@
kguillou
Didn't know there was a thread, thanks for tagging me.
Very curious to see what will happen with this theaters vs streaming situation. Personally I think that theaters will be decimated this year because it will take longer than many think to get the pandemic under control, even with vaccines. But I also don't think they'll be gone forever. 2022 will probably start a slow but steady comeback for theaters.
I'm mixed on AT&T's decision to release Warner's 2021 slate simultaneously in theaters and streaming. On the one hand, I think it's the right call in 2021. As I mentioned before, I believe it's way too optimistic to think that movie-going will return to more or less normal by mid-year (Black Widow will either prove me right or wrong) so a simultaneous release on two different platforms might actually make more money than putting a movie in theaters only.
The concerns of directors (and actors) seem to be two-fold. Firstly, they think AT&T's plan will screw them out of residuals because an added streaming option will cut down box office revenue. If they think that theater attendance will return to normal relatively soon then I can understand the argument but again I think they're being very optimistic. I don't think the added option of streaming will make a big impact on the box office in 2021. Even if streaming isn't an option then a lot of people would still skip theaters and these movies would lose money. I'm sure Villeneuve and others would be happy if Warner (and other studios) delayed their movies another year if theaters don't recover fast enough but in that case studios would have to stop making new content until they can unload the stuff they already have finished. Doesn't make sense to go into production on new projects when you have a huge backlog that is costing you money to sit on every month. Add in shareholders who are getting antsy and another year-long delay just isn't very feasible.
Secondly, there's this argument that if AT&T puts these movies on streaming then theaters will die forever. Basically, we will become so accustomed to this model that we'll never want to go back to theaters. On the one hand, I understand the concern that streaming won't be able to support big tent-poles like box office revenue can. But I don't think one year's worth of movies going to streaming will necessarily do that. And if people really don't want to go back to cinemas then maybe theaters don't deserve to survive. Instead of Nolan and Villeneuve lecturing moviegoers, they should perhaps reflect on why many are so quick to abandon theaters (bad video and sound quality, bad experiences due to theater owners not enforcing any rules, insane ticket and concession prices etc.) and try to change that side of the business.
I'm not anti-theater or anti-creator but I dislike the arrogance displayed by some of these directors and actors. They think this pandemic should not affect them one bit. Studios should delay movies until they can net the directors and stars extra millions on top of the millions they got upfront or the masses should cram into theaters during a pandemic.