That didn't do Leo much good.t:
that was leo's fourth nomination as an actor. best actor tends to prefer veterans (unless you are adrien brody in the pianist) but best actress field prefers the young/babe gals. also, the best actor field is always more competitive than best actress.
if amy gets nominated this year, it will be her sixth. that's a very strong narrative.
swank and witherspoon might get the "welcome back" nominations but i doubt they will win. pike will get the newcomer slot. if amy gets the nod, her biggest competition will come from chastain (she has like 1000 films coming out this year so i don't know which one she'll go lead) or michelle (i know people are doubting her film right now. but hey you never know!). i'm not worried binoche.