Wonder Woman Box Office Speculation Thread

[MessiahDecoy123]

Can a female superhero reach the heights of Superman and Batman?

How much do you expect the first major female superhero movie to bring in?

 

[flickchick85]

Well, based on Man of Steel's performance and going with the optimistic possibility that BvS is well-received enough to boost the hype rather than hinder it, I'm going with $600m+.

 

[Bwahaha!]

People are getting insanely psyched for the DC verse. Every other day something about DC is trending online.

I've never seen such anticipation for any CBM like I have for BvS. I think it could blow everything else out of the water. SS also seems to be shaping up awesomely.

The next DC film will be the solo WW. If BvS pumped up people for WW, if she steals some good scenes, and if WW benefits from all the hype leading into Justice League...if they promote WW properly, her movie could literally be another Hunger Games-esque phenomena.

As long as the stars and stripes align. I'm thinking out of all the upcoming DC movies, hers has to be damn good. No lukewarm script, no average performances or cinematography. The WW film must be truly great. If that happens, anything could follow. Of course, women always must work twice as hard to get half as far as the boys.

 

[HaplessHenchman]

I'm going to say between $600 - $800 million. I think it will do well in the US but am not sure how it will be received Worldwide. There might be some female bias that might hold it back, regardless of how good it turns out to be. I don't know...

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

The main problem is that the only major succeses for female action heroes have had a big name attached (Angelina, ScarJo).

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

I'm going to go conservative with this one.

190 DOM
310 OS

500 WW

 

[kvz5]

The main problem is that the only major succeses for female action heroes have had a big name attached (Angelina, ScarJo).

I'm hoping that the popularity of the character itself would compensate for that. It would help too if she steals the show and impresses in BvS. They could also fill in the supporting cast with high profile actors which seems to be the trend lately (unknown lead, A-list actor villains and/or supporting characters).

 

[flickchick85]

I'm going to go conservative with this one.

190 DOM
310 OS

500 WW

I love that we live in an age in which the "conservative" prediction for a Wonder Woman movie puts her at $500m WW. That's awesome. t:

 

[Bullseye1]

I'd love to see this do great at the box office. If the budget is $150 million and this makes $500 million we may have a chance at a sequel. But let's get the first movie done and dusted first.

 

[Jonwo]

I think it has the potential to do $100m+ OW and $600-800m WW. I imagine WB will promote it like crazy. I do think that in order to maximise the OW, WB needs to move Wonder Woman from its current release date to either May 26th and move Lego Batman or March 31st.

 

[LurkNoMore]

I'm hoping that the popularity of the character itself would compensate for that. It would help too if she steals the show and impresses in BvS. They could also fill in the supporting cast with high profile actors which seems to be the trend lately (unknown lead, A-list actor villains and/or supporting characters).

This.

It really all depends on Gadot's performance. I think with Snyder setting the tone in BvS and MacLaren guiding her performance in the WW solo Gadot can pull it off, but guessing the box office is really difficult for me at this stage.

Having said that, however, if BvS kills at the box office, which I'm expecting (1B +/- 100M) and Suicide Squad coming in just under that, I'm thinking that as long as Gadot is well received by the general public and fanboys the WW solo could earn as much as MOS did.

 

[Pickleweasel]

It's early but IMO it needs to move its date or it might struggle

 

[WBwins]

It's early but IMO it needs to move its date or it might struggle

Agreed.It and Black Panther have risky release dates

 

[DawnOfJustice16]

I think it will do anywhere from 850 million -1 billion ww .

 

[Mrs. Wayne]

600 million.

 

[snpklsdmbldr]

I think release date and the number of competition will always be a bigger factor on box office returns.

 

[Marvin]

I'm going to go conservative with this one.

190 DOM
310 OS

500 WW

I don't think this movie should have any sort of burden to perform bigger than the 'well received' TFA and THOR tbh but with the added measure of it being a female so.... But I'm sure it being dc and a supposed big three it will regardless. You're conservative guess should actually be the measure for success...again given the formers there.

That being said, given just what marvel has been able to do with selling things by way of shared novelty, anything could happen. I think WB was wise to do these bigger crossover things first and have other creatives run off with the solo's now that the relevance has been struck. Same should happen for the rest of the leaguers as well.

If this hits big(and it could given the timing and momentum) that would be great for female directors and female led action films and genre leads. Hunger games already does plenty for 2 out of three of those. Whom they cast around her and the male lead in particular should prove pivotal. Like SS, WB is probably looking to buffer all this with same names, especially in the lead.

One other thing this new dcu has going for it that it didn't before is that with the added quantity and frequency and from a group set of producers, they will be given more leeway in terms of film reception. That is the entire brand won't rest on one film every few years. A relatively weak year could be immediately followed by a strong year and so forth. I foresee a few more divisive films from the dc brand but it will no doubt be jumbled in there with their hits. Again, like the mcu.

 

[Jonwo]

It's early but IMO it needs to move its date or it might struggle

The release date isn't great being sandwiched between Toy Story 4 and Despicable Me 3, both which are potential $100m+ OW. I think WB will move it to either May, March or even July. My preferred slot would be May 26th as Memorial Day is a fantastic weekend and it has proven to be for blockbuster films and March 31st is currently empty and will get the Spring Break and Easter boost.

 

[Wildcard]

No matter how enormous the boost is from BvS, I don't see this movie doing a billion. Maybe part two or three could have that potential, but not the first outing...especially when it's her first film ever.

I can see WW doing $600+ million, it really depends on the reception for BvS & then the execution of the solo film itself.

 

[mclay18]

Agreed.It and Black Panther have risky release dates

I think summertime is a great season to release a WW film, but yeah, there's going to be a surplus of kids' movies in May/June 2017 (some will definitely move) but June 23 is a tough spot. Spring 2017 is also getting a little crowded -- especially March and April. If SS does well in its August 2016 spot I can envision WB moving WW to August 4, 2017. Sure, it'll be a week after Thor 3, but WW will draw in more females wanting to see Gal Gadot kick ass.

Also if Fox's FF reboot fails next year, then it's sequel date for July 14 will be up for grabs. WB can easily reclaim their mid-July spot for that year for WW if that's the case. (Which is likely unless the FF reboot was super cheap to make.)

As for Black Panther, it'll do just fine.

 

[Black Narcissus]

This will have tough box office competition.

I'm going with 600m.

 

[mclay18]

There's still plenty of time for WB to move it to safer waters. I think WB will probably move it to one of these dates for 2017:

February 17, 2017
March 17, 2017
March 31, 2017
April 14, 2017
May 12, 2017
June 2, 2017
July 14, 2017
August 4, 2017

Plenty of viable spots, and not just the ones I listed too.

 

[Lily Adler]

I think 500 million is a safe bet. Any lower and I'll be worried.

 

[DlAMONDZ]

Warner should really move this. BVS and SS were given good slots, WW should receive the same treatment.

 

[Jonwo]

There's still plenty of time for WB to move it to safer waters. I think WB will probably move it to one of these dates for 2017:

February 17, 2017
March 17, 2017
March 31, 2017
April 14, 2017
May 12, 2017
June 2, 2017
July 14, 2017
August 4, 2017

Plenty of viable spots, and not just the ones I listed too.

May 12th is a week after Guardians of the Galaxy 2 so that's unlikely as well. July 14th and March 31st are more likely out of those dates, my favoured date is May 26th but it would mean moving Lego Batman but that would well in any Spring or Summer slot.