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Deadpool & Wolverine Deadpool & Wolverine at the BoX office

psylockolussus

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Verdict: This should do for 20th Century Fox’s Marvel movies what “Spider-Man: No Way Home” did for Sony’s Marvel films — and, perhaps, fully introduce the X-Men into the Marvel Cinematic Universe.


I don't eXpect this to be as huge as No Way Home at boX office. But on paper, this should be the highest grossing Wolverine movie ever and highest grossing Deadpool movie ever.

Domestic
Deadpool: $363,070,709
Deadpool 2: $324,591,735
Logan: $226,277,068
Origins: Wolverine: $179,883,157
The Wolverine: $132,556,852

Worldwide
Deadpool 2: $785,896,632
Deadpool: $782,837,347
Logan: $619,180,476
The Wolverine: $414,828,246
Origins: Wolverine: $373,062,864
 
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I hope this does really well since in a way this is Foxverse's No Way Home. All the characters, big and small, from 2000 to 2018 Foxverse movies, sounds exciting. Its going to be cameos galore in the theaters in July/August!

But also, I hope this will give goodwill to the mcu movies coming out next year, most especially the Fantastic 4.

If I was Marvel Studios, I would attach the trailer of Brave New World with Deadpool & Wolverine.
 
After seeing that trailer work so well from the chemistry between the leads alone, without getting heavily into all the cameos to come, I’m a lot more optimistic for this than I was before.
 
But also, I hope this will give goodwill to the mcu movies coming out next year, most especially the Fantastic 4.

If Marvel wants good will to carry over between movies, they really need to start making them feel like a connected story again. And I mean just the movies by themselves, not the Disney+ shows.

Speaking of which, as hyped as I am by Deadpool & Wolverine, I do wonder how well the audience will respond to the TVA. How much sense will the TVA make to people who haven't watched Loki (which will be the majority of the general audience)? Hopefully it doesn't feel like part of the story is missing if you didn't watch Loki.
 
If Marvel wants good will to carry over between movies, they really need to start making them feel like a connected story again. And I mean just the movies by themselves, not the Disney+ shows.

Speaking of which, as hyped as I am by Deadpool & Wolverine, I do wonder how well the audience will respond to the TVA. How much sense will the TVA make to people who haven't watched Loki (which will be the majority of the general audience)? Hopefully it doesn't feel like part of the story is missing if you didn't watch Loki.
I doubt people are going to care about TVA... unless they are already a huge fan of that show. Marvel Studios should have hired Owen Wilson to be the TVA guy that recruited Deadpool in the trailers, if they really want people to give the TV show boost from this movie.

Story wise, I hope Marvel Studios easily explains in this movie what TVA is in a nutshell. No one should watch a series, just in order to understand a film, especially a Deadpool movie.
 
I feel like $800 million worldwide should be the goal.
 

Biggest opening movie for a movie featuring plenty of X-Men characters!
Foxverse domestic opening 3-day weekend:
132.4 Deadpool
125.5 Deadpool 2
102.7 Last Stand
90.8 Days of Future Past
88.4 Logan
85.5 X2
85.0 Origins: Wolverine
65.7 Apocalypse
55.1 First Class
54.4 X-Men
53.1 The Wolverine
32.8 Dark Phoenix
7.0 New Mutants
 

As of Jun 28: $175M to $200M opening weekend prediction (North America)
:dpl: :wolverine:
 
That's a pretty good start and projection. Obviously could go up or down depending on how the other films do, since Twisters has great word of mouth and will no doubt have legs, then you've got Trap coming out next week, going to be an interesting few weeks. I expect Deadpool 3 to open strong like the past two films, of course, then it'll all depend on word of mouth and how the other films also do. Not to mention they'll all be going up against people who will also be tuning into the Olympics that start this week.
 
I hope this does really well since in a way this is Foxverse's No Way Home. All the characters, big and small, from 2000 to 2018 Foxverse movies, sounds exciting. Its going to be cameos galore in the theaters in July/August!

But also, I hope this will give goodwill to the mcu movies coming out next year, most especially the Fantastic 4.

If I was Marvel Studios, I would attach the trailer of Brave New World with Deadpool & Wolverine.

Brave New World is definitely going to be attached. The whole reason that trailer released when it did was to have it attached.

For Marvel now, if a film is good - it’ll do good. If a film isn’t good, it won’t. Generally the same deal for every other movie made with rare exceptions.

That is to say The Marvels and Quantummania to the general public were far from good films in comparison to the rest of the MCU. Both received the lowest MCU cinemascore alongside The Eternals. Both failed on their own merits rather than due to the MCU brand. One required TV viewing beforehand and the other went completely against type by changing the genre up, both undoubtedly counted against them as well. Bad films doing bad isn’t surprising.

Dr. Strange 2 box office dramatically rose from the first film and came close to a billion (a number, contrary to popular belief, that very few non-Avengers MCU films reach). Thor Love and Thunder made more domestically than the other Thor films, internationally it didn’t play in as many countries as the previous ones did. Black Panther 2 while not meeting a billion, did great especially considering it is the only action blockbuster sequel soon after the fact that changed the protagonist (which is far from an easy feat).

On DC side, their films kept being tarnished review-wise by critics and audiences alike. The only exception that had a good reception was The Batman.

Bad films - perform bad. Last year emphasized that superhero films aren’t invulnerable to that (but I don’t remember a time when that wasn’t the case).

That’s how it should be too. Otherwise studios will fall into a pattern of putting in less effort due to oddly believing that bad films do good.

If Fantastic Four is a good film - it’ll do good. From everyone attached to it and the kind of attention put into it, not seeing why it wouldn’t be. The hardest hurdle there is the same one Batman Begins faced - proving it’s better than the last one/s.
 
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The opening projection has been adjusted higher and higher. I think the marketing helps quite a bit.

The marketing campaign for this one I think has done a very good job.

Now its leg will depend on how well it’s received by the public.
 
It should have good legs I really don’t see any real competition until Aliens comes out
 
I think this is opening somewhere around $195m +/- a few more million either way.
Legs & the 2nd weekend will be interesting - guessing around a 60% drop.
 
It will need to be higher than $191m to crack the top 10 domestic opening weekends.

I think it might just do it.
 
This is gonna be a monster. I predict its going to get an A cinemascore and word of mouth is going to be huge. People are going to eat this up.
 

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