Well, 2026 is clearly going to be a bigger year considering the films coming. We haven't seen such a big line-up since 2019. The question is how profitable will this year be.
Looking at the release schedule from Box Office Mojo, only Spider-Man and Avengers are guaranteed over $500 million in my opinion - domestically.
-DC with Supergirl/Clayface- Questionable. Supergirl grossing over 600 million worldwide would be huge and surprising though 600 million isn't really huge compare to previous cbms.
-Disney animated films like Hooper and Hexed are wait and see. I think Toy Story lost a lot of its appeal when Lightyear flopped.
-Super Mario should perform similarly as the first one. But we've seen this box office sophomore slump for animated franchises before.
-Street Fighter, Resident Evil and Mortal Kombat aren't gonna perform huge globally, probably 400 million tops if they are really good.
-Jumanji, Odyssey, Moana, Minions are probably guaranteed in 2026's highest grossing top ten, but I can't see them performing as huge as Spider-Man and Avengers.
-The new Star Wars for me is hard to predict. But I can't see it doing really great, like really impressive numbers. Probably around what Superman got last year.
-Disclosure, Hunger Games, Project Hail Mary and Devil Wears Prada - I don't expect these to gross over $200 million domestically.
Domestically, 2026 should hit the 9 billion mark for the first time since 2019. 10 million mark though isn't realistic at the moment. Avatar still have several weeks to go, so maybe that would help.
deadline.com
