Thor: Ragnarok Box Office Prediction

[HammerDown]

#ThorRagnarok India Box Office
First Week: 51.55cr ($7.97mn)
4th Biggest 1st Week ever for a MCU or a Holly Superhero film behind #Avengers2, #CivilWar & #SpidermanHomecoming. Crossed the combined business of #Hulk , #Thor & '#Thor 2' in India.

https://***********/itsjat32/status/928818547404312576?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fforums.boxofficetheory.com%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcore%26module%3Dsystem%26controller%3Dembed%26url%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fitsjat32%2Fstatus%2F928818547404312576

 

[JtheDreamer]

http://deadline.com/2017/11/thor-ragnarok-murder-on-the-orient-express-daddys-home-2-weekend-box-office-1202205662/

Can I get a hell yeah!

Very nice hold!

 

[Ctfxcwatcher]

Over at BOT forum, the poster RTH is saying a 19 million Friday. I'm curious what tomorrow's numbers will be. I wonder if it's Saturday number will be in the 20s.

 

[ironman_rick]

http://deadline.com/2017/11/thor-ragnarok-murder-on-the-orient-express-daddys-home-2-weekend-box-office-1202205662/

Holy Houdini........ that will be awesome.... 49% ? wow

 

[iEquinox]

1). Thor: Ragnarok (DIS), 4,080 theaters / $18.5M Fri. (-60%) / 3-day cume: $54.1M (-56%) / Total cume: $209.1M / Wk 2

http://deadline.com/2017/11/thor-ra...-daddys-home-2-weekend-box-office-1202205662/

 

[iEquinox]

The official Friday estimate is $18,284,000.

http://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2017/11/10

 

[Blitzkrieg]

https://***********/GiteshPandya/status/929365764880072705

Gitesh Pandya
@GiteshPandya

#ThorRagnarok still #1 w/ $18.3M FRI going to about $54M wknd.

Bigger Friday increase for Ragnarok compared to DS with Veterans's Day (Nov 11th) spillover effect.

Will be interesting to see how much Ragnarok manages to increase on Saturday. Will be kinda muted w.r.t to the inflated Friday but it has shown strong matinee performance and the WoM is really great as well so it can potentially still increase really well. Looking forward to how the weekend shapes up.

 

[SomeOldGuy]

Deadline has pushed it up to $56.1 million. That would be a 54% drop if it holds, which would be just fine. It’s not unusual to see these big CBMs drop ~60% nowadays.

 

[HammerDown]

Domestic = 173M
Foreign = 354M
Worldwide = 527M

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=main&id=marvel2017.htm

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

Domestic = 173M
Foreign = 354M
Worldwide = 527M

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=main&id=marvel2017.htm

Any chance it cracks 800 million?

 

[HammerDown]

For comparison:

IT - OW: 123M // 2nd Weekend: 60M
Thor Ragnarok - OW: 122M // 2nd Weekend: "est. 56M"
Spider-Man: HC - OW: 117M // 2nd Weekend: 44M

IT - Domestic Total: 326M
SM:HC - Domestic Total: 334M

 

[HammerDown]

Any chance it cracks 800 million?

I would say yes. It's on track to crack 800M. It's performing better overseas than GOTG2 wich made a total of 473M so i guess 500M would be a decent bet. And domestically i think it will also crack 300M.

 

[Iceman]

I'm pretty sure it's going above $800m as it's going to be a large part of the way there by Sunday night.

 

[HammerDown]

Right now my estimated guess would be a WW total of 800 to 850M.

 

[HammerDown]

Forbes

'Thor,' 'Bad Moms Christmas,' 'Jigsaw' Hold Strong At Friday Box Office

Walt Disney and Marvel’s Thor: Ragnarok earned another $18.284 million (-60.5%) to bring its eight-day domestic cume to $173.273m. So, it’ll pass the unadjusted domestic totals for The Incredible Hulk ($132m), Captain America ($176m), Ant-Man ($180m) and Thor ($181m) today while ending tomorrow just ahead of Thor: The Dark World ($206m). With an $18.28m Friday, we’re either looking at a second weekend between $54m (if it plays like Doctor Strange in terms of second-weekend multipliers) and $62m (if it plays like Skyfall and Thor: The Dark World). So, we’ll see tomorrow if it ends its tenth day with $216m or $206m (or somewhere in between).

As far as MCU movies go, it’s a perfectly normal post-debut hold, as that 60% Friday drop is closer to Doctor Strange (-54%) than Thor: The Dark World (-67%). It should be over $600 million worldwide by tomorrow, with an outside shot (speculation alert) of being over the $642m global cume of Thor: The Dark World. If not then, then soon. A total above Thor 2 and Doctor Strange ($677m) now a certainty, with the question being whether it clears $800m or $900m and beyond. We’ll see how it holds up next weekend from the challenge of the Super Friends.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2017/11/11/thor-bad-moms-christmas-jigsaw-hold-strong-at-friday-box-office/#6af4cf3b3ff8

 

[iEquinox]

For comparison:

IT - OW: 123M // 2nd Weekend: 60M
Thor Ragnarok - OW: 122M // 2nd Weekend: "est. 56M"
Spider-Man: HC - OW: 117M // 2nd Weekend: 44M

IT - Domestic Total: 326M
SM:HC - Domestic Total: 334M

Using Homecoming in a comparison like this is very misleading. It makes it look like Ragnarok is in a much better position than Homecoming was after its 2nd weekend, but that is not the case. If anything, Homecoming seems to have the advantage.

If these weekend numbers hold, I think it'll still pass $300M, but reaching Homecoming's $334M will be difficult.

 

[HammerDown]

From what i was able to gather...
China = Added total of 87.8M for Saturday and an estimated 93M on Sunday.

That's a really strong performance. 93M would put it in the Top 20 for the year in China.

 

[Mjölnir]

Using Homecoming in a comparison like this is very misleading. It makes it look like Ragnarok is in a much better position than Homecoming was after its 2nd weekend, but that is not the case. If anything, Homecoming seems to have the advantage.

If these weekend numbers hold, I think it'll still pass $300M, but reaching Homecoming's $334M will be difficult.

I don't find that misleading as the post clearly shows that while Homecoming had a significantly lower second weekend than IT yet finished ahead in the end.

 

[iEquinox]

I don't find that misleading as the post clearly shows that while Homecoming had a significantly lower second weekend than IT yet finished ahead in the end.

Using one comparison that isn't misleading doesn't make the other one any less misleading.

Comparing it to Homecoming in that way makes it makes it look like Ragnarok is pulling away from Homecoming. But in reality it's the other way around. Ragnarok's lead over Homecoming has actually gotten smaller since their opening weekends, despite the fact that Ragnarok has had a holiday to help inflate its numbers while Homecoming did not.

 

[Krystal]

Those dreams of a $61-63 million second weekend went away pretty fast.

 

[Mjölnir]

Using one comparison that isn't misleading doesn't make the other one any less misleading.

Comparing it to Homecoming in that way makes it makes it look like Ragnarok is pulling away from Homecoming. But in reality it's the other way around. Ragnarok's lead over Homecoming has actually gotten smaller since their opening weekends, despite the fact that Ragnarok has had a holiday to help inflate its numbers while Homecoming did not.

I haven't followed the BO of Homecoming as I don't really care about it (just reading all the Ragnarok threads so this pops up now and then), but I didn't get that impression despite that I pretty much just had that post's info.

 

[Darepool]

After the same time frame (8 days), Homecoming had about 3.5 million more in domestic revenue then Ragnarok. However, I expect Ragnarok to pull ahead of Homecoming after this weekend by roughly that same amount. But then Homecoming will likely pull ahead again with it's stronger (summer) weekday totals.

 

[BigThor]

Deleted

 

[BigThor]

Box Office: ‘Thor: Ragnarok’ Continues to Conquer With $61 Million

Disney-Marvel’s “Thor: Ragnarok” is set to continue its reign at the box office in its second weekend with $61.3 million at 4,080 North American locations.

The third Thor movie ended a monthlong box office slump last weekend when it opened with $122.7 million, the fourth-best launch of 2017, so a decline of under 50% is well above the norm. Directed by Taika Waititi, “Thor: Ragnarok” stars Chris Hemsworth as the title character, with Mark Ruffalo, Tom Hiddleston, Cate Blanchett, and Jeff Goldblum.

 

[Iceman]

As I said in the other thread: Great hold there, and no surprise given how good the reception has been and the likely number of rewatches.