The Amazing Spider-Man The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread

How much will The Amazing Spider-man make in the domestic market?

  • $0-100m

  • $110-200m

  • $210-300m

  • $310-400m

  • $410m-500m

  • $510-600m

  • $610-700m

  • Over $700m

  • $0-100m

  • $110-200m

  • $210-300m

  • $310-400m

  • $410m-500m

  • $510-600m

  • $610-700m

  • Over $700m

  • $0-100m

  • $110-200m

  • $210-300m

  • $310-400m

  • $410m-500m

  • $510-600m

  • $610-700m

  • Over $700m

  • $0-100m

  • $110-200m

  • $210-300m

  • $310-400m

  • $410m-500m

  • $510-600m

  • $610-700m

  • Over $700m


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The good outweighs the bad by alot because, along with what you said, TASM also has going for it that fact that

1) It's Spider-Man and everyone (especially little kids) love Spider-Man.

2) It's in 3D. A huge addition to its take.

3) It opens July 4th, the biggest movie going week of the year, and it has 4 days, including the day it releases, all to itself and then only small competition over the weekend. Then 2 and half more weeks to take in money with, still, no significant competition releasing until TDKR releases.

4)The asian market loves Spider-Man and That's where majority of the take for these films come from. Considering its been 5 years since the last one, I think they'll be itching to see this one.

5) People are interested in this film. The trailer piqued the interest of a lot of people and most will be seeing this so see if its a good restart to the series.

So, I thinks there's a fair chance it will take a billion at the box office.
:awesome:
 
The Sam Raimi/Sony "Spider-Man" franchise, is the 2nd most grossing trilogy films of all-time...only behind the second trilogy of the "Star Wars" trilogy.

  1. 2. SPIDER-MAN - $1,113,614,571

    Spider-Man (2002) - $403,706,375
    Spider-Man 2 (2004) - $373,377,893
    Spider-Man 3 (2007) - $336,530,303
--------------------------------------------------------
so TDKR will have to make; 375m (domestic)

TDK - 533
BB - 205

I think it's safe to say spidey is getting pushed into 3rd place
 
TDKR is the only competition this movie has in July. I love Nolan and Batman but I don't know if TDKR will break as many records as TDK did. Nolan fans will flame me for saying this but, a BIG reason TDK was such a huge hit and broke records was because of it being Heath Ledgers last performance and it was heavily hyped and nothing was really out to compete with it. When I saw TDK opening night half the crowd was Bat fans and the other half was just seeing the movie based off hype and Heath Ledger. Not knocking the TDKR though like I said I am a huge Bat fan in addition to being a huge Spidey fan, and I will be at the midnight showings for both movies and of course repeat viewings in theaters. So I predict both movies making a TON of cash come July and I can't wait!!!! ( But I think TDKR might make more than this though).
 
My prediction in the past was $700 million-ish WW which would be in good standing for a reboot. After the trailer I will bump it up to $800 million WW. If the batman film wasn't being released a few weeks later I would estimate it even higher. Like the Avengers, I don't think TASM has a shot at a billion. If both films are well recieved then I have no doubt whatsover that the sequels could reach that mark. Spider-Man is an absoluute monster overseas, particularily in Asia. Look at the boxoffice totals for SM3 in Japan and compare it to any other comicbook film. Obliteration. If SM3 did not recieve bad word of mouth and viewed in similar fashion to the first two Raimi efforts, then it would have no doubt crossed the billion mark. It probably would have made more the TDK, which was re-released months later to reach that mark.
 
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I see this movie making 250 million domestic and 600 million world wide. Not bad for a reboot.
 
I love how people are just throwing around numbers like they're boomerangs, which is ironic I suppose because it's gonna come back and hit you in the face. 1 billion dollars?? WW?? HA! Not on this planet.
 
I love how people are just throwing around numbers like they're boomerangs, which is ironic I suppose because it's gonna come back and hit you in the face. 1 billion dollars?? WW?? HA! Not on this planet.

Page bookmarked.

See you in late July, naysayer! :woot:
 
Why have people been voting over 500 million US? Are you mad? Some even think it'll make 700 million in the US alone? Again, are you mad? Or confuse it for WW totals?

I see this making 350 US. 400 international. 700-800 million ww. Which is nothing to scoff at.
 
To be fair, I voted for over 700 m because I thought those numbers were for worldwide gross. And I'm sure many other did as well.

It's really confusing when you put "over 700" on a domestic gross poll. The highest number should be "over 400 m" that way most people would know it had to be for domestic gross.
 
Im playing it safe and saying 410-500.
SpideyFan has a point tho, people will most likely watch this movie, specially when there´s really no competition. (yes I know Batman, but that comes out 2 weeks later)
Spidey has plenty of time to make some serious numbers.
Hell, I mean, if Alice in Wonderland could do it, why not Spider-Man?
 
Put me down as a "naysayer". I think that TASM is most likely going to do Iron Man numbers, 600M or so. The complete lack of any returning cast, and strong competition at release, is going to hurt it. Well, for a certain limited definition of "hurt."

If it is a good movie, though, it should set up for a return to Raimi numbers or better with the sequel.
 
  1. 2. SPIDER-MAN - $1,113,614,571

    Spider-Man (2002) - $403,706,375
    Spider-Man 2 (2004) - $373,377,893
    Spider-Man 3 (2007) - $336,530,303
--------------------------------------------------------
so TDKR will have to make; 375m (domestic)

TDK - 533
BB - 205

I think it's safe to say spidey is getting pushed into 3rd place

You may be correct; however, I don't think TDKR will do as well as most expect.
 
If Dark Knight Rises gross more than 400m it surpass Spider Man franchise.
 
With inflation they would have and the international market has expanded since.

However in this case I agree with you. A reboot no matter how good will have a tough time IMO. I hope I'm wrong though.
 
The international market hasn't expanded by $200-$300 million since SM3. SM3 made over $500 million overseas. So it's not like ASM has the potential to get $700 million overseas.

But the overseas market has grown a bit yes. But...it's not that drastic as I mentioned. The last few years hasnt seen a humongous increase but a slight one yes.
 
The international market hasn't expanded by $200-$300 million since SM3. SM3 made over $500 million overseas. So it's not like ASM has the potential to get $700 million overseas.

But the overseas market has grown a bit yes. But...it's not that drastic as I mentioned. The last few years hasnt seen a humongous increase but a slight one yes.

I agree.

But if the film is well recieved and you factor in the inflation and 3D revenue (3D is viewed less cynically in many overseas markets then in NA), then I think it could potentially come close. The number in 2007 was $555 million overseas. I don't think it will happen this time around for the reasons I have stated in past posts. The Batman finale soon afterwards being a significant one.

And Raimi's films with domestic inflation alone:

Spider-Man: 2002 - $403 mil. > 2012 - $544 mil.

Spider-Man 2 : 2004 -$374 mil. > 2012 -$471 mil.

Spider-Man 3: 2007 -$336 mil. > 2012 -$382 mil.

If you could factor the foreign inflation I think it's pretty safe to say SM1 & SM3 would pass 1 billion. And with 2012 expanded markets they would have made even more.
 
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If you factor inflation then 1 billion in 2002 would obviously be more today. That's why I don't like to refer to inflation. That billion dollar mark is still hard to achieve even today with 3D prices. It will one day be broken though and the line moved. But, I seriously doubt that is any time soon. A billion WW is still a lot.

Also...there are a lot more movies coming out now than when say Titanic or SM1 came out. More competition decreases box office. Would SM1 make over $400 million domestic today? I doubt it. It had a perfect storm to ride on. So did TDK. So did Avatar, etc. This movie does not.
 
I don't think this film will do as well as Spidey 3. And certainly not with TDKR being released less than 3 weeks ago which makes for less credible legs. It should still do really well though.
 
...That makes no sense.

People won't see a Spider-Man movie because a Batman movie is coming out 3 weeks after it? What?
 
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