Early Oscar buzz

[Raiden]

Well, I think the decision for 10 comes from the backlash of snubbing both The Wrestler and The Dark Knight for best picture. Even if The Reader had been left out, The Wrestler and The Dark Knight both getting nominated would've required 6 spots, so the extra nominations were deemed necessary last year.

This year, I'm not so sure which movies are deserving of the top five. So far, I'd give it to Inception, Toy Story 3, The Town, and Black Swan, based on my viewings and general buzz. I have no idea what would make up the final six. I can see Buried, The Social Network, Secretariat, Hereafter, The Company Men, Due Date, 127 Hours, Fair Game, Harry Potter, The Tourist, The Fighter, and True Grit all having a chance for one reason or another.

I don't think any Potter film will be nominated for Best Picture. And since both Buried and 127 Hours have similar premise (guy trapped in a confined area), I doubt Oscars will nominate both movies, and right now it remains to be seen if these two are indeed Oscar-worthy films.

 

[lime]

127 Hours has HUGE BP potential

 

[scifiwolf]

I don't think any Potter film will be nominated for Best Picture. And since both Buried and 127 Hours have similar premise (guy trapped in a confined area), I doubt Oscars will nominate both movies, and right now it remains to be seen if these two are indeed Oscar-worthy films.

I can see the academy honoring the whole franchise with a nomination for either Part 1 or Part 2 (or both), much in the same manner Return of the King earned accolades for the whole trilogy. And I hadn't really thought about Buried and 127 hours being that similar. Like I said, I can see situations arising where any of those movies could be nominated, provided they are any good of course.

 

[MadVillainy]

I think Michael Douglas definitely deserves a nod for Supporting Actor in Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps

 

[Laderlappen]

These are my predictions for the Oscars:

Best Picture
127 Hours
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King's Speech
*The Social Network
Somewhere
Toy Story 3
The Way Back

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky - Black Swan
Danny Boyle - 127 Hours
*David Fincher - The Social Network
Christopher Nolan - Inception
Peter Weir - The Way Back

Best Actor
Jeff Bridges - True Grit
Stephen Dorff - Somewhere
Robert Duvall - Get Low
*Colin Firth - The King's Speech
James Franco - 127 Hours

Best Actress
*Annette Bening - The Kids are Alright
Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone
Julianne Moore - The Kids are Alright
Natalie Portman - Black Swan

Best Supporting Actor
*Christian Bale - The Fighter
Ed Harris - The Way Back
Sam Rockwell - Conviction
Mark Ruffalo - The Kids are Alright
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams - The Fighter
*Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
Elle Fanning - Somewhere
Barbara Hershey - Black Swan
Lesley Manville - Another Year

I said before that The Social Network wasnt the frontrunner. After thinking about it, I think it actually is.

 

[Tacit Ronin]

I don't think Nolan is getting any serious noms.

 

[lime]

Me an my site are doing serious predix for years. I can give you link, but it's on bulgarian, so I will give you a translated BIG 8 predix (with possible winner for now):

Best Picture


The King's Speech
(Weinstein Co)
The Way Back
(Newmarket Films)
127 Hours
(Fox Searchlight)Another Year
(Sony)
Social Network
(Sony Pictures)
Inception
(Warner Bros)
Kids Are All Right
(Focus)
The Fighter
(Paramount)
Love & Other drugs
(Fox)
Toy Story 3
(Pixar/Disney)

Best Directing

Hooper
The King's Speech
Weir
The Way Back
Boyle
127 Hours
Leigh
Another Year
O’Russel
The Fighter

Best Leading Actor
Furth
The King's Speech
Duval
Get LowBardem
Biutiful
Giammatti
Barney's Version
Walberg
The Fighter
Best Leading Actress

Bening
The Kids Are All RightPortman
Black Swan
Manville
Another Year
Hathaway
Love and Other...Swank
Conviction

Best Supporting Actress
Bonham Carter
The King's SpeechAdams
The FighterRichardson
Made in DagenhamSpacek
Get LowMoore
The Kids are...
Best Supporting Actor

Rush
The King's Speech
Harris
The Way Back
Bale
The FighterRuffalo
The Kids are...
Murray
Get Low

Best Original Screenplay
Another Year
Leigh
Inception
Nolan
The Kids Are...
Choldenko & Blumber
The King's Speech
Saidler
The Fighter
(multiple)
Best Adapted Screenplay

Love and Other Drugs
Zwick & Hekovitz
Rabbit Hole
Aubrey
Social Network
Sorkin
Toy Story 3
Arnand
The Way Back
Weir

 

[Assassin32]

People seriously liked The Kids Are All Right that much?

 

[Laderlappen]

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/10012141-kids_are_all_right/

 

[TheFuture]

Just curious LaderLappen, what have your heard about TSN that makes you think that it's going to be a big hitter at the Oscars?

 

[Crockett]

I've been reading some great reviews about it and since I'm also looking forward to it I'm hoping that Never Let Me Go nabs some nominations, I could see it getting nominated for Best Directing, Best Adapted Screenplay and possibly Best Leading Actress for Mulligan.

 

[Laderlappen]

Just curious LaderLappen, what have your heard about TSN that makes you think that it's going to be a big hitter at the Oscars?

Well the reviews couldnt be better. I dont actually read them but if we look at the Rotten Tomatoes again, it has a perfect 100% and a 9.8/10 score(17 reviews).

 

[TheFuture]

Well the reviews couldnt be better. I dont actually read them but if we look at the Rotten Tomatoes again, it has a perfect 100% and a 9.8/10 score(17 reviews).

Interesting, I'd have to read the reviews though (which I don't really want to before seeing it) to get a feel for what kind of praise it's getting. I mean there are plenty of films that have achieved 90%+ on RT yet not get a sniff of an Oscar.

I'd be very happy to think that it has a chance with the academy though.

 

[lime]

My official Oscar predictions for September - October 5th.

Ranked from 'most likely to unlikely' (Green are a lock / orange are 50/50 / Red are all equal)

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Social Network
The Way Back
Rabbit Hole
True Grit
Toy Story 3

---------- Other possibilities ----------

127 Hours
Winter’s Bone

Best Original Screenplay

The King's Speech
The Kids Are All Right
Another Year
Inception
The Fighter

---------- Other possibilities ----------

Black Swan
Somewhere

Best Supporting Actress

Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
Juliane Moore - The Kids Are All Right
Sissy Spacek - Get Low
Miranda Richardson - Made in Dagenham
Amy Adams - The Fighter

---------- Other possibilities ----------

Hailee Seinfeld – True Grit
Jacki Weaver – Animal Kingdom
Melissa Leo – The Fighter

Best Supporting Actor

Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech
Mark Ruffalo - The Kids Are All Right
Christian Bale - The Fighter
Ed Harris - The Way Back
Bill Murray - Get Low

---------- Other possibilities ----------

Sam Rockwell – Conviction
Andrew Garfield – The Social Network
Colin Farrell – The Way Back

Best Leading Actress

Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Anne Hathaway - Love and Other Drugs
Lesley Manville - Another Year
Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole

---------- Other possibilities ----------

Sally Hawkins – Made in Dagenham
Julianne Moore – The Kids Are All Right
Hilary Swank – Conviction

Best Leading Actor

Colin Firth - The King's Speech
James Franco - 127 Hours
Robert Duvall - Get Low
Mark Wahlberg - The Fighter
Jeff Birdges - True Grit

---------- Other possibilities ----------

Paul Giammatti – Barney’s Version
Javier Bardem – Biutiful
Jim Broadbent – Another Year

Best Director

Tom Hooper - The King's Speech
David Fincher - The Social Network
Peter Weir - The Way Back
Mike Leigh - Another Year
Danny Boyle - 127 Hours

---------- Other possibilities ----------

David O’Russel – The Fighter
Ethan & Joel Coen – True Grit
Darren Aranofsky – Black Swan

Best Picture

The King's Speech
The Social Network
127 Hours
Another Year
Inception
The Way Back
Toy Story 3
True Grit
The Kids Are All Right
The Fighter

---------- Other possibilities ----------

Secretariat
Black Swan
Love and Other Drugs
Hereafter

 

[:eek:]

DISNEY GOING ALL-OUT TO WIN OSCAR FOR TOY STORY 3

October 6, 2010

The mediocre box-office showing of The Social Network over the weekend may redound to the benefit of the Walt Disney Company, which is reportedly planning an extensive campaign to win the best picture Oscar for Toy Story 3. The New York Times reported that Disney “has decided to take a deep breath and push Pixar’s Toy Story 3 with all of its might.” The decision to do so, the newspaper said, went all the way to Disney CEO Robert Iger, who decided that Toy Story 3 should become the first animated film ever to win the best picture trophy. The newspaper observed that in addition to the fact that the movie earned “rapturous reviews” as well as $1.1 billion — more than any other film released this year — “Toy Story 3 has the ‘it’s overdue’ argument going for it.” Until this weekend, The Social Network was regarded as the frontrunner in the Oscar race.