Box Office 2006 Part 2

Opening weekend predictions from Box Office Report:

May 05, 2006
Mission: Impossible III (Paramount) $71.0 m
Hoot (New Line) $11.0 m
An American Haunting (Freestyle) $7.0 m

May 12, 2006
Poseidon (Warner Bros) $42.0 m
Just My Luck (Fox) $14.0 m
Goal! The Dream Begins (Disney) $6.0 m

May 19, 2006
The Da Vinci Code (Sony) $65.0 m
Over the Hedge (DreamWorks) $45.0 m
See No Evil (Lions Gate) $8.0 m

May 26, 2006
X-Men: The Last Stand (Fox) $95.0 m

June 02, 2006
The Break-Up (Universal) $28.0 m

June 06, 2006
The Omen (Fox) $20.0 m

June 09, 2006
Cars (Disney) $68.0 m
A Prairie Home Companion (Picturehouse) $7.0 m

June 16, 2006
The Fast and the Furious 3 (Universal) $30.0 m
Nacho Libre (Paramount) $26.0 m
The Lake House (Warner Bros) $18.0 m

June 23, 2006
Click (Sony) $40.0 m
Garfield's A Tale of Two Kitties (Fox) $18.0 m
Waist Deep (Focus) $8.0 m

June 30, 2006
Superman Returns (Warner Bros.) $75.0 m
The Devil Wears Prada (Fox) $10.0 m

July 05, 2006
Little Man (Sony) $16.0 m

July 07, 2006
Pirates of the Caribbean 2 (Disney) $100.0 m
A Scanner Darkly (Warner Independent) $12.0 m

July 14, 2006
You, Me and Dupree (Universal) $30.0 m
Pulse (Weinstein Co.) $14.0 m

July 21, 2006
Lady in the Water (Warner Bros.) $48.0 m
Monster House (Sony) $22.0 m
My Super Ex-Girlfriend (Fox) $18.0 m

July 28, 2006
Miami Vice (Universal) $38.0 m
Barnyard (Paramount) $14.0 m
Little Miss Sunshine (Fox Searchlight) $12.0 m
John Tucker Must Die (Fox) $10.0 m
I Could Never Be Your Woman (MGM) $8.0 m
 
North America

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown ($179,3 million)
2. Failure to Launch ($86,8 million)
3. Inside Man ($85,1 million)
4. The Pink Panther ($82,2 million)
5. Eight Below ($81 million)
6. Scary Movie 4 ($80 million)
7. Big Momma's House 2 ($70 million)
8. V for Vendetta ($69,2 million)
9. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion ($63,3 million)
10. Underworld: Evolution ($62,3 million)
11. Curious George ($58,4 million)
12. The Shaggy Dog ($57,4 million)
13. Final Destination 3 ($54,1 million)
14. The Benchwarmers ($53,6 million)
15. Firewall ($48,7 million)
16. Date Movie ($48,4 million)
17. When a Stranger Calls ($47,9 million)
18. Hostel ($47,3 million)
19. Nanny McPhee ($47,1 million)
20. Glory Road ($42,6 million)
 
Year-to-date comparison

Total box office numbers between 1 January and 4 May

2006: $2 728 million
2005: $2 603,9 million
2004: $2 858,6 million
2003: $2 708,7 million
2002: $2 771,2 million
 
My predictions for first weekends:

The Da Vinci Code - $65m

X-Men 3 - $73m

Cars - $77m

Superman Returns - $85m

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $103m
 
Cinemaman said:
So it looks like MI3 will get only $50-55m opening weekend. Sadly :(

Hope it will make more than $180m.
Click to expand...



I never thought MI3 would do all that well...one must remember MI2 with the Woo.....SUCKED!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Only plus here is Lawrence Fishburn.... but hey even he couldn't help this beleagured franchise



I still predict Posiedon will be a bust Da Vinchi will be a success but only for one week and it't numbers will be diminished by the hedge...


and everyon is waiting for the BIG "it' movie of may the one that had a great start and a great sequal


X Men 3

it will be Mays big winner
 
Weadazoid said:
and everyon is waiting for the BIG "it' movie of may the one that had a great start and a great sequal


X Men 3

it will be Mays big winner
Click to expand...

Lol, you keep believe a lie.
 
Weadazoid said:
I never thought MI3 would do all that well...one must remember MI2 with the Woo.....SUCKED!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Only plus here is Lawrence Fishburn.... but hey even he couldn't help this beleagured franchise



I still predict Posiedon will be a bust Da Vinchi will be a success but only for one week and it't numbers will be diminished by the hedge...


and everyon is waiting for the BIG "it' movie of may the one that had a great start and a great sequal


X Men 3

it will be Mays big winner
Click to expand...

I can see only one movie, which is going to get the highest numbers this May. This movie is The Da Vinci Code, which will make about $270-280m.

Also DVC is going to get more than $400m in overseas, what is bad for X3.

X3 will get good opening weekend, but then it will get bad WOM and no legs in Box Office way.
 
evenif it has good wom which i think it will it will not have good legs. memorial day+ frontloaded franchise=bad ****ty mo ****in legs.
 
North America

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown ($183,4 million)
2. Failure to Launch ($87,2 million)
3. Inside Man ($86 million)
4. Scary Movie 4 ($83,6 million)
5. The Pink Panther ($82,2 million)
6. Eight Below ($81,2 million)
7. Big Momma's House 2 ($70,1 million)
8. V for Vendetta ($69,5 million)
9. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion ($63,3 million)
10. Underworld: Evolution ($62,3 million)
11. Curious George ($58,4 million)
12. The Shaggy Dog ($57,4 million)
13. The Benchwarmers ($55,6 million)
14. Final Destination 3 ($54,1 million)
15. Firewall ($48,7 million)
16. Date Movie ($48,5 million)
17. When a Stranger Calls ($47,9 million)
18. Mission: Impossible III ($47,7 million)
19. Hostel ($47,3 million)
20. Nanny McPhee ($47,1 million)
 
Comingsoon's predictions:

Poseidon: $36 to 39 million on its way to $140 million by summer’s end.
Just My Luck: $11 to 13 million opening weekend on its way to $40 million.
Goal! The Dream Begins: $2 to 4 million on its way to $10 million tops.
 
if a movie with crappy reviews can get 140... then should MI3 get atleast 160?
 
I honestly have not heard anything about this GOOOAAAAALLLLLL! movie until I saw an ad on a bus the other morning.
 
Sava said:
if a movie with crappy reviews can get 140... then should MI3 get atleast 160?
Click to expand...

Well, let's see if it really can make that much. After all the bad reviews I have a feeling they are a little bit too optimistic about Poseidon. On the other hand, The Day After Tomorrow made over $180 million and it got mostly negative reviews, so you never know. People can be really unpredictable in their choices of movies they see.
 
Galactus said:
Well, let's see if it really can make that much. After all the bad reviews I have a feeling they are a little bit too optimistic about Poseidon. On the other hand, The Day After Tomorrow made over $180 million and it got mostly negative reviews, so you never know
Click to expand...
i dont think even TDAT got this many bad reviews
 
TDAT had a huge opening, which was the main reason for its big BO. If Poseidon opens at 36 to 39 m, I really doubt it will have legs to become a success. It certainly looks like an expensive movie and that opening would be pretty low.
 
Worldwide

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown ($593,8 million)
2. Inside Man ($166,2 million)
3. The Pink Panther ($156,6 million)
4. Scary Movie 4 ($140,3 million)
5. Big Momma's House 2 ($136,4 million)
6. V for Vendetta ($127,3 million)
7. Mission: Impossible III ($121,5 million)
8. Failure to Launch ($120,6 million)
9. Nanny McPhee ($119,8 million)
10. Eight Below ($111,8 million)
11. Underworld: Evolution ($110 million)
12. Final Destination 3 ($104,9 million)
13. Firewall ($80,4 million)
14. Hostel ($78,4 million)
15. Date Movie ($77,7 million)
16. The Shaggy Dog ($73,8 million)
17. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion ($63,3 million)
18. The Wild ($60,6 million)
19. Curious George ($58,4 million)
20. The Benchwarmers ($55,8 million)

With almost $600 million now Ice Age 2 would have been the fourth biggest movie if it had been released in 2005. I wonder what place it will end up on when this year's over.
 
damn... IA2 is huge, it'll be in the top 5 at the end of this year IMO
 
36 to 39mil, on it's way to 140mil???

I seriously doubt that the movie's legs will be that strong. It would be lucky to make 100mil with that opening range.
 
North America

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown ($184,4 million)
2. Failure to Launch ($87,3 million)
3. Inside Man ($86,4 million)
4. Scary Movie 4 ($84,5 million)
5. The Pink Panther ($82,2 million)
6. Eight Below ($81,2 million)
7. Big Momma's House 2 ($70,1 million)
8. V for Vendetta ($69,6 million)
9. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion ($63,3 million)
10. Underworld: Evolution ($62,3 million)
11. Mission: Impossible III ($60,1 million)
12. Curious George ($58,4 million)
13. The Shaggy Dog ($57,4 million)
14. The Benchwarmers ($56,1 million)
15. Final Destination 3 ($54,1 million)
16. Firewall ($48,7 million)
17. Date Movie ($48,5 million)
18. When a Stranger Calls ($47,9 million)
19. Hostel ($47,3 million)
20. Nanny McPhee ($47,1 million)
 
Year-to-date comparison

Total box office numbers between 1 January and 11 May

2006: $2 867,5 million
2005: $2 719,3 million
2004: $2 999 million
2003: $2 860,5 million
2002: $2 956,1 million

Quantity Drives 2006 Box Office Past 2005
by Brandon Gray
May 12, 2006


In the first third of 2006, Hollywood wiped out slump talk through sheer volume.

From January to April, the box office improved five percent over the comparable time period in 2005, and, now with seven up weeks in a row, the summer movie season appears to have a momentum that last year lacked. However, closer inspection reveals that 2006's advantage thus far has sprung from more movies.

In 2005, there were 46 new nationwide releases through April. This year, the count ballooned to 63—the most ever on record. Overall, that contributed to 2006's $2.72 billion tally through April, versus 2005's $2.57 billion.

Growing five percent from a 37 percent increase in the number of new wide releases does not suggest a significant expansion of the box office pie in 2006. Indeed, the average wide release through April made $34.4 million, compared to $42.8 million in 2005.


The sole picture to cross the $100 million mark through April 30 was Ice Age: The Meltdown with $177.9 million. In 2005, three pictures had reached that milestone through the same point: Hitch ($177.1 million), Robots ($122.6 million) and The Pacifier ($108 million). 2006 gained most of its ground in pictures grossing less than $50 million.

Though inexpensive to produce and seemingly ubiquitous, horror pictures have not made the difference in 2006. In fact, 2006 and 2005 each had eight horror releases through April, but 2006's crop grossed 17 percent less than 2005's. If one genre must be named a factor, it would be family and children's pictures. Hollywood released 11 of them in 2006, out-grossing the seven from 2005 by $185 million—or more than 2006's overall lead on 2005.

Quantity has kept 2006 ahead of 2005, reinforcing the fact that content is king. Moving forward, the summer won't see a substantial increase in the number of movies like the first third of the year—as usual, there'll be nearly 50 wide releases.

Hollywood will step up to the plate with more intended mass appeal pictures, particularly in May. The month is stacked with five event-style hopefuls (Mission: Impossible III, Poseidon, The Da Vinci Code, Over the Hedge, X-Men: The Last Stand) compared to 2005's two (Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith, Madagascar).
 
North America

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown ($187,6 million)
2. Failure to Launch ($87,6 million)
3. Inside Man ($87 million)
4. Scary Movie 4 ($86,5 million)
5. Mission: Impossible III ($85,1 million)
6. The Pink Panther ($82,2 million)
7. Eight Below ($81,4 million)
8. Big Momma's House 2 ($70,1 million)
9. V for Vendetta ($69,7 million)
10. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion ($63,3 million)
11. Underworld: Evolution ($62,3 million)
12. Curious George ($58,4 million)
13. The Shaggy Dog ($57,5 million)
14. The Benchwarmers ($57,1 million)
15. Final Destination 3 ($54,1 million)
16. Firewall ($48,7 million)
17. Date Movie ($48,5 million)
18. When a Stranger Calls ($47,9 million)
19. Hostel ($47,3 million)
20. Nanny McPhee ($47,1 million)
 
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