Box Office 2015

Anybody want to take bits on whether any of these movies will get themselves bumped off the Top X list, by year's end?

At best Fifty Shades might make it to 9 or 10.

Avengers, Star Wars, Spectre, Jurassic World, Hunger Games, Furious 7, MI5, Minions I think are guaranteed to make more Inside Out is probably like 95% likely to get more. So that's 9. And now Cinderella is likely to get more I'd imagine.

1. Age of Ultron
2. Star Wars
3. Spectre
4-6 Jurassic World, Hunger Games Furious 7
7-10 Inside Out, Minions, MI:5, Tomorrowland

I'm still happy with my original call, perhaps Tomorrowland will be replaced by Cinderalla which I did say could be a shock to get in the top 10. Though I did say possibly Jupiter Ascending if it was good, and obviously it wasn't so. And I couldn't really pick between JW HG and Furious 7 at the time, but based on the tracking I would say Furious 7 will probably be 4.
 
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Star Wars will beat Avengers.
 
Star Wars will beat Avengers.

If it's afforded the cushion of competition American Sniper has been, it's has a really good shot. For unlike 2012, Avengers will seemingly face stiffer comp than Dark Shadows and Battleship and even MIB. Well it looks that way anyways.
 
I don't think the smart money is on Star Wars. Maybe a few years down the road, the next Star Wars could outgross the next Avengers movie. Right now? Its a contemporary, highly hyped franchise vs a continuation of a series that hasn't been good in decades. Star Wars will make money, sure, but I seriously doubt its outdoing Avengers 2.
 
That's what I think too. Episode VIII can do megabucks and IX can take on all comers if the next 2 films deliver but for now it's competing against something sightly further along the hype chain while this series starts of a slightly unknow quantity despite all its history.
 
Top 10 worldwide

1. Fifty Shades of Grey $546,7 million
2. Taken 3 $291,9 million
3. Kingsman: The Secret Service $277,3 million
4. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water $271,2 million
5. Paddington $250,2 million
6. Jupiter Ascending $171,2 million
7. The Man From Macau II $150,6 million
8. The Taking of Tiger Mountain $141,2 million
9. Cinderella $135,1 million
10. Dragon Blade $116,8 million
 
Top 10 worldwide

1. Fifty Shades of Grey $558,5 million
2. Taken 3 $311,2 million
3. Kingsman: The Secret Service $295,6 million
4. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water $280,2 million
5. Cinderella $256,1 million
6. Paddington $251,1 million
7. Jupiter Ascending $176 million
8. The Man From Macau II $154,1 million
9. The Taking of Tiger Mountain $144 million
10. Focus $120,7 million
 
Top 10 worldwide

1. Fifty Shades of Grey $563,9 million
2. Cinderella $337,3 million
3. Kingsman: The Secret Service $327,9 million
4. Taken 3 $325,5 million
5. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water $288 million
6. Paddington $252,9 million
7. The Divergent Series: Insurgent $181,2 million
8. Jupiter Ascending $179,5 million
9. The Man From Macau II $154,1 million
10. The Taking of Tiger Mountain $144 million
 
‘Furious 7′ Early Returns Shows Massive Friday


UPDATED, Friday, 5:18 PM: More early results have come in for Furious 7 and estimates have risen now. Industry observers are now saying that Friday’s haul could be in the range of $56M to $60M with an upwards of $130M to $138M for the three-day weekend. Whether this will be a front-loaded Friday is yet unknown. If so, it could slink backwards a bit, closer to $130M. Regardless, this is a mash-up monster at the box office. The highest estimate we’ve heard today for F7‘s Easter weekend holiday tank is $145M. More to come as numbers roll in later this evening.
 
I still fully believe Furious 7 has a serious chance of making $1 billion. They've got a lot of momentum going towards this one & I could only see it falling short if audiences find it to be lackluster, which doesn't seem to be the case.
 
I still fully believe Furious 7 has a serious chance of making $1 billion. They've got a lot of momentum going towards this one & I could only see it falling short if audiences find it to be lackluster, which doesn't seem to be the case.

Yep, i'm with you on that.
 
I still fully believe Furious 7 has a serious chance of making $1 billion. They've got a lot of momentum going towards this one & I could only see it falling short if audiences find it to be lackluster, which doesn't seem to be the case.

If it does actually open at 140 it is basically a lock as long as foreign box office can increase by 100 mil from fast 6
 
Never would have thought this franchise would become so big.
 
I don't think the smart money is on Star Wars. Maybe a few years down the road, the next Star Wars could outgross the next Avengers movie. Right now? Its a contemporary, highly hyped franchise vs a continuation of a series that hasn't been good in decades. Star Wars will make money, sure, but I seriously doubt its outdoing Avengers 2.


That's what I think too. Episode VIII can do megabucks and IX can take on all comers if the next 2 films deliver but for now it's competing against something sightly further along the hype chain while this series starts of a slightly unknow quantity despite all its history.

It will out do Avengers 2 simply by being a almost 4 generation spanning franchise. You have the original 3 stars in it, you have Abrams at the helm, you have the brand name, oh and Lucas isn't directing which anyone worth their salt as a Geek knows is a good thing. I think Star Wars is gonna break Avatars record personally. The Next trailer is gonna give us a HUGE indication as to where the hype is but come on this is Star Wars.
 
From box office guru:

Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya
Late night west coast shows exploded for #Furious7. Eye-popping $67.3M opening day. Wknd may surge to $150M

From box office mojo:

In a single day, Furious 7 has already earned more than the third installment in the franchise (The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift) grossed during its entire run.
 
Nothing will top the Avengers this year.

Star Wars will beat Avengers. The buildup and hype alone.

Avengers will be #2 but I don't think it'll beat the first Avengers at the box office, at least domestically. See Spider-Man.
 
It will out do Avengers 2 simply by being a almost 4 generation spanning franchise. You have the original 3 stars in it, you have Abrams at the helm, you have the brand name, oh and Lucas isn't directing which anyone worth their salt as a Geek knows is a good thing. I think Star Wars is gonna break Avatars record personally. The Next trailer is gonna give us a HUGE indication as to where the hype is but come on this is Star Wars.

The thing is, Avatar war a brand new franchise, it didn't have any baggage and people were interested to know what it was about. Star Wars however, is something everyone knows about, almost every person on the planet has some kind of opinion regarding the franchise, and a lot of them are not positive, and i'm not even talking about how the Prequels alienated anyone, it's not as if every person will enjoy the Originals either.

SW will do a lot of money, maybe even more than The Avengers, but more than Avatar? That's a stretch, this is the type of franchise that has a lot of haters and people who will most likely refuse to see it, even if they hear a lot of hype, due to the opinion they already have of the previous films.

While it used to be more mainstream, now, Star Wars is counted among some of the geekiest film series, it's still not ridiculed the way Star Trek is, but some people don't realy seem to have much respect for SW.

Avatar and Titanic were different beasts, when they came out, people had to see them in order to form an opinion, now, Avatar 2's grossing will msot likely be affected due to many not feeling like they want to watch another film in that series.

Star Wars will definitely atract a new generation and break some records, but i doubt it will do Avatar business considering the baggage it has already. But i think fans need to lower their expectation a bit when it comes to the box office grossing.
 
Star Wars will beat Avengers. The buildup and hype alone.

Avengers will be #2 but I don't think it'll beat the first Avengers at the box office, at least domestically. See Spider-Man.

Which is irrelevant, because I don't believe for a second that the new Star Wars movie will do anywhere near Avengers numbers. Not with the last good Star Wars movie being 30 years ago.
 
SATURDAY UPDATE, 9:30 AM PT: As it burns rubber at the domestic box office on its way to a possible $150M weekend, Furious 7’s offshore tally has roared to $120.6M in its first three days. Adding 20 more markets on Friday, it is now playing in 63 internationally. It has opened No. 1 everywhere and added $59.2M at 9,935 dates on Friday. That was after it took $43M at 8,407 on Thursday. The high-octane blockbuster now holds the record as Universal Pictures International’s highest-grossing Thursday and Friday ever.
 
The thing is, Avatar war a brand new franchise, it didn't have any baggage and people were interested to know what it was about. Star Wars however, is something everyone knows about, almost every person on the planet has some kind of opinion regarding the franchise, and a lot of them are not positive, and i'm not even talking about how the Prequels alienated anyone, it's not as if every person will enjoy the Originals either.

This is a dynamic way of thinking about brand and brand power. If only more people could try to apply it to things like Superman and Dredd and new original stuff.

Sometimes it's better to go in new rather than have baggage. Terminator is going to give a master class on this in a few months.
 

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