Conan deserves the win but Colbert or SNL will get it. Oddly enough I think Stewart threw it to make way for Conan or Colbert. I mean, Conan submitted his finale, Colbert submitted the episode where he visited the troops and Obama appeared via sattelite, and Stewart submitted some random episode where he interviewed a historian. Certainly not his best of the year. I think Stewart threw it so I doubt he'll win.
As for other categories, I think this COULD be Dexter's year, but more likely than not we'll see Lost win most of the drama categories for nostalgia purposes. Though I think his excellent performance combined with the sympathy vote, Hall will win best actor at least.
Larry David SHOULD win best lead actor in a comedy series but he will probably lose to either Parsons or Baldwin with Shaloub as a dark horse because its their last chance to give him one. Curb should also win best comedy, but Modern Family or Glee will.
Anyhoo, here are my predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series
BREAKING BAD
DEXTER
THE GOOD WIFE
LOST
MAD MEN
TRUE BLOOD
Outstanding Comedy Series
GLEE
MODERN FAMILY
CURB YOUR ENTHUSIASM
NURSE JACKIE
30 ROCK
THE OFFICE
Outstanding Actress in a Comedy Series
Lea Michele, GLEE
Julia-Louis Dreyfus
Edie Falco, NURSE JACKIE
Amy Poehler, PARKS AND RECREATION
Tina Fey, 30 ROCK
Toni Collette, UNITED STATES OF TARA
Outstanding Actor in a Comedy Series
Jim Parsons, THE BIG BANG THEORY
Larry David, CURB YOUR ENTHUSIASM
Matthew Morrison, GLEE
Tony Shalhoub, MONK
Steve Carell, THE OFFICE
Alec Baldwin, 30 ROCK
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
Chris Colfer, GLEE
Neil Patrick Harris, HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, MODERN FAMILY
Eric Stonestreet, MODERN FAMILY
Ty Burrell, MODERN FAMILY
Jon Cryer, TWO AND A HALF MEN
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
Jane Lynch, GLEE
Julie Bowen, MODERN FAMILY
Sofia Vergara, MODERN FAMILY
Kristen Wigg, SATURDAY NIGHT LIVE
Jane Krakowski, 30 ROCK
Holland Taylor, TWO AND A HALF MEN
Outstanding Actor in a Drama Series
Bryan Cranston, BREAKING BAD
Michael C. Hall, DEXTER
Kyle Chandler, FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
Hugh Laurie, HOUSE
Matthew Fox, LOST
John Hamm, MAD MEN
Outstanding Actress in a Drama Series
Julianna Marguilies, THE GOOD WIFE
Mariska Hargitay, LAW & ORDER: SVU
Glenn Close, DAMAGES
Kyra Sedgwick, THE CLOSER
January Jones, MAD MEN
Connie Britton, FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Aaron Paul, BREAKING BAD
Martin Short, DAMAGES
Terry O’Quinn, LOST
Michael Emerson, LOST
John Slattery, MAD MEN
Andre Braugher, MEN OF A CERTAIN AGE
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
Sharon Gless, BURN NOTICE
Rose Byrne, DAMAGES
Archie Panjabi, THE GOOD WIFE
Christine Baranski, THE GOOD WIFE
Christina Hendricks, MAD MEN
Elisabeth Moss, MAD MEN
Outstanding Reality Competition Series
THE AMAZING RACE
DANCING WITH THE STARS
PROJECT RUNWAY
TOP CHEF
Outstanding Variety, Music or Comedy Series
COLBERT REPORT
DAILY SHOW WITH JON STEWART
REAL TIME WITH BILL MAHER
SATURDAY NIGHT LIVE
TONIGHT SHOW WITH CONAN O’BRIEN
Outstanding Animated Program
Alien Earths, NGC
Disney Prep & Landing, ABC
The Ricky Gervais Show, HBO
The Simpsons, FOX
South Park, Comedy Central