Box Office 2016

[:eek:]

As expected, Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice dominated the Friday box office with $82.01 million. This is likely more than the rest of the films will earn during the entire weekend. It is also the record for the biggest single day in March, biggest pre-summer single day, and biggest Easter Friday box office. That’s where the good news ends. The film’s reviews remain just 30% positive, making it one of the worst recent tentpole releases. Worse still, its CinemaScore was just a B. That doesn't sound bad on the surface, but you have to remember that the CinemaScore is from people excited enough to see a movie on opening day. Anything less than a B+ usually results in weak legs. In comparison, Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen managed a B+ and had weak legs during the prime Summer season. Batman v Superman is on pace for a $172 million opening weekend, which won’t give it a good internal multiplier and there’s a chance it won’t earn $172 million during the rest of its domestic theatrical run. It will need a lively international run and a worldwide total of close to $1 billion to break even.

 

[Pickleweasel]

172 opening weekend and then not getting another 172 million would give it literally the worst multiplier ever by far. Suggesting such a thing is ridiculous to me

Now it needs a billion to just break even?

People really hate this movie lol

 

[Tacit Ronin]

That's what the industry says. Not people who 'hate' this movie.

 

[:eek:]

172 opening weekend and then not getting another 172 million would give it literally the worst multiplier ever by far. Suggesting such a thing is ridiculous to me

Now it needs a billion to just break even?

People really hate this movie lol

Well, Amazing Spider-Man 2 made just over $700 million and was such a disappointment that Sony scrapped their plans for further sequels. And I'm pretty sure Warner spent even more money on BvS than Sony did.

 

[Marvin]

As expected, Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice dominated the Friday box office with $82.01 million. This is likely more than the rest of the films will earn during the entire weekend. It is also the record for the biggest single day in March, biggest pre-summer single day, and biggest Easter Friday box office. That’s where the good news ends. The film’s reviews remain just 30% positive, making it one of the worst recent tentpole releases. Worse still, its CinemaScore was just a B. That doesn't sound bad on the surface, but you have to remember that the CinemaScore is from people excited enough to see a movie on opening day. Anything less than a B+ usually results in weak legs. In comparison, Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen managed a B+ and had weak legs during the prime Summer season. Batman v Superman is on pace for a $172 million opening weekend, which won’t give it a good internal multiplier and there’s a chance it won’t earn $172 million during the rest of its domestic theatrical run. It will need a lively international run and a worldwide total of close to $1 billion to break even.

Time out, TF2 had bad legs? It's domestic multiplier is listed at just about what The force awakens is. Something like 3.7. According to it's listed proper opening anyways. And 800mill before 3d and the expanded market...
maybe another example would better make the point...

I'm curious how this cinema score thing will play out this time. You say it's that first day crowd, given the nature of this product the ratio of hardcore lifetime fans vs the GA would be skewed, and one look at the poll for this movie on the main page indicates that the fans are...passionate.
Long story short, that first day poll may have alot of F's on it but that may or may not be indicative of what the greater GA thinks, perhaps if CS was an entire weekend. Just something to consider for heavy fan stuff being this divisive is an alley into hyperbolic data imo.

Still, I've rarely seen such strong numbers come with such melancoly before, especially looking at big spring news. Interesting times.

 

[:eek:]

Top 10 Worldwide

1. Deadpool $746,3 million
2. Zootopia $711,7 million
3. The Mermaid $548,1 milion
4. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $468,5 million
5. Kung Fu Panda 3 $432,1 million
6. The Monkey King 2 $193,8 million
7. The Man from Macau 3 $182,6 million
8. Gods of Egypt $132,7 million
9. Ride Along 2 $121,6 million
10. The Divergent Series: Allegiant $118,3 million

 

[:eek:]

Looks like BvS could drop over 70% this weekend, performing similar to the last Harry Potter-movie. The difference, though, is that Harry Potter faced some serious competition in its second weekend, when Captain America was released.

 

[:eek:]

Top 10 Worldwide

1. Zootopia $799,7 million
2. Deadpool $754,8 million
3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $697,6 milion
4. The Mermiad $552,5 million
5. Kung Fu Panda 3 $464,2 million
6. The Monkey King 2 $194,1 million
7. The Man from Macau 3 $182,6 million
8. The Divergent Series: Allegiant $136,4 million
9. Gods of Egypt $134,7 million
10. London Has Fallen $124,1 million

 

[Stark Bauer]

My Predictions For Top 20 Movies of 2016 (Domestic)

1) Star Wars Rogue One - $600M
2) Civil War - $550M
3) Warcraft - $400
4) Dory - $390M
5) Deadpool - $365M
6) The Jungle Book - $350M
7) Independence Day 2 - $325M
8) Zootopia - $321M
9) Batman v Superman - $320M
10) Alice - $315M

11) Doctor Strange - $260M ($700M WW)
12) Jason Bourne - $250M
13) Star Trek Beyond - $240M
14) X-Men Apocalypse - $230M
15) Ninja Turtles 2 - $220M
16) Moana - $210M
17) Magnificent Seven - $200M
18) Fantastic Beasts - $190M
19) Ice Age - $180M
20) Ghostbusters - $170M

 

[ADollarADay]

My Predictions For Top 20 Movies of 2016 (Domestic)

1) Star Wars Rogue One - $600M
2) Civil War - $550M
3) Warcraft - $400
4) Dory - $390M
5) Deadpool - $365M
6) The Jungle Book - $350M
7) Independence Day 2 - $325M
8) Zootopia - $321M
9) Batman v Superman - $320M
10) Alice - $315M

11) Doctor Strange - $260M ($700M WW)
12) Jason Bourne - $250M
13) Star Trek Beyond - $240M
14) X-Men Apocalypse - $230M
15) Ninja Turtles 2 - $220M
16) Moana - $210M
17) Magnificent Seven - $200M
18) Fantastic Beasts - $190M
19) Ice Age - $180M
20) Ghostbusters - $170M

You think Suicide Squad will make less than 170M domestic?

 

[Stark Bauer]

You think Suicide Squad will make less than 170M domestic?

I've learned not to make predictions regarding DC movies. I have omitted it for that reason.

 

[MadVillainy]

My Predictions For Top 20 Movies of 2016 (Domestic)

1) Star Wars Rogue One - $600M
2) Civil War - $550M
3) Warcraft - $400
4) Dory - $390M
5) Deadpool - $365M
6) The Jungle Book - $350M
7) Independence Day 2 - $325M
8) Zootopia - $321M
9) Batman v Superman - $320M
10) Alice - $315M

11) Doctor Strange - $260M ($700M WW)
12) Jason Bourne - $250M
13) Star Trek Beyond - $240M
14) X-Men Apocalypse - $230M
15) Ninja Turtles 2 - $220M
16) Moana - $210M
17) Magnificent Seven - $200M
18) Fantastic Beasts - $190M
19) Ice Age - $180M
20) Ghostbusters - $170M

Hmmmm...I dont think WarCraft will make that much

 

[Lilbaz]

Hmmmm...I dont think WarCraft will make that much

Agree it looks poor. Which is a pity as the epic fantasy genre needs a successor to lotr.

 

[MadVillainy]

Also I think Independence Day 2 and Fantastic Beasts will make more

 

[MadVillainy]

My world wide predictions

If I had to guess
1. Rogue One
2. Civil War
3. Finding Dory
4. Fantastic Beats
5. Independence Day or Zootopia
6. Independence Day or Zootopia
7. Jungle Book
8. Ice Age
9. Batman vs Superman
10. Suicide Squad
*Don't know what to make of (Moana) but once I see footage I can gauge where it'll go

Some movies that I think are gonna flop or be big disappointments are (in no order):
1. Warcraft
2. Inferno (the Da Vinci Code movie)
3. Jack Reacher
4. The Huntsman
5. Angry Birds Movie (about 3-5 years too late)
6. Tarzan
7. Passengers (the J.Law, Chris Pratt movie)
*Maybe Assassin's Creed. Idk I just feel like everyone will still be seeing Rogue One

I dont think we're in that many surprises this year, box office wise, other than Deadpool and BvS

 

[:eek:]

Top 10 Worldwide

1. Zootopia $853,3 million
2. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice $785,8 million
3. Deadpool $757 milion
4. The Mermiad $552,5 million
5. Kung Fu Panda 3 $484,3 million
6. The Monkey King 2 $194,1 million
7. The Man from Macau 3 $182,6 million
8. London Has Fallen $161 million
9. The Divergent Series: Allegiant $146,2 million
10. Gods of Egypt $135 million

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

Will Zootopia hit 1 billion?

 

[:eek:]

Will Zootopia hit 1 billion?

A strong possibility, considering it hasn't been released in Japan yet.

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

A strong possibility, considering it hasn't been released in Japan yet.

Wow. I loved the movie so I'm happy for the movie.

 

[MadVillainy]

What movies do you guys think will hit a billion this year?

 

[:eek:]

"Civil War" Opening To Thrash "Dawn of Justice"

By Garth Franklin Sunday April 17th 2016 02:08PM
The first tracking numbers have reportedly come in for "Captain America: Civil War" ahead of its domestic debut on May 6th and the results are frankly ridiculously huge.
Heroic Hollywood is reporting that the film is likely to garner a domestic figure of $220 million over its opening weekend - far above the year's biggest opening to date when "Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice" opened to $166 million last month.

 

[kedrell]

What movies do you guys think will hit a billion this year?

I think so far Zootopia and The Jungle Book have legit shots at it. Civil War obviously does. X-Men: Apocalypse has a slim outside chance but they have got to improve their standing domestically and I've seen nothing to indicate that yet. I doubt Alice does it again but who knows. Johnny Depp fandom knows no logic. Finding Dory has a real good shot at it. ID:R also has at least a 50/50 shot at it...ala' JW last year. But they have to deliver the goods. Dr. Strange has a slim chance as does Fantastic Beasts. I doubt Moana does it(2 in a row for WDAS is unlikely). And Rogue One will get there.

Disney alone could have 4 or 5 do it this year.

 

[DDS]

Civil War is going to be the highest grossing film this year. But even if it's not, it'll just be second to something else made by Disney, because they are absolutely murdering everyone.

 

[kedrell]

Civil War, RO & FD have the best chances to win the year, IMO. Always could have an upset and if so IMO ID:R is the one likely to do it as JW did last year. A lotta nostalgia built up for ID4 and unlike the JP franchise they didn't drain out goodwill with 2 crappy sequels in the intervening period. It could be HUUUUUGGEEE!

 

[Loden Greatstorm]

"Civil War" Opening To Thrash "Dawn of Justice"

By Garth Franklin Sunday April 17th 2016 02:08PM
The first tracking numbers have reportedly come in for "Captain America: Civil War" ahead of its domestic debut on May 6th and the results are frankly ridiculously huge.
Heroic Hollywood is reporting that the film is likely to garner a domestic figure of $220 million over its opening weekend - far above the year's biggest opening to date when "Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice" opened to $166 million last month.

Wow.... what a MONSTER!