Joker 2019 boxoffice predictions

[Invader Joker]

Everyone should retire from the b.o. prediction game after this lol. Madness

The people going after the film pre-release painting it as an ultra-violent film that will cause mass slaughtering are now going after its chances at the award seasons lol

We all know how the first attack turned out.

I'm going the safe route and prefict The Batman will make 2 billion dollars.

 

[Greenlite]

I'm going the safe route and prefict The Batman will make 2 billion dollars.

Lol

To be fair if RP makes 2 one billion dollar Bat films, then for some miracle reason Joaquin says yes to the 3rd one and done well, 2B is totally possible by the currency in that time, plus kids who can watch Joaquin this time

 

[BaelaTargaryen]

 

[AcidRain]

The movie even beats its own estimates on a consistent basis.

 

[Lantern Venom]

I'm going the safe route and prefict The Batman will make 2 billion dollars.

That might be a stretch, but it won't surprise me at all if its a runaway success. I've learned to never underestimate the appeal of the Dark Knight and his supporting cast.

 

[Pennywise]

Box Office: ‘Joker’ Drops Below $1 Million But Tops ‘Thor: Ragnarok’

It was a good news/bad news day for Joaquin Phoenix and Todd Phillips’ Joker. The bad news is that the Warner Bros. release dipped below $1 million in daily grosses for the first time, earning $905,000 (-48% from last Tuesday) on day 38. The good news is that the DC Films flick topped the domestic gross of Marvel’s Thor: Ragnarok ($315 million in 2017) with a new $315.736 million domestic cume. Presuming its 31.8%/68.2% domestic/overseas split remains intact, the film has earned around $992 million worldwide and should pass $1 billion on Friday night. If that happens, then Joker will have passed $1 billion worldwide on the two-year anniversary of the overseas debut of Justice League. That doesn’t mean a damn thing, but the cosmic coincidence amuses me.

It fell below $1 million on day 38. That puts it behind Avengers: Endgame (39 days), The Dark Knight, The Jungle Book and Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (41 days), Avengers: Infinity War, Star Wars: The Force Awakens, Spider-Man and Jurassic World (46 days), Wonder Woman (47 days), Black Panther, Frozen and The Avengers (53 days), Jurassic Park and Shrek (55 days), Phantom Menace (61 days), Avatar (81 days) and Titanic (102 days). It held longer than Aquaman, Age of Ultron and The Last Jedi (34 days) along with Rogue One (35 days) and The Greatest Showman (36 days despite a $2.4 million opening day). It has earned 3.4x its $92.6 million opening weekend, leggier than any MCU movie, for now, except Black Panther and Guardians of the Galaxy.

 

[AcidRain]

Hmm ... a curious Tuesday drop.

 

[Erik20]

Hmm ... a curious Tuesday drop.

A lot of people are probably pirating the movie now instead of going to the theater... I think that's what's hurting the numbers

 

[8ulk87]

I’ve said this before, but I never imagined the film making a billion. Here we are!

I dont think there was anyone who would thought it would be possible.

I'm going the safe route and prefict The Batman will make 2 billion dollars.

Not going to happen .

The movie even beats its own estimates on a consistent basis.

It would be funny if it manages to catch Aquaman and bocome the #1 DC movie of all time.
I doubt it happens but who knows now. This is a weird run. Joker refuses to die.

Also not sure how many 2D movies made 700+ OS-China? Probably just Titanic, Return of the King and Skyfall?

Less than 35 movies have ever made over $700 mil (China included) outside the US.

Dont know why 3D should be relevant in this though. Not many people want to watch movies in 3D anyways and despite theater owners trying to force viewers into 3D screenings people still avoid them.

Its not a big factor imho.

 

[Invader Joker]

Not going to happen .

1.5 billion is definitely possible.

 

[Hollis Mason]

I dont think there was anyone who would thought it would be possible.


Not going to happen .



It would be funny if it manages to catch Aquaman and bocome the #1 DC movie of all time.
I doubt it happens but who knows now. This is a weird run. Joker refuses to die.



Less than 35 movies have ever made over $700 mil (China included) outside the US.

Dont know why 3D should be relevant in this though. Not many people want to watch movies in 3D anyways and despite theater owners trying to force viewers into 3D screenings people still avoid them.

Its not a big factor imho.

If you say it's not gonna happen, that means there's a huge chance it happens.

 

[8ulk87]

1.5 billion is definitely possible.

I would rule $1,5 bil out as well since Black Panther and Age of Ultron couldnt do it.

$900 - 1250 mil is great for any super hero movie especially a solo one.

If you say it's not gonna happen, that means there's a huge chance it happens.

OK.

 

[bapi]

Less than 35 movies have ever made over $700 mil (China included) outside the US.

Dont know why 3D should be relevant in this though. Not many people want to watch movies in 3D anyways and despite theater owners trying to force viewers into 3D screenings people still avoid them.

Its not a big factor imho.

Looking at some movies: 3D tickets counted for 48% of Jurassic World OW in North America. And in Europe 3D was always bigger. Even if it decreased in last 2-3 years I'm sure it's still between 20-35% for event movies. And I don't know the difference in prices but in my country it's extra $1-2 for 3D so of course it makes a difference. Worst case scenario: Joker would make another 10-20M in North America and 40-50M OS if released in 3D.

 

[bapi]

I'm going the safe route and prefict The Batman will make 2 billion dollars.

No chance imho. Would need 600+ NA and 400+ China.

But 400+ DOM and 600+ OS-China should be their realistic target.

 

[8ulk87]

Looking at some movies: 3D tickets counted for 48% of Jurassic World OW in North America. And in Europe 3D was always bigger. Even if it decreased in last 2-3 years I'm sure it's still between 20-35% for event movies. And I don't know the difference in prices but in my country it's extra $1-2 for 3D so of course it makes a difference. Worst case scenario: Joker would make another 10-20M in North America and 40-50M OS if released in 3D.

True but still an extra $75 WW for Joker from 3D wouldnt happen because people wouldnt go to see a 3D screening of Joker. Just no way.

If audiences actively avoid seeing effect heavy big blockbusters in 3D they will definately avoid to see Joker in 3D.

The difference would be small since some of the extra $$$ Avengers or other blockbusters films get is because audiences couldnt get a 2D ticket because Theater owners do their best to force you in those screenings.

So its not fair to compare imho.

And its a pointless discsussion since some movies like Joker dont make sense to be seen in 3D hence they dont offer that.

 

[bapi]

Ok Joker 3D screenings would sell 0 tickets. You're right you know everything.

It's not like 3D conversion costs 10-15M, basically 1/4 of Joker's production budget and DC probably had low expectations. No, you're right. I congratulate you. Seriously. You're smart. Great.

 

[dnno1]

 

[geosphere]

one of these things is not like the other

 

[Lantern Venom]

one of these things is not like the other

I'd say two of these things.

 

[Invader Joker]

I would rule $1,5 bil out as well since Black Panther and Age of Ultron couldnt do it.

If Joker managed to surpass Spider-Man, Superman, Wonder Woman, Justice League and Thor, Batman can most definitely surpass Black Panther and Age of Ultron.

Sorry dude, the precedent has been set. The Batman brand is gigantic, all it needs is a good movie to make giant bank.

 

[Mani-Man]

If Joker managed to surpass Spider-Man, Superman, Wonder Woman, Justice League and Thor, Batman can most definitely surpass Black Panther and Age of Ultron.

Sorry dude, the precedent has been set. The Batman brand is gigantic, all it needs is a good movie to make giant bank.

Its so very hard to say for me...the Joker could easily be a incredible anomaly and not something you can repeat.

I do think it will absolutly surpass a large amount of Movies simply because its the freaking Batman.
The name alone gets people into their seats for sure...so i would say that at least 600 million or so is a sure number.
And if its not R rated or so you can count a few million families and others in.
And what about China, will the movie run there, is batman something that makes money there?

A billion is a very possible number, but 1.5...puh hard to say at the moment.
I have lost so much grip with this all this year because i was so often wrong in how a movie performed, i have no idea anymore.

Still cant believe Joker made this much money...thats just nuts to me.
I didnt even expect half of this, we live in crazy times my friends.

 

[Chesterfield]

If Joker managed to surpass Spider-Man, Superman, Wonder Woman, Justice League and Thor, Batman can most definitely surpass Black Panther and Age of Ultron.

Sorry dude, the precedent has been set. The Batman brand is gigantic, all it needs is a good movie to make giant bank.

Joker has done exceptionally well and a huge congratulations to the film buuuut...its not beating Black Panther or Age Of Ultron; 2 movies the wiped the floor with Spider-Man, Superman, Wonder Woman, Justice League and Thor. This isn't me or anyone else trying to underestimate the film especially after this pleasantly unexpected success but it's just being realistic. No way Joker is topping $1.3Billion.

 

[8ulk87]

Ok Joker 3D screenings would sell 0 tickets. You're right you know everything.

It's not like 3D conversion costs 10-15M, basically 1/4 of Joker's production budget and DC probably had low expectations. No, you're right. I congratulate you. Seriously. You're smart. Great.

I didnt say Joker's 3D would make 0 bucks.
I said movies like Joker dont make sense to be put in 3D hence they are not put in 3D.

And if it did for some weird reason (which his kinda pointless to speculate since it wouldnt anyways) people would avoid it because they have a brain.

If someone generally avoids seeing a effects heavy , big blockbuster film in 3D they will definately avoid seeing a character piece in 3D.

Whats so hard to get here honestly ? Maybe skip the condescension and answer me ?

If Joker managed to surpass Spider-Man, Superman, Wonder Woman, Justice League and Thor, Batman can most definitely surpass Black Panther and Age of Ultron.

Sorry dude, the precedent has been set. The Batman brand is gigantic, all it needs is a good movie to make giant bank.

Guess will have to wait and see. Im gonna bet against it. Its not easy to top Aquaman.

 

[Invader Joker]

Its so very hard to say for me...the Joker could easily be a incredible anomaly and not something you can repeat.

I do think it will absolutly surpass a large amount of Movies simply because its the freaking Batman.
The name alone gets people into their seats for sure...so i would say that at least 600 million or so is a sure number.
And if its not R rated or so you can count a few million families and others in.
And what about China, will the movie run there, is batman something that makes money there?

A billion is a very possible number, but 1.5...puh hard to say at the moment.
I have lost so much grip with this all this year because i was so often wrong in how a movie performed, i have no idea anymore.

Still cant believe Joker made this much money...thats just nuts to me.
I didnt even expect half of this, we live in crazy times my friends.

Batman should at the very least absolutely make 50 million dollars more than Joker. If it doesn't, WB would have the right to feel underwhelmed.

 

[geosphere]

Joker has done exceptionally well and a huge congratulations to the film buuuut...its not beating Black Panther or Age Of Ultron; 2 movies the wiped the floor with Spider-Man, Superman, Wonder Woman, Justice League and Thor. This isn't me or anyone else trying to underestimate the film especially after this pleasantly unexpected success but it's just being realistic. No way Joker is topping $1.3Billion.

Well to be fair, they where talking about the upcoming Batman movie, not the joker movie