May and done at least $85m for the 3day opening weekend.

    Marvel films in total have opened 6 films there and FIVE of them have crossed $200m, XM:OWolverine being the exception and lets face it most see that as a 4th film anyway.

    THOR is a lock for $200m as I see it.
     
  10. BigThor God of Thunder

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    Well idk about that because the Fast & Furious franchise is pretty successful and well established.
     
    #35 BigThor, Jan 20, 2011
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2011
  11. Vartha Mod of Thunder

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    Yeah but how many times can you see F&F? lol I understand it's a different film every time But Thor's newer, if They advertise right they can reach all kinds of people.
    I see this film attracting people from the Potter films, LotR films, Hero films and even the Game films where I personally have never really wanted to see any of the F&F films. The only one I've seen was on the boob tube. lol
     
  12. Weadazoid Registered

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    Well... having the Rock in yer movie isn't exactly going to help.



    IN all honesty having the Rock and Vin in the same movie would have been huge like... 5 years ago.... not it will seem a bit tired.
     
  13. CaptainCraig Registered

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    Help me out with your thinking?
    Fast & Furious (the 4th entry) opened in April to $70m and it had the blockbuster franchise drop off of 61% scoring only $27m it's second week.
    Even doing rough inflation and giving Fast 5 a $75 or 80m opener shows it's going to have a near 60% drop.

    Are you saying THOR isn't going to open to AT LEAST $40m? That's the only way THOR isn't #1 for two weeks. Fast5 would have to stay nearly flat and THOR would have to have the worst opener for a Marvel movie in 3years opening the first week of May.

    I don't see that scenario playing out.
     
  14. Gamma Burst Registered

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    That's how I see it too,mate.
     
  15. Bren Forevernoob

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    Is $200m going to be considered a success? What was the budget for Thor?
     
  16. CaptainCraig Registered

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    No one knows yet. They are still working on the film, polishing the CGI etc.
    My guess is it's around $150 at least. They spent $140 on the first Iron Man.

    It will likely do about that in the foreign markets. Thor doing around $400m World Wide would be a success I'd think. One could argue degrees but I'm not getting into hair splitting. Hair splitting is for haters I've found.
     
  17. Gamma Burst Registered

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    Doing around 400-450 M Worldwide is pretty possible and would be great.
    If it makes more than that,it will be even better.:up:
     
  18. BigThor God of Thunder

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    My bad, I thought Fast 5 came out a week AFTER "Thor" not before

    I was wrong :(
     
  19. BigThor God of Thunder

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    I sure hope this is the case Vartha, that would be the best outcome :word:
     
  20. flash13 Wally West

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    It will be interesting to see how Thor does in its first weekend. It's unlike any other super hero movie the public has seen up until this point. I think that Captain America will do better in the long run but I could be wrong.
     
  21. BigThor God of Thunder

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    I'm almost sure that Thor will do better "world wide", which is more important than being successful in North America alone.

    Althought im not sure which movie will do better in North America, it really all depends on the marketing of each film. Thor's character is fairly unknown to the GA, but that name "THOR" is well known so im sure it will also attract ppl who don't know who he actually is.
     
    #46 BigThor, Jan 24, 2011
    Last edited: Jan 24, 2011
  22. Vartha Mod of Thunder

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    Yeah I tend to agree BT.
    Cap my do well in countries we do well with but I doubt it'll top Thor by a whole lot.
    First Avenger should do well with the Fourth of July still fresh in the U.S. but I wonder about the rest of the world.
     
  23. BigThor God of Thunder

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    Exactly, countries like Germany whose Nazi group are villains in Caps movie might not take to his film.

    Thor doesn't really have problems like that, but Thor has the fantasty element and Cap has the military element. So both of those movies have other selling points besides the superhero genre.

    Here's to hoping that both of them GREATLY exceed their expectations :)
     
    #48 BigThor, Jan 24, 2011
    Last edited: Jan 25, 2011
  24. Tacit Ronin Registered

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    The German's aren't the villains, Nazi's are.
     
  25. BigThor God of Thunder

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    What are the Nazi's nationality again? Oh that's right they're German
     
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