I know I said I would wait until January 15th to do my first mock, but the last few undergrads pending are not first round talents (not yet at least) so I figured I would do one earlier.
I decided to only do the first 24 picks until the next picks are solidified as the playoffs continue.
1-24 Mock Draft (1/13)
1. St. Louis (1-15) - Ndamukong Suh, DT Nebraska. This pick is a very difficult one to mock so far out because there are so many question marks here. Do the Rams acquire a QB another way? Can the Rams afford to put another defensive lineman on a 1st round salary? Does Spags fall in love with Clausen or Bradford the same way Schwartz, Ryan and Morris fell in love with Stafford, Sanchez and Freeman? I dunno, but the one ? that is not around is the worthyness of Suh for this top pick.
2. Detroit (2-14) - Joe Haden, CB Florida. Yes, Eric Berry is still on the board, but the draft is loaded with safety talent. Yes the Lions need a DT and McCoy is there too - but the Lions need speed and someone who can cover the pass and Haden helps with both. Right now I am projecting, but a 4.4 40 would move him into top 10 consideration and a sub 4.4 would make him a legit top 5. I like the Lions to look hard at trading down at this spot, possibly with Tampa wanting to lock up McCoy (who could easily be a Lions pick here) or a team looking for a QB before Washington picks.
3. Tampa Bay (3-13) - Gerald McCoy, DT Texas. Tremendous defensive line prospect whose only flaw is not having the media hype Suh enjoys. Had he come out last year he likely would have been the first DT off the board and he did nothing to lower his stock. A great fit for Tampa to pair next to former teammate Roy Miller.
4. Washington (4-12) - Jimmy Clausen, QB Notre Dame. Every new coach needs HIS QB and Snyder has made it clear he has no qualms getting rid of Jason Campbell. Clausen seems to be controversial amongst fans, but it's hard to deny his talent. He was a top QB coming out of high school because of his talent and displayed maturity by improving his performance expontentially each year.
5. Kansas City (4-12) - Rolando McClain, LB Alabama. Kansas City converted to a 3-4 before having the proper pieces for it - adding a linebacker like McClain can do wonders. If you want an NFL comparison, look at Patrick Willis with his speed and playmaking ability. Derrick Johnson may have saved his spot with his 2 TD game against Denver, but the Chiefs still have needs at two other LB positions.
6. Seattle (5-11) - Anthony Davis, OT Rutgers. When most people think OT in this draft class, they think Russell Okung - it's time for people to start thinking Anthony Davis. I called Jason Smith the top tackle prospect in last years draft class while everyone was talking about Andre, Davis is very similar. Extremely quick feet and tremendous size.
7. Cleveland (5-11) - Eric Berry, S Tennessee. Eric Mangini is a lucky man.
8. Oakland (5-11) - Carlos Dunlap, DE Florida. Carlos Dunlap is 290 lbs and reportedly runs a 4.6. Hakeem Nicks ran a slower time than that. Al Davis loves speed and freakish athletic ability and doesn't care about character concerns so Dunlap isn't penalized at all for his DUI.
9. Buffalo (6-10) - Russell Okung, OT Oklahoma State. Since trading Jason Peters the Bills have been trying to fill the LT spot. Okung has been on most people's top 5 list for a long while now and while he has slipped from that spot he still remains a very solid LT prospect.
10t. Denver (acquired from Chicago) (7-9) - Dez Bryant, WR Oklahoma State. I am assuming Brendan Marshall is gone at this point so in comes a WR very similar to his style. Bryant is a big, strong WR who will be prepared and mentored by the same group that got Crabtree ready while he was waiting to sign with San Fran.
10t. Jacksonville (7-9) - Tim Tebow, QB Florida. Kidding. Earl Thomas S Texas. Reggie Nelson has seemed to have made few fans in Jacksonville over the last few years, luckily this draft is saturated in safety talent. Tebow should be available in round 2. Thomas is an explosive play maker from the safety spot.
12. Miami (7-9) - C.J. Spiller, RB Clemson. Ronnie Brown is coming off knee surgery and Ricky Williams is going to be 33 - plus Spiller is an absolute beast. He offers tremendous potential in a wildcat and would be a great change of pace back to Williams or Brown. Dan Williams could be an option here if the Dolphins don't get Vince Wilfork. I don't think there is a receiver warranting a pick this high.
13. San Francisco (8-8) - Trent Williams, OT Oklahoma. Offensive line was always an area of need for San Fran, Williams provides help. He played most of his college career at right tackle and had some issues when he transitioned to the left side, but he is worthy of a selection at this point in the draft.
14. Seattle (acquired from Denver) (8-8) - Sam Bradford, QB Oklahoma. Taylor Mays would have been a sexy pick here, but it's hard to pass on a QB when all you have is Matt Hasselback.
15. New York Giants (8-8) - Dan Williams, NT Tennessee. A large, 3-4 style nose tackle to help bolster the New York front. This is a team that, in spite of its record, doesn't have many weaknesses.
16t. Tennessee (8-8) - Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, USF. An extremely talented, raw, defensive end that has a lot of Javon Kearse (circa 1999) in him. Kyle Vandon Bosch is likely gone, and Kearse already is.
16t. San Francisco (acquired from Carolina) (8-8) - Taylor Mays, S. A physical safety with tremendous athleticism but questionable play making instincts.
18. Pittsburgh (9-7) - Terrence Cody, NT Alabama. Casey Hampton is close to being gone and it's time to identify that next 3-4 nose.
19t. Atlanta (9-7) - Derreck Morgan, DE Georgia Tech. Atlanta needs a pass rusher so they grab the local talent.
19t. Houston (9-7) - Jonathon Dwyer, RB Georgia Tech. Houston has a need for a big, power back and Dwyer fits the drill. He has shredded a wide array of strong running teams while being confined to mostly dive plays in GT's triple option. He should be a very nice fit for Houston's zone offense.
21. Cincinnati (10-6) - JermaineE Gresham, TE, Oklahoma. The Bengals have a very nice offense developing (though Palmer needs a new thumb), but they have a very huge, gigantic need at TE. Luckily they can pick up the best one in the draft.
22. New England (10-6) - Golden Tate, WR Notre Dame. The Patriots receiving corp has seemed to become reduced to Randy Moss and Wes Welker (with Edleman playing Welker from time to time), they are in need for another play maker at the position, especially with Randy looking less and less like his 2007 version. In comes Golden Tate from the familiar face of Charlie Weis.
23. Green Bay (11-5) - Bryan Bulaga, OT Iowa. The poor performance of the Green Bay offensive line was well documented, in comes Bulaga from Iowa that can play Guard or Right Tackle and may be able to transition to the Blind Side.
24. Philadelphia (11-5) - Patrick Robinson, CB FSU. Not a particularly strong cornerback draft, but Robinson has the raw talent to be a very good cornerback in this league.