Box Office 2006 Part 2

[Galactus]

Comingsoon's predictions:

The Da Vinci Code: $73 to 76 million on its way to $260 million total by summer’s end.

Over the Hedge: $42 to 45 million opening weekend on its way to $220 million total

See No Evil: $4 to 6 million on its way to $15 million total.

 

[Cinemaman]

My forecast for opening weekend:

The Da Vinci Code - $61m

Over the Hedge - $47m

And my forecast for total domestic numbers:

The Da Vinci Code - $226m

Over the Hedge - $186m

 

[redmarvel]

Hollywood will step up to the plate with more intended mass appeal pictures, particularly in May. The month is stacked with five event-style hopefuls (Mission: Impossible III, Poseidon, The Da Vinci Code, Over the Hedge, X-Men: The Last Stand) compared to 2005's two (Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith, Madagascar).

According to one news report I heard, Poseidon "tanked" it's opening weekend. I'm not surprised, that was one movie I expected to do poorly. I didn't like the original and had no intention of seeing a remake. There was even a version of "The Poseidon Adventure" on T.V. a couple of weeks back. I don't know if it was a "made for T.V. movie" or was actually released in theatres at some point, but it was downright awful. One of those "a character has to die in each different scene" movies.

Of the movies listed above "X-Men: The Last Stand" is the only one I intend to see.

 

[Galactus]

Worldwide

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown ($609,2 million)
2. Mission: Impossible III ($215,5 million)
3. Inside Man ($170,7 million)
4. The Pink Panther ($157,3 million)
5. Scary Movie 4 ($146,6 million)
6. Big Momma's House 2 ($136,9 million)
7. V for Vendetta ($129,6 million)
8. Failure to Launch ($122,2 million)
9. Nanny McPhee ($120,1 million)
10. Eight Below ($114,9 million)
11. Underworld: Evolution ($110,4 million)
12. Final Destination 3 ($105,9 million)
13. Firewall ($80,4 million)
14. Hostel ($79,2 million)
15. Date Movie ($78,1 million)
16. The Shaggy Dog ($73,9 million)
17. The Wild ($65,5 million)
18. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion ($63,3 million)
19. Curious George ($58,4 million)
20. The Benchwarmers ($57,8 million)

 

[Galactus]

North America

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown ($188,3 million)
2. Mission: Impossible III ($92,2 million)
3. Failure to Launch ($87,6 million)
4. Inside Man ($87,2 million)
5. Scary Movie 4 ($87,1 million)
6. The Pink Panther ($82,2 million)
7. Eight Below ($81,4 million)
8. Big Momma's House 2 ($70,1 million)
9. V for Vendetta ($69,8 million)
10. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion ($63,3 million)
11. Underworld: Evolution ($62,3 million)
12. Curious George ($58,4 million)
13. The Shaggy Dog ($57,5 million)
14. The Benchwarmers ($57,4 million)
15. Final Destination 3 ($54,1 million)
16. Firewall ($48,8 million)
17. Date Movie ($48,5 million)
18. When a Stranger Calls ($47,9 million)
19. Hostel ($47,3 million)
20. Nanny McPhee ($47,1 million)

 

[Galactus]

Year-to-date comparison

Total box office numbers between 1 January and 18 May

2006: $2 995,8 million
2005: $2 845,6 million
2004: $3 145,2 million
2003: $3 092,1 million
2002: $3 182,3 million

 

[Edward Brock]

Let's see if DVC and X-Men help the case, 'cause May has been rather weak.

 

[Chaos Bringer]

DaVinci does 30Million Friday night !

 

[Edward Brock]

Wow. Should make about $90 million after the weekend is over.

 

[Equinox]

DaVinci does 30Million Friday night !

According to boxofficemojo, it is 29.5 million on Friday!...I think its breaking records at Italy and a few other countries..

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=davincicode.htm

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

I knew it was going to have a huge opening, now lets see if it has some legs.

MI3 is off 55% not as bad as I thought but still this thing doesn't have a chance in hell of hitting 200mil. 175mil is going to be tough.

Decent and expected numbers for "Over The Hedge" but these numbers pretty much prove that Dreamworks is not Pixar. If not for Cars, it would probably have better legs than it's going to have.

 

[ultimatefan]

Luckily for DVC, it´s not a particularly expensive movie, with a budget of 125m it will be pretty close to bringing it back already in the first weekend, even if word of mouth is terrible - and it looks like it won´t be as terrible as reviews suggested.

 

[Sava]

damn... 30 mill is huge

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

This (opening day atleast, it could have bad legs for all I know) reminds me of National Treasure. The critic's hated it but people still went to check it out. It went on to make 347mil WW and sold 7.5 million DVD's. People liked NT despite the critic's. Maybe Code will be treated the same way, after all the critic's loved Howard's last film but it flopped.

 

[TheVileOne]

So basically even with X-men 3 coming out the movie will still do well, and will probably draw a decent number on Memorial Day weekend even if its number 2.

MI:3 looks like it's going to have a pretty bad dropoff this weekend. Probably won't even end up with its production budget in US $.

Can we officially label Poseidon a bomb yet? I don't care if it does good overseas. This movie was even more expensive than Da Vinci Code and MI:3. Those can't be positive #'s at all.

 

[ultimatefan]

So basically even with X-men 3 coming out the movie will still do well, and will probably draw a decent number on Memorial Day weekend even if its number 2.

MI:3 looks like it's going to have a pretty bad dropoff this weekend. Probably won't even end up with its production budget in US $.

Can we officially label Poseidon a bomb yet? I don't care if it does good overseas. This movie was even more expensive than Da Vinci Code and MI:3. Those can't be positive #'s at all.

Poseidon is a flop. That´s a given. In all fairness, I think at some point WB gave up on that one. i didn´t see them do much effort to promote it.

 

[Cinemaman]

So basically even with X-men 3 coming out the movie will still do well, and will probably draw a decent number on Memorial Day weekend even if its number 2.

MI:3 looks like it's going to have a pretty bad dropoff this weekend. Probably won't even end up with its production budget in US $.

Can we officially label Poseidon a bomb yet? I don't care if it does good overseas. This movie was even more expensive than Da Vinci Code and MI:3. Those can't be positive #'s at all.

Honestly, I think DVC is going to make $70-75m opening weekend. But after 3rd week it will loose legs.

I think it will get $220-230m domesticly.

I dont think X3 will make huge opening, only $65-70m. But then it will get even $240m.

 

[Cinemaman]

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=overthehedge.htm

Over the Hedge is going to get less than even $40m opening weekend.

 

[primemover]

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=overthehedge.htm

Over the Hedge is going to get less than even $40m opening weekend.

Really depends on the budget on this one, I think word of mouth will carry it for a series of solid weeks.

 

[Galactus]

Estimated numbers for The Da Vinci Code for the weekend are $77 million. Looks like most experts might have made a better guess at this movie than what they did about M:I 3 and Poseidon. But it depends on what the actual numbers will be.

 

[Edward Brock]

Man, talk about a frontloaded opening!

$77 million after a $29.5 million Friday? This does not bode well for it's legs.

 

[Cinemaman]

http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=davincicode.htm

Domestic: $77,000,000
Foreign: $147,000,000
Worldwide: $224,000,000

 

[Edward Brock]

WW numbers: Woah.

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

Man, talk about a frontloaded opening!

$77 million after a $29.5 million Friday? This does not bode well for it's legs.

It is frontloaded on it's opening weekend but so was Charlie and the Chocolate Factory and that managed a 3.5 multiplier and also MI3 had a decent weekend multiplier but isn't doing very well in the legs department.

 

[Galactus]

North America

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown ($189,3 million)
2. Mission: Impossible III ($103,5 million)
3. Scary Movie 4 ($87,7 million)
4. Failure to Launch ($87,7 million)
5. Inside Man ($87,4 million)
6. The Pink Panther ($82,2 million)
7. Eight Below ($81,5 million)
8. The Da Vinci Code ($77,1 million)
9. Big Momma's House 2 ($70,1 million)
10. V for Vendetta ($69,9 million)
11. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion ($63,3 million)
12. Underworld: Evolution ($62,3 million)
13. Curious George ($58,4 million)
14. The Shaggy Dog ($57,7 million)
15. The Benchwarmers ($57,7 million)
16. Final Destination 3 ($54,1 million)
17. RV ($50,3 million)
18. Firewall ($48,8 million)
19. Date Movie ($48,5 million)
20. When a Stranger Calls ($47,9 million)