Thor: Ragnarok Box Office Prediction

What Will Be Thor: Ragnarok's Total Box Office Worldwide?

  • Over $1 Billion

  • $900 million to $1 Billion

  • $800 to $900 million

  • $700 to 800 million

  • $600 to 700 million

  • $500 to 600 million

  • $400 to 500 million

  • > (Less Than) $400 million

  • Over $1 Billion

  • $900 million to $1 Billion

  • $800 to $900 million

  • $700 to 800 million

  • $600 to 700 million

  • $500 to 600 million

  • $400 to 500 million

  • > (Less Than) $400 million

Results are only viewable after voting.
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Blitzkrieg said:
Both TASM movie's had production budgets over 250 million.

TASM2 barely made any profits for Sony while TDW made at-least more than 7 times TASM2's gross profits and that includes all the ancillary projections.
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What in the world did they need that much money for? It's Spider-Man, not Dragon Ball Super.

Nothing in those movies seemed epic or large scale at all.
 
BigThor said:
The Amazing Spider-Man was not considered a poor film critically or financially.

Also Spider Man 3 and TASM 2 were both finacially successful and nowhere near as disliked by the public as they were by critics and cbm fans.
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That sounds like how the Phantom Menace was a huge hit at the box office...but hurt the SW brand.

Iceman said:
Yeah, but also 2 absolutely huge films before that which Thor didn't have.
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Another good point.....6 films in 15 years. That had to mute audience demand.
 
iEquinox said:
Yeah, while TASM2 hurt the Spider-Man brand more than The Dark World hurt Thor as a brand, Spider-Man obviously has the edge when it came to worldwide popularity.
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Thor only had one film before Thor: The Dark World, so he didn't have much of a brand at that point anyway especially compared to Spider-Man
 
JeetKuneDo said:
Another good point.....6 films in 15 years. That had to mute audience demand.
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Yeah I don't think many solo characters could get away with that amount of releases in such a relatively short space of time.
 
It's a good thing this movie is so front-loaded as I think Justice League will cut its legs clean off.
 
spider-neil said:
It's a good thing this movie is so front-loaded as I think Justice League will cut its legs clean off.
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We shall see. Let's see how JL is critically received and how the general audience reacts to it. Then again JL comes out 2/3 weeks after TR and by then the bulk of the turnout is already in. After that it's just a matter of keeping itself going on good word of mouth and general audience curiosity.
 
spider-neil said:
It's a good thing this movie is so front-loaded as I think Justice League will cut its legs clean off.
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"Clean off" means it wouldn't make another cent after JL comes out. That would be impressive, maybe they used Steppenwolf's axe. :woot:
 
Deadline

‘Thor’ Rocks On With $10.8M Tuesday; Will Continue To Strike Lightning In Second Weekend With $60M

Marvel’s son of Odin will continue to own the box office with an estimated $60M in weekend 2, -51%; a three-day take that’s roughly $5M shy from what Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 pulled in during its second frame ($65.2M), and that was during May. It’s just further proof of the power of the off-season at the multiplex when the right movie is on the marquee.

Yesterday, Thor: Ragnarok made an estimated $10.8M, which is the second best Tuesday we’ve seen post Labor Day after It‘s $11.4M back in September. The Disney/Marvel movie currently counts $141.8M with the two century mark feasibly within its grasp by the weekend. Veterans Day falls on a Saturday this year, so look for Friday to be more robust than usual as schools are off. Thor: Ragnarok carries an 89% overall positive score from PostTrak with men under 25 (24%) being the biggest fans with a 92% positive. Thor: Ragnarok has an awesome 79% definite recommend.
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http://deadline.com/2017/11/thor-ragnarok-great-tuesday-murder-on-the-orient-express-daddys-home-2-weekend-box-office-preview-1202204084/
 
Well looks like I was close with my 10 million guess for Tuesday.
 
HammerDown said:
Deadline


http://deadline.com/2017/11/thor-ragnarok-great-tuesday-murder-on-the-orient-express-daddys-home-2-weekend-box-office-preview-1202204084/
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Superhero movies usually increase between 20-25% on their first Tuesdays. All superhero movies this year fell in that range, except for Logan which got 19.4%. Meanwhile $10.8M would be a 30.9% increase, so that is very good.

Just hoping now that the bigger than usual increase on Tuesday isn't followed by a bigger than usual drop on Wednesday.
 
If that $60 million dollar weekend predicted comes true -- T:R will have passed both previous Thor movies on it's 10th day of release.
 
Solid numbers so far. Doesn’t look like a breakout at this point, but does look like it may beat my expectations of an $800 million ceiling. Great to see.
 
Some thoughts on T:R's "legs"....

Legs have nothing to do with staying in the top spot -- it has to do with staying relevant at the box office for an extended time.

T:R opened on Nov 3, in the US and on Monday January 1st 2018 will have been out 60 days.

Historically the box office drops big time after the kids go back to school and the holidays are over.

GotG2 in days 1-59 (8 full weeks and the 9th weekend) had made $383,383,000 million and days 60-140 made an additional $6,977,000 million.

SM:H in days 1-59 had made $324, 085,000 and in days 60-122 has made an additional $9,948,000 million.

So SM:H had made 97% of it's USA money by it's 8th weekend and
GotG2 had made 98% of it's money.

Despite the fact that there will be two blockbuster movies opening from now until January Thor should remain in the top 10 and relevant -- unless for some reason it drops off a lot from competition from dramas and comedies and small budget action movies.

I think opening the first week of November is kind of smart. You get 2 full months that are loaded with holidays and long stretches with school out. And by January your movie will have made all the virtually all the money it's going to make anyway.

Here's a Wikipedia link to all the movies being released in 2017 and if you scroll down to Nov-Dec you see what the competition consists of.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_in_film#October.E2.80.93December
 
Thor will have already made most of its money by the time Justice League comes out. Nothing to worry about really. Justice League should probably be worried about Disney's Coco.
 
Virtually ALL movies make "most" of their money in the first 14 days.
The point is how to position your movie to maximize the remaining 100+ days of release. T:R has done this by giving it 8 full weeks during a time when there are lots of holidays and lots of kids out of school AND having very few "big" movies as competition.

Summer movies have kids out of school and holidays (Memorial, 4th and Labor) - but also are crammed with one big blockbuster after another. SM:H was fortunate that this August was the weakest in 10 years and stayed in the top 10 for a long time.

Thor's competition besides JL and SW is Jumanji and Coco and perhaps a sleeper or two.
 
Krystal said:
Virtually ALL movies make "most" of their money in the first 14 days.
The point is how to position your movie to maximize the remaining 100+ days of release. T:R has done this by giving it 8 full weeks during a time when there are lots of holidays and lots of kids out of school AND having very few "big" movies as competition.

Summer movies have kids out of school and holidays (Memorial, 4th and Labor) - but also are crammed with one big blockbuster after another. SM:H was fortunate that this August was the weakest in 10 years and stayed in the top 10 for a long time.

Thor's competition besides JL and SW is Jumanji and Coco and perhaps a sleeper or two.
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Jumanji is hot garbage.

That movie will flop just as hard as Baywatch did for The Rock.
 
I don't get why Marvel didn't schedule the film for two weeks before its current release date, the weekend of October 20th.

Virtually competition-free and doesn't have to worry about Justice League at all.
 
Very nice. Looking forward to that nice round 600 asap too.
 
I didn't say Jumanji was going to be a hit or any good! LOL. If you look at that list of releases between now and Jan. 1-- it's not packed with high profile stuff.
 
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