Extreme weather


Nov 29, 2009
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Punxatawney Phil got it way wrong. Pennsylvania's famous prognosticating rodent predicted just three more weeks of winter back on February 2. It's the first day of spring, but winter remains firmly entrenched over the eastern half of the U.S., where temperatures of 5 - 25°F below average have been the rule all week. The culprit is the jet stream, which has taken on an unusually contorted shape that is allowing cold air to spill down over the Eastern U.S. and Western Europe, but bringing near-record warmth to portions of Greenland. One measure of how contorted the jet stream has become is by measuring the difference in pressure between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High. There are two indices used to do this--one called the Arctic Oscillation (AO), which treats the flow over the entire Northern Hemisphere, and another called the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which is more focused on the North Atlantic. The two are closely related about 90% of the time. When these indices are strongly negative, the pressure difference between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High is low. This results in a weaker jet stream, allowing it to take large, meandering loops, letting cold air to spill far to the south from the Arctic into the mid-latitudes. The AO index hit -5.2 today (March 20). This is the second most extreme March value of the index since record keeping began in 1948; only an AO value of -6.3 in March 1970 was more extreme. We've had some wildly variable jet stream patterns in recent years in the Northern Hemisphere. Just last year, we had the opposite extreme in March, when our ridiculous "Summer in March" heat wave brought a week of temperatures in the 80s to the Midwest U.S. The first day of spring today in Chicago, IL is expected to have a high temperature of just 25°F--a 60 degree difference from last year's high of 85°F on March 20!

Unusual winter jet stream patterns tied to Arctic sea ice loss
Unusual jet stream contortions in winter have become increasingly common in recent years, according to a March 2013 paper by Tang et al., "Cold winter extremes in northern continents linked to Arctic sea ice loss". They found a mathematical relationship between wintertime Arctic sea ice loss and the increase in unusual jet stream patterns capable of bringing cold, snowy weather to the Eastern U.S., Western Europe, and East Asia, typical of what one sees during a strongly negative Arctic Oscillation. They theorized that sea ice loss in the Arctic promotes more evaporation, resulting in earlier snowfall in Siberia and other Arctic lands. The earlier snow insulates the soil, allowing the land to cool more rapidly. This results in a southwards shift of the jet stream and builds higher atmospheric pressures farther to the south, which increases the odds of cold spells and blocking high pressure systems that can cause extended periods of unusually cold and snowy weather in the mid-latitudes.
Phil really screwed the pooch this year. In my area, Monday it was raining and 39 degrees and Tuesday it was 60 degrees and sunny. WTF!
For a couple of weeks where I live it was really warm, no snow in a long time and then bam, snow and wind and ugh.
It's mostly been in the 40s and 50s where I live the last few weeks. Then last Friday it got up to 85. Then yesterday it snowed...
40c =104f in England this upcoming Monday. Europe has been having a crazy hot summer
That melanin is finally coming in handy for us non-pale skinned British folk.
Notice how you don't see catty comments from politicians on Twitter about "gLoBaL wArMiNg" when high temperatures are literally killing people.
UPS trucks dont have air conditioning!


Formula 1 is literally developing a synthetic version of fuel which gets its energy via atmospheric carbon rather than fossil fuels, which is at the stage that it worked when used for an F1 car made in the 90s.

‘I’m expecting to have fun’ says Vettel, as he prepares for carbon neutral-fuelled Silverstone run in Mansell’s 1992 Williams | Formula 1®

F1 intends for this fuel to be used from the 2026 season and on, as well as wishing to distribute it for its use in road cars.

We're a lot closer to the complete disregard of fossil fuels than Madeley thinks

But that would also eat into the profits of the Oil industry which considering the above is basically a ticking time bomb that won't exist by 2040. So of course, that's not gonna happen
had a cold snap in my area over the weekend of below 0 temps

an today its already back up to 40's

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