Predict how well these Marvel movies will be doing in theatre

[chiefchirpa]

Indicate with grade, 1-5:
5 – Very Succesful (over $100 million profit)
4 – Succesful (Between $25-100 million profit)
3 – Average (Break even to 25 million profit)
2 – Minor flop (0-$ 50 mil loss)
1 – Disaster (more than $50 mil loss)
It'll be better if you explain your reasons.


Here are the movies (add them if I'm missing other likely projects)

1. Incredible Hulk - 4 Hulk is strongest there is
2. Punisher: War Zone - 3 It has no competition, but low budget means low expectation
3. X-Men Origin: Wolverine - 4 Fueled by many Wolverine fans
4. Iron Man 2 - 5 Iron Man is clearly the best Marvel character to be moved in movie form
5. Thor - 4
6. Captain America - 4
7. The Avengers - 5
8. Spider-Man 4/5 - 5 It's Spidey
9. Ant Man - 3
10. Luke Cage - 3
11. Dr. Strange - 4
12 Namor - 3
13. Black Panther - 4
14. Iron Fist - 4
15. Deadpool - 4 Funny Ninja will depend on his showing in Wolverine
16. Moon Knight - 4 Gory Silver Batman bordering into supernatural
17. New Daredevil - 3
18. F4 3 - 4
19. Silver Surfer - 2 Silver Surfer is boring character
20. Young X-Men (reboot) - 4
21. New Ghost Rider - 2

 

[He-Man]

1.Incredible Hulk -4
2.Punisher: War Zone - 3
3.X-Men Origin: Wolverine -4
4.Iron Man 2 -5
5.Thor -3
6.Captain America -4
7. The Avengers -5
8.Spider-Man 4/5 -5
9.Ant Man - 2
10.Luke Cage - 3
11.Dr. Strange -3
12.Namor -4
13.Black Panther -3
14.Iron Fist -2
15.Deadpool -3
16.Moon Knight -2
17.New Daredevil -3
18.F4 3 -3
19.Silver Surfer -4
20.Young X-Men (reboot) -4
21.New Ghost Rider -2

 

[topdog1]

1.Incredible Hulk (5)- Good release date and a great character
2.Punisher: War Zone (3)- Moving was a good idea but a holiday release?
3.X-Men Origin: Wolverine (5)- X-Men quality with Oscar level cast & director
4.Iron Man 2 (5)- Anyone that saw Iron Man will flock to the sequel
5.Thor (4)- If done right will combine Hulk crowd with LOTR crowd
6.Captain America (5)- Iron Man all over again!!!!!!!
7. The Avengers (10)- THE biggest summer even film of all time
8.Spider-Man 4/5 (5)- THE biggest hero still stands tall even with new cast
9.Ant Man (2)- This film will never happen.
10.Luke Cage (3)- Tyler Perry keeps making a ton of cash so you never know
11.Dr. Strange (3)- Cult following similar to Hellboy profitablity (Unless someone like Leo signs)
12.Namor (4)- This could be huge but it's also a film that will never happen
13.Black Panther (4)- I can see Marvel greenlighting this after Avengers
14.Iron Fist (4)- Sleeper of the crowd. Small budget but big returns
15.Deadpool (4)- Only if Fox uses this to keep their X-Men rights alive after Magneto... I doubt this will happen
16.Magneto (5)- In for Moon Knight. Will be HUGE given it's basically X5
17.New Daredevil (4)- Long way off but I'd like to see self made Marvel take a shot
18.F4 3 (4)- Would do ROTSS numbers
19.Silver Surfer (2)- This movie would kill the golden goose and return all the FF rights to Marvel
20.Young X-Men (reboot) (5)- Will be HUGE given it's basically X6
21.New Ghost Rider (2)- Wouldn't be able to overcome crappy first film

 

[Spider-Vader]

1.Incredible Hulk (3-5)- Depends on if it has good WOM
2.Punisher: War Zone 3- Christmas? Would of done better now.
3.X-Men Origin: Wolverine 5- It's Wolverine, I'm thinking top 3 next year
4.Iron Man 2 5- The sequel will do better
5.Thor 4-5- Maybe the character will popular, though the fantasy factor may turn people off
6.Captain America 4-5- I think it'll do really good
7. The Avengers 5- If Thor & Caps do good. This will be #1 that year
8.Spider-Man 4/5 4-5- S-M3 may change the box office impact
9.Ant Man 3- I don't think this will be big
10.Luke Cage 4-5- Should do good, another black hero is a nice change
11.Dr. Strange 2-3- This guy isn't that huge. Unless it gets great WOM it shouldn't do that good
12.Namor 2-3- Ditto
13.Black Panther 3-4- This should do good
14.Iron Fist 2-4- Ditto
15.Deadpool 3-5- Depends if audiences like the character, if they love him I see huge blockbuster, if he's sorta popular it'll do good
16.Moon Knight 3-4- Some may seem him as a BM rip-off
17.New Daredevil 2-4- Same as Hulk
18.F4 3 2-4- If it's a reboot, it could do good
19.Silver Surfer 3-4- Same as Hulk & DD
20.Young X-Men (reboot) 4-5- It's X-Men
21.New Ghost Rider 2-4- Same as Hulk, DD & FF

 

[shadowdog]

1.Incredible Hulk 4
2.Punisher: War Zone 3
3.X-Men Origin: Wolverine 4
4.Iron Man 2 5
5.Thor 4
6.Captain America 5
7. The Avengers 5
8.Spider-Man 4/5 3
9.Ant Man 3
10.Luke Cage 4
11.Dr. Strange 3
12.Namor 4
13.Black Panther 3
14.Iron Fist 2
15.Deadpool 3
16.Moon Knight 2
17.New Daredevil 1
18.F4 3 2
19.Silver Surfer 4
20.Young X-Men (reboot) 4
21.New Ghost Rider 1

 

[chiefchirpa]

1. Incredible Hulk - 4 | Hulk is the strongest there is
2. Punisher: War Zone - 3 | It has no competition, but low budget means low expectation
3. X-Men Origin: Wolverine - 4 | Fueled by many Wolverine fans
4. Iron Man 2 - 5 | Iron Man is clearly the best Marvel character to be moved into movie form
5. Thor - 4
6. Captain America - 4
7. The Avengers - 5
8. Spider-Man 4/5 - 5 | It's Spidey
9. Ant Man - 3
10. Luke Cage - 3
11. Dr. Strange - 4 | Hellboy + Marvel
12 Namor - 3
13. Black Panther - 3
14. Iron Fist - 4 | Buttkicking action scenes needed
15. Deadpool - 4 | Funny Ninja will depend on his showing in Wolverine
16. Moon Knight - 4 | Gory Silver Batman bordering into supernatural
17. New Daredevil - 3
18. F4 3 - 3
19. Silver Surfer - 2 Silver Surfer is boring character
20. Young X-Men (reboot) - 4
21. New Ghost Rider - 2