The Amazing Spider-Man The Amazing Spider-Man: Box Office Thread

How much will The Amazing Spider-man make in the domestic market?

  • $0-100m

  • $110-200m

  • $210-300m

  • $310-400m

  • $410m-500m

  • $510-600m

  • $610-700m

  • Over $700m

  • $0-100m

  • $110-200m

  • $210-300m

  • $310-400m

  • $410m-500m

  • $510-600m

  • $610-700m

  • Over $700m

  • $0-100m

  • $110-200m

  • $210-300m

  • $310-400m

  • $410m-500m

  • $510-600m

  • $610-700m

  • Over $700m

  • $0-100m

  • $110-200m

  • $210-300m

  • $310-400m

  • $410m-500m

  • $510-600m

  • $610-700m

  • Over $700m


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The OS numbers should be double the domestic. 750-800 WW? Maybe I'm being conservative.
 
I think it will make 135-145 m for the 6 day.

That puts it in the 265-295 range. That's not a bomb or a disappointment. That's within the reasonable predictions from a few months ago.

Even if it under performs in Europe, 900 m WW is a lock.

Though I absolutely loved TAS and think by rights it should make a boatload of money, I realize the movie doesn't work for everyone the way it did for me and based on many of the comments on this forum and others, my prediction is more conservative.

I'll predict $240-$250 million domestic, $480-$500 overseas, for a worldwide total of $720-$750 worldwide. Not too shabby. I think it would be asking too much for this reboot/retelling of origins to make $900 million or more. If it makes it to those heights, that's awesome. But it shouldn't be seen as a disappointment if it doesn't.

But TAS2 needs to make more than TAS.
 
At this point it's not a disappointment, it's probably "as expected" and nothing better. The best thing the film can do is hope to have a high multiplier.
 
It's pretty safe to say Spider-man will never be a financial disappointment. I was never worried about it not making, at the very least, decent money. Make a spider-man movie, people will see it. Guaranteed.
 
Though I absolutely loved TAS and think by rights it should make a boatload of money, I realize the movie doesn't work for everyone the way it did for me and based on many of the comments on this forum and others, my prediction is more conservative.

I'll predict $240-$250 million domestic, $480-$500 overseas, for a worldwide total of $720-$750 worldwide. Not too shabby. I think it would be asking too much for this reboot/retelling of origins to make $900 million or more. If it makes it to those heights, that's awesome. But it shouldn't be seen as a disappointment if it doesn't.

But TAS2 needs to make more than TAS.

Look at conservative estimates of how much ASM should make in Asia (325 m) and Latin America (125 m). It's easy to see 900 m is a lock.
 
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i say 300mill doestic 450os 750ww enough for sequel
 
It's pretty safe to say Spider-man will never be a financial disappointment. I was never worried about it not making, at the very least, decent money. Make a spider-man movie, people will see it. Guaranteed.

Meaning another origin story within the next decade.
 
Spidey and Batman will never die.
 
Basically anything huge not making Avengers-type money is being viewed as a failure for some reason.

And this is the problem when people who really don't know anything about the box office try to sound like they actually do.

Disney is still swimming through their Avengers money it's earned at the box office, they'll probably be making a castle out of all their money(merchandise etc etc). Good for Disney.

I don't think people realize how nervous Sony was about this, another origin film only 10 years later with a completely different cast. A lot of questions were being asked going into this film, especially with such an unknown actor to the general audience as Peter Parker/Spider-Man. Sony should and probably is ecstatic how well it's being received by the general audience and even critics(to an extent). If it can get to the 225 mill range domestically before TDKR hits, Sony would be happy.

Nonetheless Sony will get a decent pile of money from this money and it will only get larger with the sequel coming out in less then 2 years.
 
Ok, so after the Wednesday and Thursday drops, my 300m prediction was premature. It ain't reaching that milestone now.
 
Internationally, TASM has more time to make big bucks than domestically. TDKR doesn't open in all foreign markets on July 20, 2012. So, I would say that TASM should earn around $540 million overseas.
 
I predict
Domestic: $275 million or lower
Worldwide: $600 million to 750 million.
 
The common sense me predict
Domestic: $300 million or lower
Worldwide: $700 million or lower

The Spiderman fan me predict
Domestic: $700 million or higher
Worldwide: $2.5 billion or higher
 
Oh man, not good...

Thursday's top flix: 1. SPIDER-MAN $15.8M ($75M), 2. TED - $8M ($87M), 3. BRAVE - $5M ($154M)

Source: ERC Box Office. these are studio numbers
 
Its look at about a $135 million 6 day weekend at this point.
 
Oh man, not good...

Thursday's top flix: 1. SPIDER-MAN $15.8M ($75M), 2. TED - $8M ($87M), 3. BRAVE - $5M ($154M)

Source: ERC Box Office. these are studio numbers

These drops are horrible. Maybe it will pick up toward the weekend, but this is not what you want after a 35M start, especially over a holiday week.

300M is totally out of the question at this point, and I thought it was a real possibility with the 35M start.

I hope it can make it to 250M, but after the start this movie had with 3D boost this is not looking good.
 
What could be contributing to these big drops?

I thought WOM was decent?
 
How the **** are these drops horrible? Do you guys know anything about box office?


Christ on a cracker.
 
How the **** are these drops horrible? Do you guys know anything about box office?


Christ on a cracker.

Yeah I do, go look at the historical performance of movies that open over 4th of July week.
 
And Spider-Man is still continuing to do great. EVERY major site is reporting how great it's doing, yet people in this thread are acting like it's bombing. Even though it's doing actually doing better than SONY hoped it would do.

By the end of the weekend it will have made more than 90% of FIRST CLASS's entire domestic haul.
 
And Spider-Man is still continuing to do great. EVERY major site is reporting how great it's doing, yet people in this thread are acting like it's bombing. Even though it's doing actually doing better than SONY hoped it would do.

By the end of the weekend it will have made more than 90% of FIRST CLASS's entire domestic haul.

When you open to 35M the expectation would be 300M is in play, that's pretty much out of the picture now. So it's doing about to expectation, but it looks like it was pretty front loaded.

I'd expect Spider-man to do better than any X-men film, and Thor and Captain America, and I thought it had a chance to get past Iron Man 2, which it won't.
 
So you set your own expectations, and because you personally feel like the wont be met, you refuse to acknowledge the success that this film is having? Okay.
 
At it's current trajectory, it's 6 day gross should land it at around $133 million as long as it has a solid 25 to 30% bounce today. At this stage, it's too early to say how that will translate long term until we see the final numbers for this weekend. What IS relevant is how it does day to day next week and whether Ice Age 4 presents any serious competition the following weekend. After that all bets are off as Dark Knight Rises takes away a substantial amount of screens. So ASM's window to make serious money is NOW.
 
So you set your own expectations, and because you personally feel like the wont be met, you refuse to acknowledge the success that this film is having? Okay.

Dude the drop is horrible,No two ways about it
200M domestic and 400 million world wide looks realistic for me now,maybe less
 
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