The Amazing Spider-Man The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread

[MessiahDecoy123]

Has the best shot out of all of next summer's films. TDK had Ledger to kick it up there (let's face it, his death got more attention than any viral marketing ever did. If Begins had made a high gross as well, it'd be seen as a pattern, but it made 700 million less than the sequel. Very, very goddamn rare), and Avengers will likely top at around 650-700 mil WW Depending on it's popularity. Spider-Man had about 800+ for every film so far in it's franchise, and with a 3D boost resulting in about...eh, 100 million in 3D sales, plus the ticket inflation, I'd think it's safe to say it'd make at least 900 million, with a genuine shot at the billion. TDK is the lowest on the billion chart, with only one million over. If Spidey makes the billion list, I'd be straight up shocked if it didn't pass that.

I think Avengers has a chance at 800 million.

300+ m domestic
500+ m overseas

ASM will make at least 900 m.

250 m domestic and 650 m overseas in the floor.

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

I go back and forth between June 29 and July 3 for ASM's best release date. I wonder if Sony should move ASM back to the 29th and get the weekend audience, or keep it where it is on the Tuesday and let GI Joe 2's audience fizzle out after 4 days. On June 29th you get the 4 extra days (including weekend) before TDKR comes out, but you go directly against GI Joe 2. Spidey would easily be # 1 for that weekend, but Gi Joe would no doubt take some of Spidey's potential audience that weekend. It all comes down to what you think about the GI Joe films fanbase. It's certainly not Star Trek 2.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

Too bad Sony didn't move ASM to July 29th when paramount moved Star Trek 2. There was a small window where the July 4th weekend was free.

They still have 17 days before The Dark Knight opens.

 

[chaseter]

Has the best shot out of all of next summer's films.

No, no Spider-Man does not. And, you are foolish to think Heath Ledger's death somehow brought in another $250 million+.

 

[©KAW]

I go back and forth between June 29 and July 3 for ASM's best release date. I wonder if Sony should move ASM back to the 29th and get the weekend audience, or keep it where it is on the Tuesday and let GI Joe 2's audience fizzle out after 4 days. On June 29th you get the 4 extra days (including weekend) before TDKR comes out, but you go directly against GI Joe 2. Spidey would easily be # 1 for that weekend, but Gi Joe would no doubt take some of Spidey's potential audience that weekend. It all comes down to what you think about the GI Joe films fanbase. It's certainly not Star Trek 2.

They should move it back to FRIDAY JUNE 29, this gives them THREE weekends (and the 4th of July weekdays/weekend) instead of TWO before the The Dark Knight Rises. Which means it will have made about 80% of its box office take before TDKR is even released, and will continue to make money after it is.

I did not expect Sony to be stupid enough to release a blockbuster like Spider-Man on a Tuesday. It needs that first weekend push on a Friday.

 

[©KAW]

Too bad Sony didn't move ASM to July 29th when paramount moved Star Trek 2. There was a small window where the July 4th weekend was free.

They still have 17 days before The Dark Knight opens.

They still have that window of opportunity, G.I. Joe 2 will move the moment ASM is announced. So it still is free.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

No, no Spider-Man does not. And, you are foolish to think Heath Ledger's death somehow brought in another $250 million+.

no, the Joker did.

 

[chaseter]

no, the Joker did.

I think it was a combination of many things that led to its huge success. If Joker being in that movie lead to the massive take, then this movie isn't going to make much because the Lizard isn't Spider-Man's most famous foe.

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

They should move it back to FRIDAY JUNE 29, this gives them THREE weekends (and the 4th of July weekdays/weekend) instead of TWO before the The Dark Knight Rises. Which means it will have made about 80% of its box office take before TDKR is even released, and will continue to make money after it is.

I did not expect Sony to be stupid enough to release a blockbuster like Spider-Man on a Tuesday. It needs that first weekend push on a Friday.

Your right, that third extra weekend would be HUGE. It's puzzling to me why they didn't make the move. I'm not sure about the timeline, perhaps Star Trek 2 had that spot sewed up long before Sony got it's act together, but the minute Star Trek 2 aborted that weekend they should have grabbed the slot. I think going against GI Joe on the 29th and giving the film 4 extra days (July 4th weekend and the *extra third weekend) is advantageoes for the films bottom line in the grand scheme of things considering TDKR will be looming on the horizon. They may still make the move and see if Paramount budges. Even if they don't it's worth it.

 

[©KAW]

Nothing should have stopped AMS from taking that June 29th release date, no matter what. And Paramount would move GI Joe that same day Sony announce it's taken the June 29th spot. Budge, they would run like The Flash.

 

[Troy_Parker]

30th June in Japan.

You'd think they'd want to combat piracy for a movie like this. -_-

All of these vastly varying dates are going to be their downfall... they really should change most of the dates to 29th.

 

[TheDragonator]

30th June in Japan.

You'd think they'd want to combat for a movie like this. -_-

All of these vastly varying are going to be their downfall... they really should change most of the dates to 29th.

How the **** are June 30th and July 3rd 'vastly varying'? They are 3 goddamn days apart.

 

[Spiderman6592]

July 3rd is during the week, June 30th is on the weekend. ****ing huge difference in the world of box office earnings.

 

[MrSpyder]

July 3rd date will probably change

 

[Spiderman6592]

Doubt it. They're counting on huge July 4th crowds.

 

[Venom75]

See,I wonder what people would've been more excited about: Amazing Spider-man or Spider-man 4?

 

[ThePowerCosmic]

I think it was a combination of many things that led to its huge success. If Joker being in that movie lead to the massive take, then this movie isn't going to make much because the Lizard isn't Spider-Man's most famous foe.

I think that the Lizard being Spidey's villain in this movie is going to be one of the reasons why it ends up being so successful. I don't think people are as drawn to the Green Goblin as they are the Joker, and they haven't seen the Lizard in a Spider-Man movie yet so it'll be a new experience.

 

[DACrowe]

Spider-Man 4. Spider-Man 3 was a disappointment, but it was a) not as despised in the mainstream as on this site and by fanboy groups across the world and b) the Spider-Man brand still had a lot of respect and love. People disliked POTC2 and TF2 but they still showed up for the third installments for each enough to cross $300 million domestic. And SM3 actually did better overseas than the first two.

Simply put, TASM has an uphill battle because a lot of people are turned off by the recasting, not to mention the remaking of the origin story from SM1 (I still stand by that was both creatively and fiscally a bad decision on Sony's part). It's Spider-Man so it will do well and besides the costume it looks excellent. However, the fact that it was a reboot of a still thriving, if slightly diminished, franchise will hurt this picture. The question is how much?

I think internationally it won't be higher than fourth (behind TDKR, The Hobbit and Avengers), but in the US it will also have to battle with the fifth and final Twilight movie and may be even lower. Time will tell.

 

[Troy_Parker]

How the **** are June 30th and July 3rd 'vastly varying'? They are 3 goddamn days apart.

It's coming out on the 4th in the UK. 5th in some places, 6th in some places, and on the 12th in Ukraine.



My point was that it's stupid for companies to ***** about piracy, and how crap ends up on YouTube... when they end up pulling **** like this. I know that it'll end up online either way, but it's not exactly a smart move having the movie release a week before/later in some places is it?

 

[Spider-Vader]

I think Avengers has a chance at 800 million.

300+ m domestic
500+ m overseas

ASM will make at least 900 m.

250 m domestic and 650 m overseas in the floor.

I only see it making 900m if the movie is INCREDIBLY good like better than TDK good.

I think alot of people will be put off of the movie because it's a reboot or because of Spider-Man 3. Similar to how people were put off of BB & TIH because of their predecessors. Now if the movie is really good, I think it'll make as much as the Rami movies or perhaps even more. If it's okay/decent then it'll make a little less or just as much.

 

[Spiderman6592]

I don't see why people think The Avengers is going to be a huge film. I mean, sure it'll be big, but I don't think it will gross nearly as much as The Hobbit, The Dark Knight Rises or Spider-Man. It has, by far, the biggest chance to fall flat on its face and fail, and I think a lot of people are going to be outright confused by the concept. I'm sure it will succeed but I absolutely do not see TASM grossing less than The avengers.


As for being more excited for the reboot or SM4? The reboot. Absolutely. Had you asked me last June? I'd have said neither. Even before I saw Spider-Man 3 I was hoping they would leave it as a trilogy and go out on top. Little did I know that SM3 was going to be terrible. People can say it wasn't as bad as fanboys say and that it wasn't as a big of failure as many say, but the only reason it didn't completely fail is because it was riding off the success of Spider-Man 2.

However, as soon as Andrew Garfield was cast, my hopes and optimism for the reboot skyrocketed. My excitement only continued to increase when more casting announcements came and I came to realize that this cast absolutely DESTROYS the cast of the last trilogy completely. I was also excited about the storytelling when it was announced that Marc Webb would direct. I was and still am a bit skeptical about the action scenes as Webb hasn't really done anything like this before, but I have faith in him and that faith continued to grow after reading the Comic Con response.

In all honesty, I have complete faith that this film will without a doubt be the best Spider-Man film to date.

 

[Aluchak]

Avengers is obviously going to be the biggest money maker. Jesus. Its not even funny.

IRON MAN

THE HULK

CAPTAIN AMERICA

THOR

all in one movie? They've all been properly introduced and the general public know and love the characters now. Kids will see it for all the superheros, men will see it for all the action, women will see it for all the hunks, geeks will see it for the same reasons as the kids, pretty much everyone and their dog will see the Avengers.

 

[Spiderman6592]

I don't see it making more than Spider-Man or The Dark Knight Rises. It won't happen.

 

[TheSlag]

Avengers is obviously going to be the biggest money maker. Jesus. Its not even funny.

IRON MAN

THE HULK

CAPTAIN AMERICA

THOR

all in one movie? They've all been properly introduced and the general public know and love the characters now. Kids will see it for all the superheros, men will see it for all the action, women will see it for all the hunks, geeks will see it for the same reasons as the kids, pretty much everyone and their dog will see the Avengers.

True, and it will DEFINITELY be front loaded (even moreso than most Superhero movies), but if the storyline is not good, it will not have legs. I hope the story is good, similar to X-Men FC was.. but I fear it will not, as the origins have all been told.

I fear it will devolve into nothing more than an action packed (eye candy) popcorn movie.

Again, hope I am wrong. Hope it blows me away, but I fear it will not.

 

[Spiderman6592]

That's how I'm feeling about it more and more every day. I see it as nothing more than an eye candy movie. Everyone thinks that just because Whedon is directing that it's going to be this amazing CBM, but I disagree. I'll see it, but I don't have high hopes for it.