Ok folks, I didn't create this thread to hear more annoying tdk rhetoric.
Please, let's stay on topic.
TDK *is* on topic....for *every* thread.
Anyway, as to the title thread topic:
I don't think Avengers will ever circumvent the fact that it *is* a fanboy movie....far moreso than any other Marvel movie. The simple fact of the matter is that all you're doing is bringing together 4 franchises that were never box-office bonanzas in the first place. On Mojo's all-time superhero genre b.o. list, you're teaming up #5 (IM), #15 (Thor), #17 (Cap), and #24 (Hulk), with a combined average of ~$200 million domestic between them. That's not exactly top-tier material. The "Iron Man 2.5" jab that keeps getting tossed around is fairly accurate: this movie will only be as good financially as its highest common denominator, which is still RDJ by far.
Novelty and spectacle will only add a small percentage of interest to the movie. Yes, it's something new and never been tried before on this scale (there have been "crossover" franchises before, but only involving no more than 2 each --- see Freddy vs. Jason, Frankenstein vs. The Wolfman, etc.), but is a revolutionary film concept enough to create mass audiences...? We're talking popcorn actioner here, not art-house visionary filmmaking. And spectacle...? You don't get much more "spectacular" than Green Lantern, 2012, The Day After Tomorrow, Battle Los Angeles....and none of those brought box office gold.
Alien invasion films and disaster movies (Feige himself has used both terms to describe Avengers) are spectacular enough on paper, but rarely translate to massive profits. The few exceptions have been attributable more to star power marquee value than to actual story and concept (and Avengers is *not* blessed with guaranteed star power marquee value right now).
*If* Avengers' production costs wind up being around $250 mill, as is currently being reported, then they're going to need to capture $500 mill to break even, and that's realistically what I expect this movie to do. Expecting this movie to reach the billion-dollar heights of franchises like Batman, Spidey, Transformers or Harry Potter is just pipe-dreamin'.
What Avengers would really need to get past the break-even point would be marquee names to attract the GA, love and relationship interests to attract female viewers, a family-friendly vibe to attract kids and parents, and a hype machine like no other. Disney will definitely give them the latter; but I strongly doubt we'll be seeing any of the other factors.
So when all is said and done, the target audience is still us --- the fanboys. Those who dutifully watched all five prequels. All $318 million worth. Whedon and Marvel can't realistically expect to reach out beyond that point.