MagnarTheGreat
Web Ninja
- Joined
- Jul 8, 2011
- Messages
- 38,089
- Reaction score
- 21,335
- Points
- 103
WDIV/Detroit News poll: Trump faces uphill re-election battle in Michigan
Michigan public opinion state polls had Trump losing Michigan in 2016 by 4 points (he narrowly won by 0.22), so adjust accordingly; also, name identification boosts a candidate this early on. The key number I'd look at is the 40.3-42.5 range for Trump plus the later addition of undecideds solidifying for all candidates.
Majority of Michigan voters plan to elect someone new in 2020
Voters were asked if they would vote to re-elect Donald Trump, or would they vote for someone else to be President.
Donald Trump begins his re-election campaign with only 30.6 percent of Michigan voters saying they would vote to Re-elect Donald Trump. 53.4 percent of Michigan voters said they would vote for someone new to be president.
Among Independent voters that have a disproportional share of deciding Michigan winners, President Trump is faced with unprecedented opposition. 24.1 percent of Independent voters would vote to re-elect President Trump. 54.8 percent of Independent voters would vote to elect someone new.
- 23.3 percent of Michigan voters would DEFINITELY vote to Re-elect Donald Trump. 48.5 percent of Michigan voters would DEFINITELY vote for someone new against Donald Trump.
- 23.3 percent Definitely Re-elect President Trump
- 7.3 percent Probably Re-election President Trump
- 4.7 percent Probably vote for Someone New
- 48.5 percent Definitely vote for Someone New
- 15.0 percent Depends who the Democratic Nominee is
Men would elect someone new by a margin of 35.7 percent-48.0 percent. But by a better than 2-1 margin only 26.0 percent of women would re-elect Trump while 58.0 percent would elect someone new.
- 16.1 percent of Independent voters would definitely vote to re-elect Trump while 45.3 percent of Independent voters would definitely vote for someone new.
Trump loses four hypothetical 2020 matchups in Michigan
Voters were presented with four hypothetical matchups between President Trump and likely Democratic candidates Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Trump loses all four matchups.
- Joe Biden leads 53.3 percent - 40.3 percent over Donald Trump, with only 5.3 percent of voters undecided.
- Kamala Harris leads 46.6 percent-42.4 percent over Donald Trump, with 9.7 percent of voters undecided.
- Bernie Sanders leads 52.0 percent-41.2 percent over Donald Trump, with only 5.5 percent of voters undecided.
- Elizabeth Warren leads 45.8 percent-42.5 percent over Donald Trump, with 10.3 percent of voters undecided
Michigan public opinion state polls had Trump losing Michigan in 2016 by 4 points (he narrowly won by 0.22), so adjust accordingly; also, name identification boosts a candidate this early on. The key number I'd look at is the 40.3-42.5 range for Trump plus the later addition of undecideds solidifying for all candidates.
Last edited: