Early Guardians of the Galaxy Box Office Prediction Thread

[MessiahDecoy123]

Some expect Guardians to be Marvel Studios' first major blunder since Avengers.

Are they right?

What's your prediction for the worldwide gross and is it enough for a sequel?

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

My early prediction:

190 m domestic
310 m overseas

500 m worldwide

If the budget is 175 m or less this would be enough for a sequel.

 

[Evan Drew]

300m Dom
500m minimum OS

The hype of being the last Phase II movie leading into the sequel to the most successful Superhero movie of all time should carry it to at least 800m WW.

Add in a talking animal with Disney marketing... and you have the widest demographics yet for a Marvel Studio movie.

 

[lozzy.94]

Im predicting 600 million world wide. This is coming out in a month with really no competition, except for maybe Expendables 3.

 

[Ms. Marvel]

300m Dom
500m minimum OS

The hype of being the last Phase II movie leading into the sequel to the most successful Superhero movie of all time should carry it to at least 800m WW.

Add in a talking animal with Disney marketing... and you have the widest demographics yet for a Marvel Studio movie.

Using that logic, Thor 2 would make $1 billion and Cap 2 would make $900 million.

 

[R_Hythlodeus]

Using that logic, Thor 2 would make $1 billion and Cap 2 would make $900 million.

that's not entirerly out of question and could happen. With both gaining the Avengers boost, rabid Loki fangirls and so on, it all depends on the marketing and the quality of those movies but the sky really is the limit for MS movies now.

 

[Mr. Dent]

After the comic-con footage reaction, I'm even more confident in this movie. I'd say $500m is the base.

 

[AlexanderLykins]

I think it'll do alright. It'll make enough for a sequel and to push the story forward.

 

[lozzy.94]

This movie better not pull a Pacific Rim.

 

[TheVileOne]

Even if the movie doesn't do well it won't be a huge loss for Marvel/Disney IMHO.

You could see this film as an experiment in many ways.

 

[lozzy.94]

Even if the movie doesn't do well it won't be a huge loss for Marvel/Disney IMHO.

You could see this film as an experiment in many ways.

I hope it does do well so it can lead into many sequels and spin-offs.

 

[zeptron]

I'd like this movie to do well so more lesser known Marvel characters can get adaptations. People claim that this won't do well simply because GOTG isn't known popular with the GA. If that was the case, why would any original (not adapted from something well known) ever be successful?

This way of thinking is why WB only does Batman and Superman movies.

 

[SpocksBrain]

Marvel has referred to Guardians as a stepping stone into developing the cosmic side of their cinematic universe.

I'm hoping it does well enough to justify a sequel or another cosmic entry (Nova, Mar-Vel, Quasar, Kree-Skrull War, Ronan, etc...). Hopefully it does well enough to justify both another Guardians and a new cosmic entry. If they have success with their cosmic titles, they can eventually build to a cosmic crossover "Avengers-like event" based on Annihilation or some other galactic conflict.

I'm hoping that's the idea, and I hope they can pull this off. Surely the level of success achieved by Guardians will impact their plans for further developing their cosmic cinematic universe.

 

[747]

500-600 is my guess!

 

[Green Goblin]

400-500 a solid start to a new franchise

 

[StarLord]

I think around 400-600.

Way too early to tell but these box office prediction threads are quite fun.

 

[Captain Marvel]

$3.7 billion.

Too much?

 

[psylockolussus]

If Star Trek Into Darkness got at least 450 million, I don't this film getting more than that.

Domestic - $70 million to $150 million
Worldwide - $200 million to $350 million

 

[Mr. Dent]

This film isn't going to be anything like Star Trek Into Darkness...unless you're trying to say them both merely being in space makes them similar movies. Not to mention Marvel >>>>>> Star Trek overseas. Please stop. Go back to the X-Men section.

 

[Duran Man]

600m+

 

[lozzy.94]

If Star Trek Into Darkness got at least 450 million, I don't this film getting more than that.

Domestic - $70 million to $150 million
Worldwide - $200 million to $350 million

Yeah your right, its not like an epic space adventure could ever be a huge box office hit.

(Starts drinking out of a Star Wars Cup.)

 

[Xeno]

Given its release date and competition, I think that GOTG could do $200M+ DOM/$400M OS easily. Disney is going to market it ferociously; ComicCon is just a few weeks ahead of its opening which will allow Marvel to whip the geek audience into a frenzy. GOTG will also have the advantage of not having any superhero or animated films opening near it, so the CBM and family audiences will not have as many alternatives as they have this summer. Although some have fretted over Fifty Shades of Grey opening the same weekend, I believe that the family crowd (and many males) will flock to Guardians as the alternative to the pseudo-softcore adaptation.

 

[psylockolussus]

This film isn't going to be anything like Star Trek Into Darkness...unless you're trying to say them both merely being in space makes them similar movies. Not to mention Marvel >>>>>> Star Trek overseas. Please stop. Go back to the X-Men section.

Don't be so defensive.

Everybody are free to post their predictions here.

 

[Mr. Dent]

I'm not being defensive, I'm being logical. "This movie can't do this because Star Trek did that" is asinine to say the least.

 

[psylockolussus]

Star Trek is at least popular in the U.S. and it is seen as a cult TV show which led to movies and spin-offs, and STID was a sequel to a well-received film. GOTG has nothing of that. And having the brand "Marvel" is not enough. GOTG also didn't appear in The Avengers 1 movie to get that so-called "Avengers boost". Maybe if Iron Man, and the other Avengers will appear in this movie and its gonna be marketed to the public, that would be help but I don't see it happening. Plus this is not going to be Disney's first movie to perform modest at the box-office. If Disney's films The Lone Ranger, John Carter, Prince of Persia failed, Guardians of the Galaxy could fail too and I think it won't be a huge success. And I brought up the Star Trek comparison because they are both sci-fi tentpole films. Its not like I compared this to a romantic-comedy film or a horror film.

And if you think I'm wrong with my predictions, how much money do you think GOTG will get at worldwide box-office?