The Amazing Spider-Man The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread

[PSYLENTGuardian]

I'd honestly be surprised if GI Joe 2 beat ASM. What exactly did the general audience think of the first one?

 

[VenomSpawn]

I'd honestly be surprised if GI Joe 2 beat ASM. What exactly did the general audience think of the first one?

I hated it.

 

[Juicy J]

I'd guess a solid 250 million domestically, probably about 500-600 million worldwide...
People loved the first couple Spider-man movies. Most of my peers grew up watching those films. My guess is that because a large majority of people have fond memories of seeing that character on the screen, they'll be open for another spider-man movie regardless of the whole reboot thing.
That being said, it will finish third behind the Avengers and TDKR. No WAY GI Joe is gonna gross more than Spider-man. I'd bet my life on it.

 

[Spiderman6592]

Why do we act like people our age are the only people that exist? Every time I hear an argument against TASM making big BO numbers its, "People grew up watching those films." and "Everyone loved them".

Kids are going to eat. this. ****. up. Next summer. Every kid is going to be asking to go see it and every parent is going to take their kid to go see it. Kids can't discern the difference between this film and the last. They'll see Spider-Man, and they'll want to see it. It's as simple as that. If this film doesn't make $400m domestic at least, I'll chop my dick off, throw it on a grille, throw it in some stew and feed it to my family.

 

[VenomSpawn]

If this film doesn't make $400m domestic at least, I'll chop my dick off, throw it on a grille, throw it in some stew and feed it to my family.

My god, that is dedication. I envy your abilities, sir.

 

[Juicy J]

^ True, I didn't even consider little kids. They'll make up an overwhelmingly large part of the audience.
Heck, I'd be willing to say that this will be the #1 movie for kids this summer, even over TDKR and the Avengers. Granted that's just conjecture at this point, but I feel like ASM will come across as more kid friendly than TDKR and will appeal more to the younger audience than the Avengers.
Once again, that's all conjecture on my part. One of the main reasons I say that is because I've done a good deal of work with kids, and among all the children I've been around, Spider-man is by far the most popular superhero.

 

[Spiderman6592]

Precisely. All the kids that saw their origin story in SM1 are all nearing 20 years old now. TASM gives kids ages 5-12 to experience their own version of the Spider-Man origin.

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

i wish the poll was for worldwide numbers.

It would be interesting how many get this one right. I have a feeling most people are underpredicting it.

The least ASM makes is 800 million worldwide.

 

[Juicy J]

i wish the poll was for worldwide numbers.

It would be interesting how many get this one right. I have a feeling most people are underpredicting it.

The least ASM makes is 800 million worldwide.

While I think it'll do very well, I don't think it'll do 800 million. That's Spider-man 3 numbers right there. This one doesn't have near as much hype and what little I have heard from people in the GA about this film is overwhelmingly negative.
Heck even 400 million domestically doesn't seem all that doable to me. While that's definitely within the realm of possibility, I think that's overshooting it just a wee bit.
But that's just my opinion obviously, there's absolutely no way of knowing at this point....I'd love to be wrong t:

 

[MessiahDecoy123]

The reason I think it will do 800 million worldwide:

SM3 made 550 million overseas. Since then the overseas market has expanded greatly. Also 3D means a big boost overseas. These two factors caused Transformers 3 to increase greatly overseas. TF2 made 440 million overseas. TF3 made 770 million overseas.

The minimum ASM makes overseas is 600 m. That means it will only need 200 million in the USA to make 800 million worldwide.

 

[SoNicRaDiATioN]

Just bringing this thread back to page one for the events that will unfold next week

700 million WW. For now.

 

[SpideyFan866]

i wish the poll was for worldwide numbers.

It would be interesting how many get this one right. I have a feeling most people are underpredicting it.

The least ASM makes is 800 million worldwide.

Agreed. Most movies aren't noted mainly on domestic. There mainly noted on Worldwide gross.

 

[The Shape]

Kids are going to eat. this. ****. up. Next summer. Every kid is going to be asking to go see it and every parent is going to take their kid to go see it. Kids can't discern the difference between this film and the last. They'll see Spider-Man, and they'll want to see it. It's as simple as that. If this film doesn't make $400m domestic at least, I'll chop my dick off, throw it on a grille, throw it in some stew and feed it to my family.

Nice to see this thread bumped, but I've got one question for this guy: Why would you want to do that to your family?!

That said, I highly doubt this reaches $400mil domestic. $315-350 seems more realistic to me.

 

[SpideyFan866]

Well lets look at some factors here:

1) It's Spider-man. A hugely popular character among kids and adults alike. That's a huge thing going for it.

2)Its in 3D meaning jacked up prices. People will see a Spider-Man film in 3D. It the only movie worth seeing in 3D.

2) It releases Tuesday, July 3rd. This means it has 4 days (including release day) all to itself as no other film release on the 3rd nor until that friday.

3)It opens on the July 4th week/weekend (though it releases a day before the 4th on tuesday), the biggest movie going weekend of the year (same spot the billion dollar TF3 had) and still has 2 full weeks after that.

and finally

4) In a choice between an hard-R crime drama in Savages, G.I. Joe 2 (remember the first one) and Spider-man, people will go with Spider-Man.

With all that considered, I'd set Spidey up with at least a 500-700 Million dollar range domestically.

It could break a billion worldwide considering Spidey's immense popularity in Asian markets. Marketing will tell the tale.

 

[Eggyman]

I never really give much of a f*** about box office numbers. I'm very selfish. But for the sake of 6592's junk, I'm hoping it does well.

 

[SpideyFan866]

I never really give much of a f*** about box office numbers. I'm very selfish. But for the sake of 6592's junk, I'm hoping it does well.

LOL, yeah. I don't want anyone dismembering themselves over this movie.

 

[The Shape]

Well lets look at some factors here:

1) It's Spider-man. A hugely popular character among kids and adults alike. That's a huge thing going for it.

2)Its in 3D meaning jacked up prices. People will see a Spider-Man film in 3D. It the only movie worth seeing in 3D.

2) It releases Tuesday, July 3rd. This means it has 4 days (including release day) all to itself as no other film release on the 3rd nor until that friday.

3)It opens on the July 4th week/weekend (though it releases a day before the 4th on tuesday), the biggest movie going weekend of the year (same spot the billion dollar TF3 had) and still has 2 full weeks after that.

and finally

4) In a choice between an hard-R crime drama in Savages, G.I. Joe 2 (remember the first one) and Spider-man, people will go with Spider-Man.

With all that considered, I'd set Spidey up with at least a 500-700 Million dollar range domestically.

It could break a billion worldwide considering Spidey's immense popularity in Asian markets. Marketing will tell the tale.

Consider that Spider-man 3 didn't even hit $350mil domestic (a film that was an EXTREMELY hyped sequel that featured Venom), I don't see this one making much more, especially with TDKR dropping 2 weeks later. Then it's game over.

 

[SpideyFan866]

Consider that Spider-man 3 didn't even hit $350mil domestic (a film that was an EXTREMELY hyped sequel that featured Venom), I don't see this one making much more, especially with TDKR dropping 2 weeks later. Then it's game over.

Word of mouth got around that SM3 sucked too so.......

I stick with my stance.

 

[UltimateWebhead]

I never really give much of a f*** about box office numbers. I'm very selfish. But for the sake of 6592's junk, I'm hoping it does well.

This. I only care that the movie is rock solid and the studio makes enough profit that they can afford to make a sequel.

 

[Call Me Darkman]

Now that the trailer is out, what do you guys think of its box office potential? The fanboys are hyped, that's for sure, but the general public doesn't seem all that impressed. Most are underwhelmed by Andrew Garfield's performance.

 

[Eggyman]

Now that the trailer is out, what do you guys think of its box office potential? The fanboys are hyped, that's for sure, but the general public doesn't seem all that impressed. Most are underwhelmed by Andrew Garfield's performance.

Have you done a survey or something?

 

[DACrowe]

Trailer convinced me it will have enough pizazz and marketing to not underperform. Despite being a remake in a number of ways, the marketing is wisely deciding to bury the origin from the teaser that looked like a rehash and instead focus on the new. Garfield looks to own the role so it should do well.

I would guess around....$250 million? I think it being a reboot will keep it from crossing $300 million domestic, but $250 million would be respectable and if it sells well on DVD (assuming it's good) the sequel will do Raimi numbers at that point.

 

[mayo23]

Now that the trailer is out, what do you guys think of its box office potential? The fanboys are hyped, that's for sure, but the general public doesn't seem all that impressed. Most are underwhelmed by Andrew Garfield's performance.

What were they expecting? Tobey's interpretation of Spider-man?

 

[dark_b]

based on the trailer and the fact that its in 3D i think this will make its budget back. a sequel will happen.

breaking box office records? no way.

 

[Green Day]

my range is from 170m-250m
I am going on the low at 190m.
SpideyFan866
Reason for this not hitting 500-700m
1. Ice Age 4 is released the same time overseas. Ice Age franchise is bigger overseas than Spider man. Ice Age 3 made 690m overseas.
2. The Dark Knight Rises opens two weeks later. TDKR has the good word of mouth from TDK.
3. G.I. Joe 2, Ice Age 4, and The Dark Knight Rises is all competition for ASM.
4. 3D is not that popular DOM. Most movies only do around 50-55% of ticket sales in 3D.