Early Oscar buzz

[Donut]

I have not seen it yet but damn everyone seems to love The Town

 

[Rac]

Casey Affleck should get at least a nomination for The Killer Inside Me. It's a tough movie, maybe too tough for the Academy, but Casey did a hell of a job with the role.

 

[hobo123]

i think Winter's Bone, The Social Network, The Kids Are All Right, True Grit, never let me go will probably be nominated for best picture.

Jeff Bridges, Colin Firth, James Franco, Matt Damon will probably be nominated for best actor and i think Colin Firth will win.

Jennifer Lawrence, Nicole Kidman, Julia Roberts and Amy Ryan will probably be nominated for best actress.

The Coen Bros., Clint Eastwood, Christopher Nolan and David Fincher, Philip Seymour Hoffman will probably be nominated for best director.

Andrew Garfield, Christian Bale, and Geoffrey Rush will probably be nominated for best supporting actor and Rush will probably win.

Inception will probably win all the technical awards.

On a side note Never Let Me Go will probably win most of the BAFTAs.

 

[jmc]

Calling front runner's this early only leads to voter backlash. Up In The Air was the perfect example of this. I still believe there's the real possibility that Pixar may finally be awarded the top prize.

 

[hobo123]

not yet

 

[lime]

From what I have seen, and know, this are 99% sure nominations for the next Oscars (and I officially have Oscar predictions since 2002, and every year I become better, and better):

Inception – The film has 99% sure nominations in this categories: Best Picture, Best Film Editing, Best Cinematography, Best Sound Editing, Best Sound Mixing, and Best Special Effects. It also have not bad chances at: Score, Art Direction, and little chances at Directing.

Toy Story 3 – The film has 99% sure nominations in this categories: Best Picture, Best Animated Feature Film, Best Sound Editing, Best Sound Mixing (maybe one, maybe both), and Original Song. Also not bad chances at Score.

Other 99% sure noms include:

Annette Bening for Leading Actress
Colin Firth for Leading Actor

Films that are very close to BP nom:
The Social Network
The King’s Speech
The Fighter
Kids Are All Right
Another Year
127 Hours

Actors/Actresses that have positive chance at nomination:

Christian Bale for Supporting Actor
Geoffrey Rush for Supporting Actor
Mark Ruffalo for Supporting Actor
Bonham Carter for Supporting Actress
Portman for Leading Actress
Manville for Leading Actress

Will write more on later

PS: Peter Weir's ''The Way Back'' also might be a huge fighter in the Oscar race. All we need is a trailer to confirm.

 

[Catman]

Calling front runner's this early only leads to voter backlash. Up In The Air was the perfect example of this.

Agreed. Critics have seen most of the Oscar-Bait movies through the various film festivals but critics aren't the ones who vote at the Oscars. When these films are released we'll have a better idea of who'll be nominated and who'll likely win.

 

[Laderlappen]

i think Winter's Bone, The Social Network, The Kids Are All Right, True Grit, never let me go will probably be nominated for best picture.

Jeff Bridges, Colin Firth, James Franco, Matt Damon will probably be nominated for best actor and i think Colin Firth will win.

Jennifer Lawrence, Nicole Kidman, Julia Roberts and Amy Ryan will probably be nominated for best actress.

The Coen Bros., Clint Eastwood, Christopher Nolan and David Fincher, Philip Seymour Hoffman will probably be nominated for best director.

Andrew Garfield, Christian Bale, and Geoffrey Rush will probably be nominated for best supporting actor and Rush will probably win.

Inception will probably win all the technical awards.

On a side note Never Let Me Go will probably win most of the BAFTAs.

You should stop using the word 'probably'. Because several of the people you mentioned have no chance.

 

[MadVillainy]

^^^

Any way is there any buzz for The Town? I hear its really good and I heard Jeremy Renner probably get a nod for Supporting Actor. To those whove seen it, any nods for other actors do you think? One for Affleck for directing? Best Picture?

 

[That-Guy]

The Town should get some noms. I know they won't nominate Affleck for Best Actor, though I think he deserves it. He'll likely get the director nom though. Renner seems like a shoe-in for Supporting Actor... Jon Hamm might even pick up a nom. I would love to see Rebecca Hall get some notice too, but I doubt it will happen.

Of course, I want Inception to win Best Picture, Nolan to win Best Director and Dicaprio to win Best Actor, but I highly doubt any of that will happen. Still, some nominations would be nice.

 

[scifiwolf]

Yeah, I'm pulling for Inception, and I think it's the best movie this year so far. That's not to say I won't acknowledge a better one if it comes along.

 

[That-Guy]

Yeah, with 10 nominations now, The Academy doesn't have an excuse to not nominate it. I could live with it not winning, but if they don't even nominate Inception, then f**k the Oscars.

 

[Laderlappen]

^^^

What? They dont. Its not a personal attack.

 

[Doctor Jones]

Well we can't call it this early. I mean who knows what will happen? The Oscars aren't as predictable as we think sometimes.

 

[jmc]

And we all know that the Academy loves a storyline to go with their little shindig. Last year was the David vs Goliath thing and Sweet Sandra.

 

[Catman]

The Town should get some noms.

I doubt it. If it gets ANY nomination it'll be Best Supporting Actor for Jeremy Renner. Just remember that Gone Baby Gone was a 100x better than The Town and the only nomination it got was for Amy Ryan's performance. I know 2010 has been a weak year but there's still some heavy duty movies around.

 

[Brother Jack]

If Bale's performance proves to be as great as the trailer for The Fighter lets on, let's hope he finally gets recognized for Best Supporting Actor.

It's been long overdue.

 

[Doctor Jones]

It's been long overdue.

American Psycho overdue. Yep.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

It will be a pretty crappy year if Nolan's direction for Inception is the best of the year.

 

[Raiden]

I doubt it. If it gets ANY nomination it'll be Best Supporting Actor for Jeremy Renner. Just remember that Gone Baby Gone was a 100x better than The Town and the only nomination it got was for Amy Ryan's performance. I know 2010 has been a weak year but there's still some heavy duty movies around.

Since Best Picture has 10 noms up for grab, why is it inconceivable that The Town will be one of the 10 nominees? This movie is very well-received by the critics, and so far this year there aren't that many movies that are very criticically-acclaimed AND did well at the box office, and the Oscars consider both factors in their selection process.

 

[Catman]

so far this year there aren't that many movies that are very criticically-acclaimed AND did well at the box office

We're still in September. There's still dozens of Oscar-bait movies waiting to be released. The question now is if WB is gonna campaign for Inception, The Town, or both.

 

[The Chris]

I would think that whichever makes the biggest bucks in the end or has the most audience hype behind it would get the biggest campaign. Which is me basically saying Campaign Inception darn it!

 

[Project862006]

http://www.deadline.com/2010/09/will-mel-gibson-become-a-late-player-in-this-years-oscar-race/

but people are speculating his recent troubles may exclude him

what are your thoughts should he be excused due to persona problems or should his acting only matter

 

[Harry_Lime02]

Yeah, with 10 nominations now, The Academy doesn't have an excuse to not nominate it. I could live with it not winning, but if they don't even nominate Inception, then f**k the Oscars.

That's true, actually. I mean, last year District 9 got nominated.

God knows why they went with 10 when even with five there were still a couple just making up the numbers. Let's be honest, it's usually between two films with a third as an outside bet at most.

 

[scifiwolf]

Well, I think the decision for 10 comes from the backlash of snubbing both The Wrestler and The Dark Knight for best picture. Even if The Reader had been left out, The Wrestler and The Dark Knight both getting nominated would've required 6 spots, so the extra nominations were deemed necessary last year.

This year, I'm not so sure which movies are deserving of the top five. So far, I'd give it to Inception, Toy Story 3, The Town, and Black Swan, based on my viewings and general buzz. I have no idea what would make up the final six. I can see Buried, The Social Network, Secretariat, Hereafter, The Company Men, Due Date, 127 Hours, Fair Game, Harry Potter, The Tourist, The Fighter, and True Grit all having a chance for one reason or another.