I get feeling ambiguous about the protests in regards to the pandemic.
People interacting in such close proximity will help spread the virus, and unfortunately at the end of the transmission line will be on some level some folk who will react badly and die.
But I also doubt that the protests or the riots will be what we can "blame" any large spikes or regional relapses. Sad to say, that was baked in already. I said a while back that Covid was going to be the background radiation of the world for some time. I got a lot of push back then. Now people are saying they think the million plus dead number is on the table.
It never was off the table.
The mitigation we put into place from the start had too many giant holes. The number of people protesting as impressive as it is likely pales in comparsion to all the people that were taking no precautions for Covid and were living their life as though there was no pandemic. The vast majority of the protesters (and because they want to hide their identity the looters as well...) are wearing masks and gloves. Still, with all those people around in such close proximity, add in things like tear gas and those who treat the wounded etc... Covid is gonna get passed on.
The nature of this virus combined with our society's reaction and failure in initial response meant that we were always going to deal with this in a way that guaranteed what we are going to go through for the forseeable future. Stretched out over the course of the next year and a half or so this is going to be a reality. Will the hospitals be overrun again, lockdowns and all that jazz? Maybe, but am guessing we will not as a planet be shutting down again anytime soon, nor will it warrant it. But there will be rolling regional lockdowns. People will still die but the medical system will be able to function. We will have to get used to the death toll which won't be quite the splash it was before but will not be insignificant either.
That said, I do not get the attitude that expected wide swaths of people to just continue to sit on their hands with yet another high profile killing of an African American that seems without any doubt to be a failure of the police to just NOT be *******s whose abuse of power leads directly to the death of a member of the public. There have been at least three of these murders, including the Floyd case, in the last month alone. I'm sorry that a revolutionary moment had to come while we are also dealing with a communicable disease, and one which ironically is hitting Latino and Black communities so hard. But what we have witnessed in front of our screens and for some people only a few feet away from themselves, is the revelation that from sea to shining sea, America has a problem with police corruption and abuse. No one was paying attention to the canary in the coal mine for so very long. Now the rest of the country can see and feel what it's like to be a person of color in the U.S.
People are scared of even looking at a cop the wrong way lest something violent happen to them. People are having to adjust their life to avoid coming into contact with law enforcement while doing nothing more nefarious than planning their commute to work. Parents are telling their kids they have to be careful in how they interact with cops, lest a gesture or words give police a pretext to bring them in.
For many folk, this is the first time any of them even had to come close to thinking about these kinds of things in their day to day life, much less also deal with the psychic/emotional weight and strain they can cause.
Well... Welcome to the reality of the lives of Black and Latino Americans. This has what has been served up to too many them for a very long time.