2018 Midterm Thread

[MagnarTheGreat]

Latest updates on these contests

Live U.S. Senate Election Results
Live Governor Election Results

Key states Trump won in 2016 / 2018 Senate results not final
PA: incumbent Casey 55.6% (+12.9), Barletta 42.7% (R) [Trump won by +0.71] (pre-election forecast Casey +11.5)
WI: inc. Baldwin 55.4% (+10.8), Vukmir 44.6% (R) [Trump won by +0.77] (pre-election forecast Baldwin +12.8)
OH: inc. Brown 53.2% (+6.4), Renacci 46.8% (R) [Trump won by +8.07] (pre-election forecast Brown +11.6)
MI: inc. Stabenow 52.2% (+6.4), James 45.8% (R) [Trump won by +0.22] (pre-election forecast Stabenow + 11.3)
WV: inc. Manchin 49.5% (+3.2), Morrisey 46.3% (R) [Trump won by +41.67] (pre-election forecast Manchin +7.5)
MT: inc. Tester 50.1% (+3.1), Rosendale 47.0% (R) [Trump won by +20.24] (pre-election forecast Tester +4.8)
AZ: Sinema 49.7% (+1.7), McSally 48.0% (R) [Trump won by +3.50] (pre-election forecast Sinema +1.7)
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FL: inc. Nelson 49.9% (-0.2), Scott 50.1% (R) [Trump won by +1.19] (pre-election forecast Nelson +3.2)
TX: O'Rourke 48.3% (-2.6), inc. Cruz 50.9% (R) [Trump won by +8.98] (pre-election forecast O'Rourke -4.9)
IN: inc. Donnelly 45.1% (-5.9), Braun 51.0% (R) [Trump won by +19.01] (pre-election forecast Donnelly +3.7)
MO: inc. McCaskill 45.5% (-6.0), Hawley 51.5% (R) [Trump won by +18.51] (pre-election forecast McCaskill +1.1)
ND: inc. Heitkamp 44.6% (-10.8), Cramer 55.4% (R) [Trump won by +35.73] (pre-election forecast Heitkamp -4.6)

Key states Trump won in 2016 / 2018 Governor results not final
PA: incumbent Wolf 57.7% (+16.9), Wagner 40.8% (R) [Trump won by +0.71] (pre-election forecast Wolf +15.4)
MI: Whitmer 53.3% (+9.5), Schuette 43.8% (R) [Trump won by +0.22] (pre-election forecast Whitmer +9.6)
KS: Kelly 47.8% (+4.5), Kobach 43.3% (R) [Trump won by +20.42] (pre-election forecast Kelly -1.3)
WI: Evers 49.6% (+1.2), inc. Walker 48.4% (R) [Trump won by +0.77] (pre-election forecast Evers +1.7)
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FL: Gillum 49.2% (-0.4), DeSantis 49.6% (R) [Trump won by +1.19] (pre-election forecast Gillum +4.2)
GA: Abrams 48.8% (-1.5), Kemp 50.3% (R) [Trump won by +5.09] (pre-election forecast Abrams -2.2)
OH: Cordray 46.4% (-4.3), DeWine 50.7% (R) [Trump won by +8.07] (pre-election forecast Cordray +1.5)
TX: Valdez 42.5% (-13.3), inc. Abott 55.8% (R) [Trump won by +8.98] (pre-election forecast Valdez -16.8)
AZ: Garcia 41.5% (-14.9), inc. Ducey 56.4% (R) [Trump won by +3.50] (pre-election forecast Garcia -13.7)

Some states Clinton won such as Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and Maryland re-elected Republican governors. Guam, Illinois, Maine, Nevada went from a Republican governor to a Democrat.

 

[THORin]

Guam, Illinois, Maine, Nevada went from a Republican governor to a Democrat.

Hooray for Guam! I'm so proud of you!

But seriously, it's amazing how close all these races were. We came so close in Texas!

 

[KRYPTON INC.]

Latest updates on these contests

Live U.S. Senate Election Results
Live Governor Election Results

Key states Trump won in 2016 / 2018 Senate results not final
PA: incumbent Casey 55.6% (+12.9), Barletta 42.7% (R) [Trump won by +0.71] (pre-election forecast Casey +11.5)
WI: inc. Baldwin 55.4% (+10.8), Vukmir 44.6% (R) [Trump won by +0.77] (pre-election forecast Baldwin +12.8)
OH: inc. Brown 53.2% (+6.4), Renacci 46.8% (R) [Trump won by +8.07] (pre-election forecast Brown +11.6)
MI: inc. Stabenow 52.2% (+6.4), James 45.8% (R) [Trump won by +0.22] (pre-election forecast Stabenow + 11.3)
WV: inc. Manchin 49.5% (+3.2), Morrisey 46.3% (R) [Trump won by +41.67] (pre-election forecast Manchin +7.5)
MT: inc. Tester 50.1% (+3.1), Rosendale 47.0% (R) [Trump won by +20.24] (pre-election forecast Tester +4.8)
AZ: Sinema 49.7% (+1.7), McSally 48.0% (R) [Trump won by +3.50] (pre-election forecast Sinema +1.7)
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FL: inc. Nelson 49.9% (-0.2), Scott 50.1% (R) [Trump won by +1.19] (pre-election forecast Nelson +3.2)
TX: O'Rourke 48.3% (-2.6), inc. Cruz 50.9% (R) [Trump won by +8.98] (pre-election forecast O'Rourke -4.9)
IN: inc. Donnelly 45.1% (-5.9), Braun 51.0% (R) [Trump won by +19.01] (pre-election forecast Donnelly +3.7)
MO: inc. McCaskill 45.5% (-6.0), Hawley 51.5% (R) [Trump won by +18.51] (pre-election forecast McCaskill +1.1)
ND: inc. Heitkamp 44.6% (-10.8), Cramer 55.4% (R) [Trump won by +35.73] (pre-election forecast Heitkamp -4.6)

Key states Trump won in 2016 / 2018 Governor results not final
PA: incumbent Wolf 57.7% (+16.9), Wagner 40.8% (R) [Trump won by +0.71] (pre-election forecast Wolf +15.4)
MI: Whitmer 53.3% (+9.5), Schuette 43.8% (R) [Trump won by +0.22] (pre-election forecast Whitmer +9.6)
KS: Kelly 47.8% (+4.5), Kobach 43.3% (R) [Trump won by +20.42] (pre-election forecast Kelly -1.3)
WI: Evers 49.6% (+1.2), inc. Walker 48.4% (R) [Trump won by +0.77] (pre-election forecast Evers +1.7)
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FL: Gillum 49.2% (-0.4), DeSantis 49.6% (R) [Trump won by +1.19] (pre-election forecast Gillum +4.2)
GA: Abrams 48.8% (-1.5), Kemp 50.3% (R) [Trump won by +5.09] (pre-election forecast Abrams -2.2)
OH: Cordray 46.4% (-4.3), DeWine 50.7% (R) [Trump won by +8.07] (pre-election forecast Cordray +1.5)
TX: Valdez 42.5% (-13.3), inc. Abott 55.8% (R) [Trump won by +8.98] (pre-election forecast Valdez -16.8)
AZ: Garcia 41.5% (-14.9), inc. Ducey 56.4% (R) [Trump won by +3.50] (pre-election forecast Garcia -13.7)

Some states Clinton won such as Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and Maryland re-elected Republican governors. Guam, Illinois, Maine, Nevada went from a Republican governor to a Democrat.

I just want to thank you for always providing us with all the information that you do.

 

[Raiden]

Why do some of those Blue States elect a Republican governor?

 

[THORin]

Why do some of those Blue States elect a Republican governor?

I think some of them are pretty moderate Republicans - maybe that's why? I mean, I don't understand it at all, and I'm really shocked Scott in Vermont and Sununu in New Hampshire won re-election.

 

[Sithborg]

Judges don't seem pleased with Kemp.

Federal judge finds Georgia county violated Civil Rights Act by rejecting ballots

Georgia ordered to protect provisional ballots

Should be fascinating to see how this plays out. Could mean another House seat and a governorship.

 

[THORin]

Should be fascinating to see how this plays out. Could mean another House seat and a governorship.

Oh, please make this happen!!!!!!!!!!!! Fingers crossed.

 

[CaptainWagner]

If by some miracle one or even all of Nelson, Gillum and Abrams win in the end, I'm starting to get worried about what Trump and co. could do. I'm not entirely sure they won't spark an unprecedented constitutional crisis. Especially since Scott is refusing to commit to certifying the election if he loses.

 

[KRYPTON INC.]

Why do some of those Blue States elect a Republican governor?

It's easy to forget in an age of Trump and social media which both tend to nationalize everything but the adage of all politics being local still has a lot of weight to it. Those voters may well hold positions of either party in contempt to one degree or another but the local candidate or incumbent may hold a view on an issue that matters to the residents of that state. Despite ideological differences some residents may just feel that despite party differences that they simply "trust" a politician more than their opponent on a personal/character level.

 

[Marvolo]

If by some miracle one or even all of Nelson, Gillum and Abrams win in the end, I'm starting to get worried about what Trump and co. could do. I'm not entirely sure they won't spark an unprecedented constitutional crisis. Especially since Scott is refusing to commit to certifying the election if he loses.

A candidate in that race should have zero part in the counting and certification of results. What is Florida going to do? Have no governor in January because the former governor refuses to follow the law?

 

[Teelie]

As the joke(?) goes, Florida has laws?

 

[Zarex]

Why do some of those Blue States elect a Republican governor?

Speaking for my fellow Massholes, Republican Charlie Baker is a terrific governor. He is a strong leader, hates Putin's Pet and is socially liberal. He would be considered a lefty in Bama. With the state dominated by a democratic legislature we have a tendency to put Republicans (sometimes in name only) into the Governor's chair.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

 

[samsnee]

Speaking for my fellow Massholes, Republican Charlie Baker is a terrific governor. He is a strong leader, hates Putin's Pet and is socially liberal. He would be considered a lefty in Bama. With the state dominated by a democratic legislature we have a tendency to put Republicans (sometimes in name only) into the Governor's chair.

I mean Romney.

 

[Marvolo]

Florida isnt capable of handling their own elections. Some state needs to step in and help them. Much like when an elderly grandparent can no longer take care of themselves.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

One of things that should have been addressed in the non-existent yet perennial 'infrastructure week' is election infrastructure and security.

 

[Zarex]

I mean Romney.

I voted for Romney for governor hoping he would be another Bill Weld, who was very popular during his term. But Mitch had one foot out the door as soon as he was elected. He helped get Romney-care passed, but was otherwise a big disappointment.

 

[Punisher_MAX]

I'm ashamed to be a native Floridian

 

[Donner]

 

[Reaver027]

Well together that is a pretty good representation of the american public. After all if the congress is supposed to represent the american public about 72% (perhaps a little less now) should be white.
I just hope these people were the most qualified for the job and will do a good job at governing the US in this time of crisis.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

EDIT (November 18, 2018): 60.7% (2017 estimate) of all Americans are estimated as white (non-Hispanic). Including a subset of Latinos as also white gets that number up to 76.6%. Divide those numbers in half to roughly get the male population % (30% male non-hispanic white, 38% male white incl. Hispanic). Latinos alone are 18.1%.

 

[Donner]

Well together that is a pretty good representation of the american public. After all if the congress is supposed to represent the american public about 72% (perhaps a little less now) should be white.
I just hope these people were the most qualified for the job and will do a good job at governing the US in this time of crisis.

....

The guys outnumber the women by double. That's definitely not representative of the American public. And the actual House numbers are even worse.

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

 

[Silvermoon]

Gosh dang it, Mia (not my district, but if it had been - I wouldn't have voted for her - not completely sure I would've gone with McAdams either, but her I've never liked)

The other close call in Utah that has me annoyed

Utah's Proposition 4, an anti-gerrymandering measure, falls barely under 50 percent support in latest vote tally

I'm hoping this one passes

 

[Teelie]

Anything they can to suppress votes.