The Amazing Spider-Man The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread

[spider-neil]

A billion? No way.

the amount of money SM3 made overseas it should have breezed past a billion but it was let down by a (relatively) small domestic take.

basically ASM needs the same people that saw SM3 to watch ASM. adjusted for inflation and 3D/IMAX ticket prices that's a billion.

 

[Infinity9999x]

the amount of money SM3 made overseas it should have breezed past a billion but it was let down by a (relatively) small domestic take.

basically ASM needs the same people that saw SM3 to watch ASM. adjusted for inflation and 3D/IMAX ticket prices that's a billion.

I'd love for it to hit a billion, but I do think that's probably pushing it. It's possible if the overseas take is big, but I'd be very surprised if the domestic take outdoes SM3. Spider-man is hugely popular, but SM3 and the fact that it's a complete reboot is going to give some pause.

 

[spider-neil]

I'd love for it to hit a billion, but I do think that's probably pushing it. It's possible if the overseas take is big, but I'd be very surprised if the domestic take outdoes SM3. Spider-man is hugely popular, but SM3 and the fact that it's a complete reboot is going to give some pause.

like I said, if the same people who watched SM3 watch ASM it will breeze past a billion, but the factors of some people staying away are as follows

1. TDKR comes out 2 weeks later
sure a movie usually makes it's money in the first two weeks but what if some of the general audience are decididng to watch one or the other.

2. it's a reboot
and it pretty common knowledge the movie is retelling the origin.
some members of the general audience may feel they've seen this and there is no reason to see it again.

3. it's a brand new cast
some of the general audience may have grown to love maguire and dunst and may have no interest in seeing the beloved characters played by other people.

that said, in it's favor

1. it's a brand new cast
some of the general audience may have grown sick of maguire and dunst and are ready for new blood

2. the first spidey was made 10 years ago
so the people who saw the movie as kids are probably in their 20's now so may want to check out the new darker take. the people too young to catch the original spider-man in the movies will now be pre teens and so will drag their parents along to see the movie. a whole new generation of spidey fans.

3. TDKR comes out two weeks later.
there may well be an overflow of people that want to watch this movie and if they can't get tickets ASM is the only other movie of it's ilk they'll be able to watch.

in all honesty ASM is difficult to call.

 

[SpaceWay2009]

Good points you brought up, Spider-Neil.

 

[SpaceWay2009]

Good word of mouth may also play a factor. And of course, bad word of mouth might hinder the box office. Hopefully it'll be the former.

 

[Infinity9999x]

like I said, if the same people who watched SM3 watch ASM it will breeze past a billion, but the factors of some people staying away are as follows

1. TDKR comes out 2 weeks later
sure a movie usually makes it's money in the first two weeks but what if some of the general audience are decididng to watch one or the other.

2. it's a reboot
and it pretty common knowledge the movie is retelling the origin.
some members of the general audience may feel they've seen this and there is no reason to see it again.

3. it's a brand new cast
some of the general audience may have grown to love maguire and dunst and may have no interest in seeing the beloved characters played by other people.

that said, in it's favor

1. it's a brand new cast
some of the general audience may have grown sick of maguire and dunst and are ready for new blood

2. the first spidey was made 10 years ago
so the people who saw the movie as kids are probably in their 20's now so may want to check out the new darker take. the people too young to catch the original spider-man in the movies will now be pre teens and so will drag their parents along to see the movie. a whole new generation of spidey fans.

3. TDKR comes out two weeks later.
there may well be an overflow of people that want to watch this movie and if they can't get tickets ASM is the only other movie of it's ilk they'll be able to watch.

in all honesty ASM is difficult to call.

That's a good summary. It really is a tough one to call. Spider-man and Batman are pretty clearly the most popular Superheroes when it comes to films, and a lot of people have been drawing comparisons between ASM and Batman Begins. However, one thing to keep in mind is that BB still made around 200mil coming off an 8yr hiatus after what is arguably one of the worst superhero films of all time.

ASM is coming off an unarguably disappointing third installment, but one that was nowhere near the level of horribleness that was Batman and Robin. Not only that, but Spider-man is one of those characters that reaches across broader audience lines. Batman (with his most popular films) has always catered to the mid teens to adult crowd, while Spider-man can capture anyone from the pre-teen to adult crowd.

It really is a coin toss. And a lot of it still depends on how good the movie is. At this point, I'd still rank Avengers and TDKR above it if I had to rank them. Actually, I think Avengers could be the sleeper blockbuster in this situation, simply because it has the least amount of competition. It's in a prime spot to make a nice long run if it's quality enough.

 

[spider-neil]

That's a good summary. It really is a tough one to call. Spider-man and Batman are pretty clearly the most popular Superheroes when it comes to films, and a lot of people have been drawing comparisons between ASM and Batman Begins. However, one thing to keep in mind is that BB still made around 200mil coming off an 8yr hiatus after what is arguably one of the worst superhero films of all time.

ASM is coming off an unarguably disappointing third installment, but one that was nowhere near the level of horribleness that was Batman and Robin. Not only that, but Spider-man is one of those characters that reaches across broader audience lines. Batman (with his most popular films) has always catered to the mid teens to adult crowd, while Spider-man can capture anyone from the pre-teen to adult crowd.

It really is a coin toss. And a lot of it still depends on how good the movie is. At this point, I'd still rank Avengers and TDKR above it if I had to rank them. Actually, I think Avengers could be the sleeper blockbuster in this situation, simply because it has the least amount of competition. It's in a prime spot to make a nice long run if it's quality enough.

I agree. WOM is a major factor this time around. with SM3 people just went to watch the movie after the excellent SM2, only later did the numbers drop off (domestically that is, overseas SM3 is the most succesful superhero movie ever).

this time around people may wait to hear about the quality because spending their money

 

[spider-neil]

I know it's not the same thing but people were predicting the demise of the spidey musical and it set records for tickets sold. spidey is simply a massive draw.

 

[UltimateWebhead]

I agree. WOM is a major factor this time around. with SM3 people just went to watch the movie after the excellent SM2, only later did the numbers drop off (domestically that is, overseas SM3 is the most succesful superhero movie ever).

this time around people may wait to hear about the quality because spending their money

WoM is a big factor for any movie really. It is important for Spider-man but I think lots of people will still go see it regardless just because of that fact.

 

[UltimateWebhead]

I know it's not the same thing but people were predicting the demise of the spidey musical and it set records for tickets sold. spidey is simply a massive draw.

Absolutely.

 

[spider-neil]

WoM is a big factor for any movie really. It is important for Spider-man but I think lots of people will still go see it regardless just because of that fact.

unfortunately I don't think the number of people that will see it regardless is as big as the people who will see avengers and TDKR. spidey is at the mercy of it's quality

 

[Troy_Parker]

I've said this before and I'll say it again...

They could sit on their asses and not market this movie until March/April and this movie will STILL make more than enough to warrant a sequel.

Sure, it's a reboot movie... but do you know what else it is?

A Spider-Man movie.

 

[SpideyFan866]

like I said, if the same people who watched SM3 watch ASM it will breeze past a billion, but the factors of some people staying away are as follows

1. TDKR comes out 2 weeks later
sure a movie usually makes it's money in the first two weeks but what if some of the general audience are decididng to watch one or the other.

2. it's a reboot
and it pretty common knowledge the movie is retelling the origin.
some members of the general audience may feel they've seen this and there is no reason to see it again.

3. it's a brand new cast
some of the general audience may have grown to love maguire and dunst and may have no interest in seeing the beloved characters played by other people.

that said, in it's favor

1. it's a brand new cast
some of the general audience may have grown sick of maguire and dunst and are ready for new blood

2. the first spidey was made 10 years ago
so the people who saw the movie as kids are probably in their 20's now so may want to check out the new darker take. the people too young to catch the original spider-man in the movies will now be pre teens and so will drag their parents along to see the movie. a whole new generation of spidey fans.

3. TDKR comes out two weeks later.
there may well be an overflow of people that want to watch this movie and if they can't get tickets ASM is the only other movie of it's ilk they'll be able to watch.

in all honesty ASM is difficult to call.

The good outweighs the bad by alot because, along with what you said, TASM also has going for it that fact that

1) It's Spider-Man and everyone (especially little kids) love Spider-Man.

2) It's in 3D. A huge addition to its take.

3) It opens July 4th, the biggest movie going week of the year, and it has 4 days, including the day it releases, all to itself and then only small competition over the weekend. Then 2 and half more weeks to take in money with, still, no significant competition releasing until TDKR releases.

4)The asian market loves Spider-Man and That's where majority of the take for these films come from. Considering its been 5 years since the last one, I think they'll be itching to see this one.

5) People are interested in this film. The trailer piqued the interest of a lot of people and most will be seeing this so see if its a good restart to the series.

So, I thinks there's a fair chance it will take a billion at the box office.

 

[VIKEME]

I think it will be the highest grossing Spider-Man movie yet, tbh.
July 3rd, the biggest movie-going weekend of the year, with one of the biggest characters in the world in the biggest 3D movie since Avatar. It will easily hit 700 million worldwide, could hit a billion if they play their cards right.

If Turn Off the Dark has proved anything, its that people will pay to see anything with Spidey in it.

 

[spider-neil]

The good outweighs the bad by alot because, along with what you said, TASM also has going for it that fact that

1) It's Spider-Man and everyone (especially little kids) love Spider-Man.

2) It's in 3D. A huge addition to its take.

3) It opens July 4th, the biggest movie going week of the year, and it has 4 days, including the day it releases, all to itself and then only small competition over the weekend. Then 2 and half more weeks to take in money with, still, no significant competition releasing until TDKR releases.

4)The asian market loves Spider-Man and That's where majority of the take for these films come from. Considering its been 5 years since the last one, I think they'll be itching to see this one.

5) People are interested in this film. The trailer piqued the interest of a lot of people and most will be seeing this so see if its a good restart to the series.

So, I thinks there's a fair chance it will take a billion at the box office.

 

[SpideyFan866]

Also, every person out there who says The Lizard looks like a goomba or say Andrew Garfield has Twilight hair will be going to see this movie multiple time, so that's a good 20 million right there

 

[spider-neil]

Also, every person out there who says The Lizard looks like a goomba or say Andrew Garfield has Twilight hair will be going to see this movie multiple time, so that's a good 20 million right there

spidey doesn't sparkle but his web shooters that light up are close enough

 

[Pfeiffer-Pfan]

People used to say that about Superman and Batman too... the fact of the matter is these characters popularity rise and fall. It'll happen to Spider-man, if it hasn't already.

In saying that... I think this movie will do just fine.

 

[SpideyFan866]

spidey doesn't sparkle but his web shooters that light up are close enough

Yup. That's something else though.

Andrew Garfield is Robert Pattinson's BFF so the twihards are gonna be out in droves too.

 

[EML420]

What movie had its release date announced first ASM or TDKR?
Has much has I want to ignore it these movies coming out so close to each other is going to affect the box office. I honestly expect ASM to do at least 400 million.

 

[UltimateWebhead]

I've said this before and I'll say it again...

They could sit on their asses and not market this movie until March/April and this movie will STILL make more than enough to warrant a sequel.

Sure, it's a reboot movie... but do you know what else it is?

A Spider-Man movie.

Yup. What he said.

 

[chaseter]

Spidey will have a sequel but not at Sony if their production company goes under. Time will tell. Spidey could rack in a billion WW but if Sony Pictures is in the red 2 billion then it's pointless.

 

[SpideyFan866]

If TASM is sucessful, I doubt Sony will go under. Its because of a lack of Spidey films that Sony is in its financial bind now. I'm sure TASM will help them out big time.

As far as box office, I see TASM grossing 300 million at minimum domestically. 600 million tops domestically, and thats kinda pushing.

I think it might take in about 500 to 700 million overseas (likely around 600 million).

Anything less then 600 million worldwide doesn't seem likely to me at all.

Also, to say it may not make that much because its a reboot and using BB as an example isn't fair in my eyes. BB really didn't promote all that well, especially by todays standards.

BB had a few trailers that revealed somewhat more towards its release but it really didn't appeal, at least to me personally. I didn't even see it in theaters.

 

[chaseter]

One franchise can't float a studio.

We don't know Sony's books so it may or may not happen...only time will tell. They are already throwing weight overboard to stop from sinking so it's a possibility. They already sold merchandising and won't be paying for the 3D glasses for just this movie so we'll see how this works out. This hasn't happened before with such a big property so it will be interesting.

 

[WarriorDreamer]

I think it will make at least 800 million worldwide, I have alot of faith in it.