The Amazing Spider-Man The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread

[Spider-ManHero12]

Not to mention, the previous films are veyr much loved. It didn't go out on a sour note like B&R. Audiences are going to be baffled. When they see the trailer and hear "Parker" this will be the first time most of the GA finds out this is an entirely new cast. Then they see the spider bite again. When most of the GA was around to see the first film nine years ago.

Whether people loved the trailer or not, this is very true.

the Spider-Man trilogy is still extremely popular. It's still referenced all over the world.

 

[chaseter]

Wow, so your point is simply to call anyone, who thinks the opposote, naive? Lol!

TF sequels managed both to make over $200m in 2 weeks and reach $300m in 3. There's nothing really impossible in at least grossing way over $200m by the time TDKR is released, especially considering the fact that WB aren't doing the 3D format again (which was the actual reason why TDK succeeded to gross so much). Check Ice Age's previous films, their domestic numbers are low and the reason another is made is for the sake of the performance overseas, where these films usually make the most of its fortune. If Pirates 4 with all its negative buzz manage to cross $200m, TAS, if response is positive, will make such amount before the second weekend.

Your forecast does seem quite biased. I do understand that you aren't diffing the new direction, but it doesn't mean same is with any other viewer. Spider-man is Spider-man. It may not make TDK's numbers, but I deeply doubt it won't reach $300m, as you're claiming, just because it's a re-launch, which has become a common thing these days.

How much do you think this will make domestic? Please tell me so that I can save the post.

And yes, anybody who thinks that it will make more than $400 million domestic are crazy. Anybody who thinks this will make $350+ are naive.

 

[Zucaro]

To early to say how much will the movie make... but I guess worldwide... probably around 800 million? probably around 700 million (to low for been Spider-Man and for been a reboot)... and when I say 700 million it's low I say this beacuse Spider-Man should have more than 700!

 

[VenomSpawn]

Accidentally voted 700+ thinking it was the worldwide total...

I'd say anywhere between 300-400 domestically.

 

[DW4]

Spider-Man 3 made $336 domestic and that was a highly, highly anticipated sequel.

This is a complete reboot and the biggest movie of 2012 will be coming out merely two weeks later to squash this like a bug. It won't make over $300 million domestic and you can quote me on that

Oh I will, you are underestimating Spidey's popularity, especially with the kids.

Many of my friends who don't care about Captain America, Thor and even the Avengers are excited for this when I told them about the teaser trailer.

 

[spider-neil]

How much do you think this will make domestic? Please tell me so that I can save the post.

And yes, anybody who thinks that it will make more than $400 million domestic are crazy. Anybody who thinks this will make $350+ are naive.

I think this movie will make 300m, purely because the 3D will blow the general audience away and they will urge their friends to watch it in 3D rather than 2D.

 

[chaseter]

Oh I will, you are underestimating Spidey's popularity, especially with the kids.

Many of my friends who don't care about Captain America, Thor and even the Avengers are excited for this when I told them about the teaser trailer.

Where's your estimate? You tell me I'm wrong but then don't tell me why

Personal experiences don't gauge box office. Yes the kiddies love Spider-Man and that alone guarantees profit, which it will make. But, a lot of you don't realize how crowded this summer was and how crowded next summer will be as well. Films that were guaranteed huge hits 3-4 years ago like Pirates now only barely pass $200 million domestic. Transformers 3 is going to end with about $100 million less than it's predecessor. First Class didn't even beat X1's box office. Summers are overcrowded and they are eating into each other's take.

It's usually only 2 films that pass $300 domestic because the summers are so crowded. So who are those next year? Avengers? Men In Black III, Pixar's Brave, Spider-Man, TDKR? TDKR is an obvious yes. That will pass $300 million domestic easily. Avengers? Probably. It has Robert Downey Jr and will boast tons of action. Those are your likely 2 top earners for next year.

ASM will not match what SM1-3 made and I think it will under perform with the general audience. That is what I can predict right now. If the movie is just super fantastic and gets amazing reviews with an RT score in the high 90s then it will get closer to $300 domestic. I just don't think at this point that is going to happen so I will stick with my $250ish domestic right now. That isn't awful numbers anyways. It will make a good profit and no way in hell it will bomb like Green Lantern did.

 

[Spider-ManHero12]

Oh I will, you are underestimating Spidey's popularity, especially with the kids.

Many of my friends who don't care about Captain America, Thor and even the Avengers are excited for this when I told them about the teaser trailer.

As true as Spidey's popularity may be, if you look onlnie at pictures of the new film, you will see that a lot of the GA's comments are "where's Tobey?" That, right there is one of the reasons people shouldn't be jumping to conclusions about this making as much as the first 3 right away.

 

[spider-neil]

interesting points chaseter but I think the GA will eat up spidey because it's been five years since the last one and spidey is a beloved character.

I don't buy SM3 hurting this movie as;
1. the movie made a fortune at the movie AND on dvd (so people wanted it in their homes.
2. you've seen with pirates and transformers the previous slammed movie (SM3 wasn't slammed btw the reviews were at worst luke warm) having no effect on the next sequel.

how the audience embrace a retread is the only legitmate claim that spidey box office will be hurt, will the audience embrace a retread? I don't know, this is unprecedented, I can't think of a single movie, EVER, that was rebooted when the previous movie was HUGE. I can't think of ONE example. how will the audience respond to that? well, we'll see...

 

[Billy the Poet]

As true as Spidey's popularity may be, if you look onlnie at pictures of the new film, you will see that a lot of the GA's comments are "where's Tobey?" That, right there is one of the reasons people shouldn't be jumping to conclusions about this making as much as the first 3 right away.

Well, from my personal observation, most seem positive about the film. I've checked a couple of web sites where the leaked trailer was posted and about 3 out of five tend to agree this one looks better. They are still people missing Tobey and complaining about origin, yet, not as many as those that applauded to the content of the teaser.

 

[Spider-ManHero12]

Well, from my personal observation, most seem positive about the film. I've checked a couple of web sites where the leaked trailer was posted and about 3 out of five tend to agree this one looks better. They are still people missing Tobey and complaining about origin, yet, not as many as those that applauded to the content of the teaser.

I've seen a few people say it's already better and that is complete bulls***, IMO. How the hell can somebody say what's what by a teaser trailer?

 

[Billy the Poet]

Chaseter, I have to admit you do make me laugh some of the time. Your statement "You're all naive! This Spider-man WON'T match previous films" alone leave me with a smile. You seem like you're the guru of box office and, yet, I believe the actual experts in box office would never claim that others are wrond and they're right for the sake of solidarity. Additionally, how can you say that it's usually only two movies passing $300m per year, if 2007 had four of them, 2008 - three, 2009 - three, and 2010 - four

To remind you, I started that thread in order to let me people express their opinion and talk about predictions. I really don't regard those that take the advantage, though.

My opinion: TAS will make over $300m domestically and hopefully $800m worldwide. Period.

 

[Billy the Poet]

I've seen a few people say it's already better and that is complete bulls***, IMO. How the hell can somebody say what's what by a teaser trailer?

I do agree there are the ones that think so, but not as many as those that are ok with the new film. Besides, most of posters in the Internet aren't really the greater part of general audience.

 

[Spider-ManHero12]

I do agree there are the ones that think so, but not as many as those that are ok with the new film. Besides, most of posters in the Internet aren't really the greater part of general audience.

That's true, lol. Maybe it's because I still adore Raimi's trilogy that I say it's BS when people say this film is already better. Either that or I just hate BS from internet people who don't spell correctly, lol. It's probably both, lol.

 

[Billy the Poet]

That's true, lol. Maybe it's because I still adore Raimi's trilogy that I say it's BS when people say this film is already better. Either that or I just hate BS from internet people who don't spell correctly, lol. It's probably both, lol.

All I can say, SH12, is that there will always be those who prefer Raimi over Webb, but even they will go to watch the film on hot summer's Independence Day, when kids are out, students are done with exams, couples have dates and adults aree free from their jobs to spend time with family and friends and go to check out a new film about just another guy who is known by many as one of American icons.

 

[chaseter]

Chaseter, I have to admit you do make me laugh some of the time. Your statement "You're all naive! This Spider-man WON'T match previous films" alone leave me with a smile.

You are naive if you think this will make $350 domestic and you are crazy if you think it will make $400 domestic. I will gladly eat crow if I am wrong. Go look in the movie forums at the 2012 box office thread. People that are a lot better at doing this than me say the same thing.

We will see in a year. Don't get banned between now and then.

Also, gauging internet and con reactions are absolutely no indicator on a film's box office success. The GA makes or breaks a film and they don't post on the interwebs.

 

[Spider-ManHero12]

All I can say, SH12, is that there will always be those who prefer Raimi over Webb, but even they will go to watch the film on hot summer's Independence Day, when kids are out, students are done with exams, couples have dates and adults aree free from their jobs to spend time with family and friends and go to check out a new film about just another guy who is known by many as one of American icons.

Oh there's no dobut about that. I still have some doubts about this movie, but I'm seeing it either way because I'm a huge Spider-Man fan.


However, I don't expect the opening numbers to be as big as the previous trilogy.

 

[Billy the Poet]

You are naive if you think this will make $350 domestic and you are crazy if you think it will make $400 domestic. I will gladly eat crow if I am wrong. Go look in the movie forums at the 2012 box office thread. People that are a lot better at doing this than me say the same thing.

We will see in a year. Don't get banned between now and then.

Also, gauging internet and con reactions are absolutely no indicator on a film's box office success. The GA makes or breaks a film and they don't post on the interwebs.

You do lack originality in your posts.

 

[Billy the Poet]

Oh there's no dobut about that. I still have some doubts about this movie, but I'm seeing it either way because I'm a huge Spider-Man fan.


However, I don't expect the opening numbers to be as big as the previous trilogy.

Neither do I, especially if we take into account the fact that it's released on Tuesday instead of the usual Wednesday. Nevertheless, I believe the first two weeks will be highly critical for the movie's run before the release of TDKR. It may have a solid opening (especially being the only film taking the span of the Independence Day), but the feedback is what will break it or give it legs strong enough to sustain against competition. I still believe that it should do fine in the second week as well, if response from the audience and critcs is positive.

 

[hatebox]

You do lack originality in your posts.

He's repeating the same thing over and over again because it's an extremely reasonable opinion - the odds are very much against this film getting over 350m domestically. Transformers 3 and the final Harry Potter will barely make that much.

 

[chaseter]

You do lack originality in your posts.

HAHAHAHAHA your posts lack poetry, Billy the Poet.

 

[TLH]

I see a finish around 280m, but 300m is still possible depending on WOM.

 

[Billy the Poet]

HAHAHAHAHA your posts lack poetry, Billy the Poet.

I hope you do understand where it comes from

 

[Billy the Poet]

He's repeating the same thing over and over again because it's an extremely reasonable opinion - the odds are very much against this film getting over 350m domestically. Transformers 3 and the final Harry Potter will barely make that much.

I am not blindly believing it will be over $350m. I am rationally explaining the reason behind my prediction of the film making over $300m, which is quite possible. I am not sure about Harry Potter, but TF3, which disappointed with its opening, is dying because of the horrible WOM (which also happened to many other films like Wolverine, Iron Man 2 and Spider-man 3) and people being tired of watching same crap on screen third time, just like I'm tired of chaseter's repeating posts that lack any point other than claiming others naive for expressing their opinions and supporting them by points rather than claims.

 

[hatebox]

I am not blindly believing it will be over $350m. I am rationally explaining the reason behind my prediction of the film making over $300m, which is quite possible. I am not sure about Harry Potter, but TF3, which disappointed with its opening, is dying because of the horrible WOM (which also happened to many other films like Wolverine, Iron Man 2 and Spider-man 3) and people being tired of watching same crap on screen...

This is why people have their doubts about another Spidey origin story though.