DJ Kornphlake
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- Mar 14, 2006
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Oh, please.... just get over it already, Kari.
I certainly hope this happens. It's going to depend on how useless McCarthy's House ends up being.I do think there is going to be a huge electoral blowback to MAGAs controlling the House for the next two years -- and I think it'll transfer to the R Senators up for re-election.
The blue wave's starting to build for 2024.
The senate map sets up poorly for Dems in 2024, but you never know. By any reasonably thinking person, the Dems should have maybe 200 seats in the house. The senate map was advantageous for the Dems last year.....bottom line is that it's going to depend on how childish these right wing idiots act. I suspect on debt limit issues, enough "moderate" repubs will understand that shutting down the govt and not paying bills is a stone cold loser,,I do think there is going to be a huge electoral blowback to MAGAs controlling the House for the next two years -- and I think it'll transfer to the R Senators up for re-election.
The blue wave's starting to build for 2024.
The senate map sets up poorly for Dems in 2024, but you never know. By any reasonably thinking person, the Dems should have maybe 200 seats in the house. The senate map was advantageous for the Dems last year.....bottom line is that it's going to depend on how childish these right wing idiots act. I suspect on debt limit issues, enough "moderate" repubs will understand that shutting down the govt and not paying bills is a stone cold loser,,
IMO, if DeSantis beats out Trump for the nomination, he'd rather tear the party apart rather than be seen as a loser. He would complain about the process being "rigged" against him and take his voters with him in November. He'll either win the nomination, in which case a large segment of center right voters will not vote for him, or he'll lose and run a 3rd party campaign; splitting the republican party and breaking off his segment of far right, true believers.Maybe this is a good thing if it can help the divisions continue longer. Don’t want everyone uniting behind De Santis.
Either way works. As long as they don’t see common sense between the pair of them.IMO, if DeSantis beats out Trump for the nomination, he'd rather tear the party apart rather than be seen as a loser. He would complain about the process being "rigged" against him and take his voters with him in November. He'll either win the nomination, in which case a large segment of center right voters will not vote for him, or he'll lose and run a 3rd party campaign; splitting the republican party and breaking off his segment of far right, true believers.
Either way works. As long as they don’t see common sense between the pair of them.
Although almost no one realized it at the time, the 2022 elections for the House were the Capitol Hill version of George W. Bush versus Al Gore. Even by the standards of close elections, 2022 was off the charts. An analysis by Jacob Rubashkin in early December for the political tip sheet Inside Elections found that just 6,670 votes spread over five House districts would have kept the Democrats in the majority. (Final counts have changed that number to 6,675). For math mavens, that works out to be 0.006 percent of the more than 107 million votes cast in House races. According to Rubashkin’s tally, 22,378 of these votes in the right places would have prevented the Republicans from picking up a single seat in the House. So we are not talking about a normal election—this was the Democrats losing on a wild pitch in the tenth inning of the seventh game of the World Series.
That stinks.The New Republic - The Democrats Lost the House by Just 6,675 Votes. What Went Wrong?
At first glance, Democratic performance in last year’s House races was great. But a close look under the hood reveals that, with a few smarter moves and a little more luck, we’d have Speaker Jeffries.