Green Lantern Box Office Prediction Thread

[Karelia]

I predict this movie is going to be AMAZING!

I second this.

 

[KangConquers]

OW - 42 m
Dom - 105 m
OS -185 m
WW - 290 m

no sequel

That will not bode well for DC Entertainment.

 

[Milkman95]

OW - $60m
DOM - $175m
OS - $200m
WW - $375m

This is a tough one to predict, it could do a lot more, but it is a new property and a lot of people just don't know what to think about it.

 

[Karelia]

I'm going to be optimistic and say over 500 million.

 

[mcallima]

400m WW. Enough to greenlight a sequel and ignite the Speed Force.

 

[KangConquers]

OW - $60m
DOM - $175m
OS - $200m
WW - $375m

This is a tough one to predict, it could do a lot more, but it is a new property and a lot of people just don't know what to think about it.

redistribute 25 million from Dom to OS and I'd say that's actually a very fair estimate.

The 500 million dollar estimates are ridiculous, but truth be told, maybe some of the 250 million dollar estimates are unfair...this film will probably split the difference.

 

[S.A.A.D.]

I'm changing my stance on the worldwide total. Around $300 million, nothing less, nothing more.

 

[The Morningstar]

300 million? Kiss goodbye to sequels and more DC films then.

 

[S.A.A.D.]

300 million? Kiss goodbye to sequels and more DC films then.

I didn't mean $300 million on the spot.

 

[The Morningstar]

I hope it's closer to 400 million than 300 million. I think anything less than 350 will be considered a pretty big disappointment.

 

[db85usa]

Don't have a prediction as far as numbers go but this is how I see it...

Jim Carrey will likely pull in $35M or more for Mr. Popper's Penguins (due to pretty much a 2 year hiatus in the BO.) Lantern will see big drop offs following opening weekend (Cars 2, Transformers 3, HP 7 Pt. 2, list goes on.)

Word is Lantern has too much CGI, very weak script, bad acting, and the movie itself feels rushed due to the short run time.

Ryan Reynolds is not exactly a top draw at the box office either. He's had 2 somewhat decent financially successful movies domestically -- $163M for The Proposal and $179M for X-Men Origins: Wolverine. Don't expect to be blown away by a deep story. GL is a movie where the action is great and you just sit back and enjoy the quick ride (that you'll likely forget about once it's over with.) On that note, I believe GL will have X-Men: The Last Stand numbers or better yet Wolverine like numbers. Huge OW, followed by big drop offs. Both of those movies were in the 1hr 40min+ run time as well same as GL.

 

[Octoberist]

Bad script and bad acting? Umm.. where are you getting this info from?

 

[I SEE SPIDEY]

If GL has a bad script it will have something in common with Thor.

I'm doubting that GL will be First Class good but eventhough I wasn't loving those clips I still don't see how it can be much sillier and mediocre/slightly above average because of the actors than Thor.

As for the bad acting thing, I didn't see any bad acting in those clips and I'm not in love with Lively as an actress and still think that she seemed out of place but she wasn't bad.

I'll say one thing the clips do worry me a bit but they are out of contex so I keep that in mind.

 

[B]

I think is might do quite well, I never thought I'd see a GL in a cinema like.. ever. However after seeing trailers & whatnot + the with the recent success of other superhero films & Avatar/Tron etc I think it could well be a nice recipe for a successful film.

I'm gonna say around the $350m-$400m mark WW

 

[Sith Scotti]

I don't know what Green Lantern will pull but I wouldn't worry about Jim Carrey . For one thing , he ain't as big as he use to be ,and that film is for younger kids ...


I think 50 to 60 million opening weekend is Excllent anyone hoping for 70 million plus is being unrealistic and unfair . If it does similar business to Thor that would be excellent . This ain't Batman

 

[Nokio]

I think it's gonna do over 80 mil opening weekend and 250-300 mill domestically. It's gonna be bigger then people are giving it credit. I don't know why all this GL hate and complaints of too much CGI. I'm not sure how u make a GL film without CGI.

 

[Nokio]

Word is Lantern has too much CGI, very weak script, bad acting, and the movie itself feels rushed due to the short run time.

Really, Where is this coming from. I wasn't aware their are reviews up already.

 

[Weadazoid]

No reviews are out just yet.....

this alone may make some kind of nervous, as though the WB has seen it and they are choosing not to shop it around to critics for early review screenings.


BUT.... it has no pre US international release dates, so it aint like THor where tons of reviews were naturally available 2 weeks prior to US release.


still though at this point last week Super 8 had quite a few reveiws up..... most of them positive,.

 

[dnno1]

Don't have a prediction as far as numbers go but this is how I see it...

Jim Carrey will likely pull in $35M or more for Mr. Popper's Penguins (due to pretty much a 2 year hiatus in the BO.) Lantern will see big drop offs following opening weekend (Cars 2, Transformers 3, HP 7 Pt. 2, list goes on.)

Word is Lantern has too much CGI, very weak script, bad acting, and the movie itself feels rushed due to the short run time.

Ryan Reynolds is not exactly a top draw at the box office either. He's had 2 somewhat decent financially successful movies domestically -- $163M for The Proposal and $179M for X-Men Origins: Wolverine. Don't expect to be blown away by a deep story. GL is a movie where the action is great and you just sit back and enjoy the quick ride (that you'll likely forget about once it's over with.) On that note, I believe GL will have X-Men: The Last Stand numbers or better yet Wolverine like numbers. Huge OW, followed by big drop offs. Both of those movies were in the 1hr 40min+ run time as well same as GL.

According to Filmforecasting.com, Green Lantern has only one structural script error and their prediction is that the film will be box office profitable in North America. There is no reason to belive that the story is weak when every one credible who has put a story up on the Internet has not really criticized the script.

 

[SurfinBird]

Just found this thread via a google search and decided to join the forums. I work in a career position at a movie theatre, and am big on following box office numbers, especially superhero ones.

My two cents:

OW - 55Mil
Domestic - 180Mil
Foreign - 240Mil
WW Total - 420Mil

Enough to green-light a sequel and subsequent trilogy, as well as paving the way for other future DC Superhero's such as the Flash to hit the silver screen. But not obviously as big as recent Batman Movies, Iron Man, and likely to fall short of Captain America, which will be the summer's biggest SuperHero movie.

 

[SatEL]

Just found this thread via a google search and decided to join the forums. I work in a career position at a movie theatre, and am big on following box office numbers, especially superhero ones.

My two cents:

OW - 55Mil
Domestic - 180Mil
Foreign - 240Mil
WW Total - 420Mil

Enough to green-light a sequel and subsequent trilogy, as well as paving the way for other future DC Superhero's such as the Flash to hit the silver screen. But not obviously as big as recent Batman Movies, Iron Man, and likely to fall short of Captain America, which will be the summer's biggest SuperHero movie.

I dont think so.

 

[Samurai Jack]

I want this movie to open with $80m and do business like Inception domestically speaking. I know its far-fetched but hey I can wish, right.

Though, I would be happy with $220-$250 million overall domestic total.

 

[The Morningstar]

You better set your expectations a bit lower. I think 200 million US at the most. 200 million WW at the most.

 

[Tony Stark]

^Those numbers weren't troubling and mean nothing for GL one way or the other. First Class was never going to reach the 70mil predictions, that was just fanboy wishing at it's finest. First Class had to contend with not having Wolverine and staring a bunch of up and coming actors. 56mil was the best it could have hoped for.

56mil is still not a great result even if it did do it's best as it has the lowest amount of tickets sold for the weekend than anyother X-film.

Um, no the 70 million was the tracking numbers from BOM. Those guys get paid money to be accurate. The movie underperformed. There were Fanboy predictions for XFC, but that was more the "more than Wolverine" type of stuff.

 

[Tony Stark]

No reviews are out just yet.....

this alone may make some kind of nervous, as though the WB has seen it and they are choosing not to shop it around to critics for early review screenings.


BUT.... it has no pre US international release dates, so it aint like THor where tons of reviews were naturally available 2 weeks prior to US release.


still though at this point last week Super 8 had quite a few reveiws up..... most of them positive,.

I'm hopeful to this movie, as I know my son is very much looking forward to it, as GL is is favorite DC hero.

However, this is a troubling sign. A movie that hasn't had a critic screening a week before release is a huge red flag. It's usually when a studio will shield the film from early reviews, so they don't have a huge drop off in numbers from what their internal tracking shows.

I don't know that this is the case with GL, but this is never a good sign. there should at least be a handful of reviews by now.