Homecoming The Deal With Marvel: more likely or less likely?

[harryoscop]

Less likely or more likely

 

[degraves93]

More likely. Not a certainty though. 2014 was a wake-up call for Sony.

 

[Stormz96]

I think it's very possible that the deal has already been made.

But nothing is certain

 

[OriginalMiles]

prolly

 

[harryoscop]

Damn, I messed up the poll.

 

[Airnick]

Damn, I messed up the poll.

I will never forgive you for this!

 

[Surfer]

I think at this point it can go either way. It just depends on how pig headed Sony is with standing their ground on the deal they wanted originally with Marvel. Because Marvel is not going to meet Sony's requirements, Sony needs to be willing to meet Marvels. I gave it 50%.

Surfer

 

[babykhris]

This deal is happening...I wouldn't be surprised if they sell Spidey outright and get out the entertainment biz. They've been making alot of cuts and after reading this

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-...ell-music-publishing-unit-owning-beatles.html

it's more than likely they would get out the entertainment biz.

 

[smashmode]

70% I think there is a decent shot, mostly because the emails show that they are talking about specific details of the deal. The 'how' & the 'what'. Seems like we have past the 'should we or should we not?'

 

[spider-neil]

Less that 50% i.e. less likely to happen. A ton of hurdles to negotiate. Would have been more likely if Spider-Man had absolutely bombed. Sony didn't make a profit but the movie in the general sense of the word didn't bomb.

 

[Surfer]

The question was not if we as fans think this needs to happen but whether we think it will happen. I hope all of the 80, 90 & 100 % people don't get too crushed if things don't go our way. Believe me I would be greatly saddened to feel we had this possability and it was not realized, but I am trying to keep a level head and realize Sony may still be unwilling to part with him, thinking they can fix it. We as fans do not believe they can fix it, but them making the deal relies upon their beliefs not ours, not to mention fans make up a very small section of the general public. So Sony might feel like they won't care who makes it as long as it is good. Well anyways I do hope all the people that put high percentages are correct and Spidey returns home. Merry Christmas everyone.

Surfer

 

[degraves93]

Neil and Surfer both bring up good points. Nothing's set in stone, so what makes us so certain that the deal will happen? Is it better to expect the desired result, or is it better to expect to be let down?

 

[JOE]

It's going to be a long month or two on these boards... Waiting for confirmation on things we can only speculate about. Once we get the final say on what's going on, then these boards will light up again.

 

[HanShotFirst]

Neil and Surfer both bring up good points. Nothing's set in stone, so what makes us so certain that the deal will happen? Is it better to expect the desired result, or is it better to expect to be let down?

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst. - Laundry Sheriff

 

[Tacit Ronin]

To Marvel or not to Marvel

 

[Stormz96]

Neil and Surfer both bring up good points. Nothing's set in stone, so what makes us so certain that the deal will happen? Is it better to expect the desired result, or is it better to expect to be let down?

All we really have is optimism, I mean if the deal doesn't go through, spiderman films may very well see their worst days. So maybe it's our desires taking over our expectations, but what's the alternative?

 

[Spider-Gnome]

I think a lot of us here hope our sheer will can bring this deal about.

 

[Stormz96]

One thing that give me hope is that the rumors haven't been addressed by any side (sony has an excuse I suppose), and it's been weeks since the media got a hold of these "reddit leaks" and "insider info" and ran the stories all over the internet. One of the redditors stated the sony and marvel are trying to keep the details tightly under wraps until the announcement next month and so it seems they're doing a good job there (well, if you don't count the leaks)

 

[spiderman2]

90% I just don't see how it can not happened now. If they do an asm3 with the way asm2 was received I think it does even worse at the box-office and if they do it with out Garfield I think the drop off is even worse. If you reboot I think having a second reboot already and getting wired of a guy that a lot of people like in Garfield I think you are going to have even more criticism. I just don't see a way that they can make a sm movie with out losing money any more. If they make an asm3 with Garfield I think the movie only makes 650 million. With out Garfield 600 million. If they do a reboot I think you see only 500-550 million. If a movie that made 706 million only made them 65 million before overheads how are they going to be able to affored a drop off of at least another 50 million?

I say best cause with asm3 they make 650 million and have a budget of 200 instead of asm2 250 and they spend like 100 million on marketing instead of 180. Now if they spend 200 instead of 250 that would be 50 million more to make. With 100 million marketing instead of 180 that would be another 80 million. Now with those 2 things that would be 130 million more but with making 50 million less so really only 80 million more. So best cause asm3 makes 80 million more and that is at best. More realistically the movie cost 250 million and they spend 130 million and the movie makes only like 625 million. Now with those numbers compared to asm2 the movie makes only 35 million before overheads witch is already 30 million worse the asm2.

 

[degraves93]

One thing that give me hope is that the rumors haven't been addressed by any side (sony has an excuse I suppose), and it's been weeks since the media got a hold of these "reddit leaks" and "insider info" and ran the stories all over the internet. One of the redditors stated the sony and marvel are trying to keep the details tightly under wraps until the announcement next month and so it seems they're doing a good job there (well, if you don't count the leaks)

Sony sucks at keeping secrets, this has been true way before the leaks.

 

[spider-neil]

Sony sucks at keeping secrets, this has been true way before the leaks.

Just look at their trailers as evidence.

 

[The Joker]

90% probability I'd say. Sony is in deep poop and they need this deal badly.

 

[Morbius]

In Whedon we trust

 

[spider-neil]

I hope Marvel release those two characters to Sony (in a Marvel production).
Spider-Man with Daredevil and Punisher. Or how about Spider-Man with Ghost Rider, Morbius and Blade. Fantastic.

 

[harryoscop]

Who voted 10%. ??